SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

So if someone in an Amazon sorting center gets it we are all ***ked.

Pretty much everybody i know here is cleaning/throwing away the packaging on anything that comes through the front door and washing hands immediately afterwards.
 
Herd Immunity is a phrase the government are spewing, its faux behavioral science stuff.

To attain that sort of immunity means 90% of the population must have the antibodies.

That means 90% of the population, plus those who die, must have contracted the virus.

This is what happens when a bloke who worships eugenics to explain away how he is rich beyond 'he was born rich', to justify his own existence, gets into power.

At a 3% death rate, 95% contamination would mean 1.8 million deaths.And no one in the media is even batting an eyelid at what they are proposing.

95% of people are going to be infected :lol: you guys are the Alex Jones of redcafe.

You think 90% population has to be immune for it not to spread rapidly that's a load of rubbish. if more then half of the population was immune to this the spread would be insignificant even 40/30 its the fact 0% are which is the problem
 
There's been a fair amount of suggestion that one of the reason UK Universities are still open is because staff are currently on strike over pay, conditions, equality, casualisation, pensions and conditions and if they had to close them those staff would have to be paid.

It's the sort of boneheaded thing I can see being true tbh.
I work in a university. Regardless of what the government says - we're considering all sorts at present. e.g. stop loaning laptops, books in the Library. All staff work remotely etc. Lots of plans, but we will see.
 
95% of people are going to be infected :lol: you guys are the Alex Jones of redcafe.

You think 90% population has to be immune for it not to spread rapidly that's a load of rubbish. if more then half of the population was immune to this the spread would be insignificant even 40/30 its the fact 0% are which is the problem

At least TRY and read what I put there.

johnson's government is suggesting we develop herd immunity.

That is the required level of infection to accomplish that.
 
95% of people are going to be infected :lol: you guys are the Alex Jones of redcafe.

You think 90% population has to be immune for it not to spread rapidly that's a load of rubbish. if more then half of the population was immune to this the spread would be insignificant even 40/30 its the fact 0% are which is the problem

If they're talking about just delaying and managing the spread of the disease then yes, that might work.

They're specifically using the term "herd immunity" though, which implies something else. So they either don't understand how herd immunity works or (more likely) they're misusing the term as part of their messaging.
 
At least TRY and read what I put there.

johnson's government is suggesting we develop herd immunity.

That is the required level of infection to accomplish that.

If they wanted to achieve that they wouldn't isolate or quarantine anyone the whole hysteria and conspiracies need to be dropped. Yes he said it in a interview as one of the options but it was along side mitigating the amount of infections hes made it blatantly obvious we can't make this virus disappear it will have to play out.

Boris is a twat but some of the stuff people are spouting come on.
 
I've not heard of herd immunity outside of vaccination rates. Were they talking about subsequent years rather than present?

Its a behavioural science concept.

Its also very specific, herd immunity requires the presence of antibodies in 90% of the herd.

The only way to develop antibodies right now is to both contract and survive it. Even then, with reports of people contracting it more than once, this may provide ineffective.
 
Some lass who is always off with anything more than sniffle has for some reason come into work despite her coughing and running hot.

I'm packing up my laptop tonight and not coming in for a whilst, can easily WFH, just don't trust people.
Considering your user name and the last line, there is a joke in there somewhere.
 
Astronauts to work from home too?
20200312-080005.jpg
 
The reason I have read is that lots of Universities have campuses so it's not as easy as just shutting them down for X. There is still thousands of staff that need to service the University (food, cleaning, security, ect) even if students are not attending lectures. It's not like the majority of schools where you just lock the front door.

It's true, of course, but most of them do shut down at least once a year (usually for Christmas) with students still resident there, so there'll be some idea of what staff are essential. I assume more would be required to come in still, but it could have been worked out by now.

I work in a university. Regardless of what the government says - we're considering all sorts at present. e.g. stop loaning laptops, books in the Library. All staff work remotely etc. Lots of plans, but we will see.

So do I, the planning at ours is to put up some more hand sanitisers and tell people to self isolate if they've been to hot spot countries. I'm sure contingency measures are being put in place behind the scenes (the popular assumption is that it's going to require a herculean effort by already fecked off staff to offer up distance learning versions of their courses), but it seems too little, too late as far as I can see.
 
Its a behavioural science concept.

Its also very specific, herd immunity requires the presence of antibodies in 90% of the herd.

The only way to develop antibodies right now is to both contract and survive it. Even then, with reports of people contracting it more than once, this may provide ineffective.
I know the term but never seen it used this way. It's typically used to encourage vaccination so the herd can protect those who can't be vaccinated etc.
 
It's true, of course, but most of them do shut down at least once a year (usually for Christmas) with students still resident there, so there'll be some idea of what staff are essential. I assume more would be required to come in still, but it could have been worked out by now.



So do I, the planning at ours is to put up some more hand sanitisers and tell people to self isolate if they've been to hot spot countries. I'm sure contingency measures are being put in place behind the scenes (the popular assumption is that it's going to require a herculean effort by already fecked off staff to offer up distance learning versions of their courses), but it seems too little, too late as far as I can see.

Surely one of the biggest questions has to be around what to do with the thousands of international students universities have if there was a shut down which included campus spaces?
 
I personally think the media are just perpetuating a panic response. It's fecking annoying. What kind of lesson does this teach the kids? When faced with something potentially problematic, shit yourself constantly, think illogically and panic.

That said, the 3% fatality rate being banded around is complete horseshit imo. There will be far more than 480 cases of corona in the UK. Far more. The thing that bumps up the mortality is the lack of reporting/testing for milder symptoms.
 
It's true, of course, but most of them do shut down at least once a year (usually for Christmas) with students still resident there, so there'll be some idea of what staff are essential. I assume more would be required to come in still, but it could have been worked out by now.

The second issue is that students receive maintenance loans and visas (for international students) for a set period of time. If they add another month or months to their course then it becomes a bit of a nightmare financially. That goes for students not on campus too.
 
Just wondering why the same hand sanitation liquid employed all over hospitals isnt being put in place in all shops across the country rather than everyone panic buying hand lotion?
 
Surely one of the biggest questions has to be around what to do with the thousands of international students universities have if there was a shut down which included campus spaces?
The second issue is that students receive maintenance loans and visas (for international students) for a set period of time. If they add another month or months to their course then it becomes a bit of a nightmare financially. That goes for students not on campus too.

You both have more faith in university admin than I do if you think either of those things are being seriously considered!

What has largely been my experience is VC teams forgetting that they employ vast swathes of very knowledgable people and trying to do everything themselves which I'm almost certain will see universities sitting on their thumbs until they're told to shut by the government and then a bunch of VCs going 'oh geez how could we ever have foreseen this coming?'.

They have had months to plan for the, fairly inevitable, spread of this to the UK and could well have attempted to work on mitigation of this then. As I say, it seems that most people think that the planning will see a shift to online delivery of courses which, if that is the case, is yet to be communicated to staff – at least where I am.
 
I personally think the media are just perpetuating a panic response. It's fecking annoying. What kind of lesson does this teach the kids? When faced with something potentially problematic, shit yourself constantly, think illogically and panic.

That said, the 3% fatality rate being banded around is complete horseshit imo. There will be far more than 480 cases of corona in the UK. Far more. The thing that bumps up the mortality is the lack of reporting/testing for milder symptoms.
Same for every disease though
 
I personally think the media are just perpetuating a panic response. It's fecking annoying. What kind of lesson does this teach the kids? When faced with something potentially problematic, shit yourself constantly, think illogically and panic.

That said, the 3% fatality rate being banded around is complete horseshit imo. There will be far more than 480 cases of corona in the UK. Far more. The thing that bumps up the mortality is the lack of reporting/testing for milder symptoms.

It's going to be closer to 1% or lower eventually but it's still very, very high for a common disease you can contract easily.
 
Shit starting to get real now - surely if ROI are shutting schools, etc. that the UK must follow suit?

Get the feeling they're trying to stagger through to Easter when it's a two week break regardless (think holiday starts 27th March) but events likely to mean a lockdown will have to be implemented before then.
 
Not necessarily.

If you lockdown too early, you risk the virus re-entering the location after it's lifted.

If you lockdown too late, it has no effect because people in their homes will already be infected.

The point of lockdown is not to wipe out the disease. Covid-19 is already too global and the world is too connected for that to be feasible in any sense. It's only going to boomerang back when trade/tourism restarts.

The point of lockdown is to slow the spread of the disease at the right point in order to ease the pressure on medical services.

It remains to be seen if Singapore and Hong Kong got things right. Chances are, they'll require a second lockdown. The risk then becomes civil unrest and economic collapse if there are too many lockdowns in too short a time.

Huh? There was never any lockdowns in S'pore. Where are you getting your information?
 
Last edited:
95% of people are going to be infected :lol: you guys are the Alex Jones of redcafe.

You think 90% population has to be immune for it not to spread rapidly that's a load of rubbish. if more then half of the population was immune to this the spread would be insignificant even 40/30 its the fact 0% are which is the problem
I'm not sure you read what the poster said.

There was no prediction of 95% of the population contracting CV19 in the post. It was being pointed out that to achieve herd immunity high %s of the population must carry antibodies. This is not always as high as 90% as it depends on how contagious the diseases is but 90 to 95% is correct for Measles and, for Polio, around 10% less (so, no, not "more than half" or "40/30" (%)). Therefore, if herd immunity were to be achieved and as no vaccination exists there would be a requirement for the vast majority of the population to contract the diseases which, at current understood mortality rate estimates, would result in the deaths of, literally, over a million people in the UK.

Clearly, herd immunity will not be achieved until a vaccine is developed and the use of the term by Government is incorrect.
 
Sporting governing bodies have come out looking the worst out of all this shit. F1 refusing to cancel or postpone the inaugural grand Prix.

It's mental. Not only are they hot beds for transmitions, they're not even critical to day to day function of society. I mean I get it energy companies, refineries etc don't shut down because they still need to provide these critical services. What makes these bastards think they're so important?
The amount of money they are going to lose from all of this will be astronomical. A lot of the bodies, companies and clubs will not recover from it. Obviously they understand people's health is important but they also have to look after the financial side of their sport. It is disheartening but that is the way of the world.
 
I personally think the media are just perpetuating a panic response. It's fecking annoying. What kind of lesson does this teach the kids? When faced with something potentially problematic, shit yourself constantly, think illogically and panic.

That said, the 3% fatality rate being banded around is complete horseshit imo. There will be far more than 480 cases of corona in the UK. Far more. The thing that bumps up the mortality is the lack of reporting/testing for milder symptoms.
It's not a matter of opinion. Mortality rates are between 8% and 0.5% in countries where outbreaks have occurred. The 3% estimates being touted are based on mortality rates seen under a collapsing infrastructure. In short, if the hospitals can cope and the spread does not go exponential mortality rates will be considerably lower hence the measures to slow the spread that are being proposed.

The lesson it teaches the kids is that taking precautions to minimise deaths is a good idea for society as a whole. Idiots stockpiling toilet paper notwithstanding, it is important that the public alters its collective behaviour to, literally, save lives.