Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

They’re probably the best trained guys in Russia.
They have a dedicated special forces school. A lot of guys whom are under Kadyrov are absolute living legends in terms of SOF - like Daniil Martynov et al.

NATO couldn’t deal with Chechnya for instance. Russians couldn’t deal with them. So yeah Chechen could attack any country, if they’re pretty much impregnable.
This is extremely misguided, almost every country has special forces with vastly more investment and tech than Chechnya, war isn’t about tough guys or fanatics it’s about money. Even ignoring reports they’ve lost huge numbers already against the Ukrainians, if for some random reason Kadyrov attacked a developed European country it wouldn’t even be a contest.
 
I've no doubt the Azov are a big reason why Mariupol is, unbelievably, still standing, but they can't be in every city from Sumy to Mykolaiv right? I think the Territorial Defenses are doing an impressive job.

That said, Yes I agree Putin has massively miscalculated and he can still very much 'win' the military battle. But for what exactly? Lots of Slavics are dead, Ukraine will be rubble, Russia will be too broke to do anything with the 'newly liberated' Ukraine.

Just none of it makes sense apart from one man with a taste for blood.
Well I’m asking myself. I’m also thinking of Russian people as most of them didn’t ask for this and most of these people have been oppressed. Ukraine will become a buffer zone and a failed state, if it wasn’t already— Russia will see to that. Russia will be set back about 50 years in worst case scenario, economically.. but did the Russian people ask for this? No we didn’t. I know my aunt didn’t want this war. She’s didn’t vote for Putin. Another one of my relatives calls Putin Vova’ sarcastically — it’s diminutive. These people didn’t asks for this and if you’re going feel sorry for Ukrainian then also feel sorry for Russians and do something where there is a regime change.
 
All countries have dedicated forces schools, specnaz. Moreover,I have not seen much from Kadyrov's boys in Ukraine. Russia dealt with Chechnya fairly easy, just levelled their cities. Modern wars are not about soldiers vs soldiers. They are about hi-tech weapons vs hi-tech weapons, and I doubt Putin has given much planes or tanks or rockets or any electronic warfare stuff to Chechnya.
No not like that. Trust me. Read up on these mental people. I’m not saying they’re absolutely naills and the best at what they do. But I’m just going to say that you can’t go into special military in UK for instance.
 
This is extremely misguided, almost every country has special forces with vastly more investment and tech than Chechnya, war isn’t about tough guys or fanatics it’s about money. Even ignoring reports they’ve lost huge numbers already against the Ukrainians, if for some random reason Kadyrov attacked a developed European country it wouldn’t even be a contest.
In which way mate? These guys absolutely withstood Russians and now they’ve actually had people taking key positions in FSB. In fact I’d say Chechens are the most trained guys in Russian military.
 
Like Daniil Martynov is a bit of a legendary special forces operator - a bit of James Bond type character - and by all accounts he precedes his reputation; what I’m saying is, if guys like that just decide to do their own stuff — Chechens will make isis look like child’s play.
 

:lol: :lol: :lol:

Back on the topic of intelligence failure, I say this will match if not outmatch the Bay of Pigs Invasion in 1961. In both cases, the government of the invaded country will only gain far more legitimacy while the invader will suffer the biggest foreign policy failure in its history.
 
Well I’m asking myself. I’m also thinking of Russian people as most of them didn’t ask for this and most of these people have been oppressed. Ukraine will become a buffer zone and a failed state, if it wasn’t already— Russia will see to that. Russia will be set back about 50 years in worst case scenario, economically.. but did the Russian people ask for this? No we didn’t. I know my aunt didn’t want this war. She’s didn’t vote for Putin. Another one of my relatives calls Putin Vova’ sarcastically — it’s diminutive. These people didn’t asks for this and if you’re going feel sorry for Ukrainian then also feel sorry for Russians and do something where there is a regime change.

I'm not sure Ukraine is a failed state. I think patriotism in the people is now stronger than ever. Russia can put their flag and puppet government up for a short while, but once they leave the Ukranians will just tear the flag down and put the Ukraine flag up again. Just like the Taliban did in Afghanistan. If the people don't want to be changed, they won't. The failed attempt to put democracy in Afghanistan is a great example of this.
 
I'm not sure Ukraine is a failed state. I think patriotism in the people is now stronger than ever. Russia can put their flag and puppet government up for a short while, but once they leave the Ukranians will just tear the flag down and put the Ukraine flag up again. Just like the Taliban did in Afghanistan. If the people don't want to be changed, they won't. The failed attempt to put democracy in Afghanistan is a great example of this.
No? Feels like a failed state since Kuchma and since he had journalists whacked. Guys after that… Good God.. they tried to arrest each other and then blame Putin only to become chummy with Putin.
Then there is the whole conversations where US are discussing installing Western favourable leader. And also there is Russia absolutely wanting to kill you!
How is that not a flailed state. It’s absolutely torn in geopolitics.
 
Absolutely par for the course for primitive societies. Make no mistake - Russians are primitive.

But they are not anymore. They were integrated into the global consumerist world. Now they are cut off, much poorer, utterly disrespected by the West (this for a country that is always complaining about a lack of respect) and have turned Ukraine once and for all against them. Russia never had soft power and now it turns out it doesn’t have much hard power either. This is a humiliation on a scale with the end of WWI or the Crimean War.
 
No? Feels like a failed state since Kuchma and since he had journalists whacked. Guys after that… Good God.. they tried to arrest each other and then blame Putin only to become chummy with Putin.
Then there is the whole conversations where US are discussing installing Western favourable leader. And also there is Russia absolutely wanting to kill you!
How is that not a flailed state. It’s absolutely torn in geopolitics.

Yeah that was all before the Russians decided to move in and decimate their houses and hospitals.

Now there is a clear and common enemy for Ukrainians, and ironically it is caused by Putin.
 
Maybe they're season ticket holders and always dress the same way for good luck.
 
As I was always saying that; Georgia and Ukraine were the red line for Russia.
It’s a perspective thing where Russia feels attacked. Again I’m not condoning Putin and the fact that he ‘ruled’ Russia effectively for the second longest reign after Stalin. I’m just a bit puzzled as to where ‘geopolitics’ got lost..?

They don't and never have. Nobody, including Putin and cronies, believes that NATO would ever invade a nuclear-armed Russia. The idea that they might is just a convenient lie peddled by Putin.

This invasion is about crushing a free, independent and democratic Ukraine, lest it provides an example to the Russian people. This is what Putin fears. Everything else is just lies.
 
I can say that this has been a total fecking disaster for Putin but he will have also achieved everything. He will have shown that Russia will happily destroy it self to the point where I’m not sure western countries will go to. I mean Putin will come away claiming victory and those families whom lost Russian soldiers, they’ll believe they liberated Ukraine. It’s just sad that nothing will change really.

How will they manage to believe that when the Kyiv government will remain in power and the vast majority of Ukraine will remain free of Russian troops? Because whatever happens from here on, it's clear that Russia is simply unable to take Kyiv and unable to bring down the government.
 
They don't and never have. Nobody, including Putin and cronies, believes that NATO would ever invade a nuclear-armed Russia. The idea that they might is just a convenient lie peddled by Putin.

This invasion is about crushing a free, independent and democratic Ukraine, lest it provides an example to the Russian people. This is what Putin fears. Everything else is just lies.

Russia has been successful in portraying itself as the eternal victim. In reality, in modern times it has been attacked twice, in 1812 and 1941. Meanwhile, it has been attacking to the west and south and east almost constantly.
 
They don't and never have. Nobody, including Putin and cronies, believes that NATO would ever invade a nuclear-armed Russia. The idea that they might is just a convenient lie peddled by Putin.

This invasion is about crushing a free, independent and democratic Ukraine, lest it provides an example to the Russian people. This is what Putin fears. Everything else is just lies.
Agreed
 
Of course they will. Russians will absolutely throw soldiers into the meat grinder and eventually Kyiv will be encircled. What do you think will happen then? Russians will get what they want as sad is it is.

The military reality says otherwise. Russia does not have enough troops to even encircle the vast perimeter of Kyiv, far less take a city where, in an urban environment, the general rule is that attackers will die at six times the rate of of defenders.
 
In which way mate? These guys absolutely withstood Russians and now they’ve actually had people taking key positions in FSB. In fact I’d say Chechens are the most trained guys in Russian military.
You literally said Khadyrov has an army that could take on any country in Europe.
 
They’re probably the best trained guys in Russia.
They have a dedicated special forces school. A lot of guys whom are under Kadyrov are absolute living legends in terms of SOF - like Daniil Martynov et al.

NATO couldn’t deal with Chechnya for instance. Russians couldn’t deal with them. So yeah Chechen could attack any country, if they’re pretty much impregnable.

It's not 1915 anymore, you can have the finest or deadliest troops on the planet, it's almost irrelevant when you're invading a country with high tech bombers, helicopters and missiles and without air superiority. They would get obliterated within 1km into the first NATO country.
 
It's not 1915 anymore, you can have the finest or deadliest troops on the planet, it's almost irrelevant when you're invading a country with high tech bombers, helicopters and missiles and without air superiority. They would get obliterated within 1km into the first NATO country.
But these Chechnyans....I hear they can dodge explosions, breathe fire AND they all look like Anna Kournikova (used to).
 
They’re probably the best trained guys in Russia.
They have a dedicated special forces school. A lot of guys whom are under Kadyrov are absolute living legends in terms of SOF - like Daniil Martynov et al.

NATO couldn’t deal with Chechnya for instance. Russians couldn’t deal with them. So yeah Chechen could attack any country, if they’re pretty much impregnable.
Thought the Ukrainians had caused them severe casualties?
 
They don't and never have. Nobody, including Putin and cronies, believes that NATO would ever invade a nuclear-armed Russia. The idea that they might is just a convenient lie peddled by Putin.

This invasion is about crushing a free, independent and democratic Ukraine, lest it provides an example to the Russian people. This is what Putin fears. Everything else is just lies.
I'm glad someone agrees with me on this. He doesn't believe any of this propaganda, doesn't fit his personality.
 
I'm not sure Ukraine is a failed state. I think patriotism in the people is now stronger than ever. Russia can put their flag and puppet government up for a short while, but once they leave the Ukranians will just tear the flag down and put the Ukraine flag up again. Just like the Taliban did in Afghanistan. If the people don't want to be changed, they won't. The failed attempt to put democracy in Afghanistan is a great example of this.
The thing is Ukraine will take a decade to even reach the same level they are now. The country will be sent years back economically and even demographically.

Russia will have “no problems” with that as they don’t want Ukraine to be a developed state or reach the standard of some European country. They want it to be weak and dependent just like Belarus.

In terms of how long a puppet govt will stand? Yes, can’t see it standing for even couple of years as Putin pretty much severed all relations with the west of Ukraine and all Ukrainian people that will be still there. He can try to install some separatists in the already captured regions but it will take massive resources to keep controlling this vast area.
 
They don't and never have. Nobody, including Putin and cronies, believes that NATO would ever invade a nuclear-armed Russia. The idea that they might is just a convenient lie peddled by Putin.

This invasion is about crushing a free, independent and democratic Ukraine, lest it provides an example to the Russian people. This is what Putin fears. Everything else is just lies.

I agree with this 100%. A lot of Russians have friends or relatives in Ukraine. Let's not forget that Russia has 145 million people, and Ukraine 45 million people, so there is not a huge difference in population, at least not the same as the size of the two countries. And when Russians look at Ukraine and see that it gets more and more democratic and perhaps is accepted in EU, they will question themselves "why do we have the same old guy as president for 25 years???" That would be a danger for Putin himself, and his cronies, not for Russia.

NATO has never been a factor. It is just silly to talk about NATO in this situation.
 
The thing is Ukraine will take a decade to even reach the same level they are now. The country will be sent years back economically and even demographically.

Russia will have “no problems” with that as they don’t want Ukraine to be a developed state or reach the standard of some European country. They want it to be weak and dependent just like Belarus.

In terms of how long a puppet govt will stand? Yes, can’t see it standing for even couple of years as Putin pretty much severed all relations with the west of Ukraine and all Ukrainian people that will be still there. He can try to install some separatists in the already captured regions but it will take massive resources to keep controlling this vast area.

And once the occupational forces fall, the remaining UA forces from the West will head eastwards again to retake the land. And once Ukraine regains it's independence, I think the Western countries will help to rebuild as much as possible.

Putin has the upper hand on the attack with all his bombs, but when the tide shifts to him defending and occupying he is severely disadvantaged in the sense that he will have less and less money as time passes to 'maintain peace'.