frostbite
Full Member
- Joined
- Jun 28, 2021
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- 3,586
What I find particularly fascinating: When the war begun, Putin was apparently surprised that he encountered such fierce resistance by Ukraine, expecting the population to essentially welcome the invasion force with open arms. Back then it was reasoned that the upwards flow of information in the Russian state wasn't to trust since only positive pieces would be reported as unpleasant news could lead to punishment. The whole war was started (and planned) on completely misguided assumptions and that pattern can be observed all the time. In the latest and most ironic twist, Wagner now cruised through Russia - being indeed welcomed with open arms by the population - in the exact same fashion Putin expected the Ukrainians to behave.
I think this is extremely telling and limits the capabilities of Russia extremely. We've seen it with terribly maintained weaponry, decision making that embraces phyrric victories and so forth. Basically conducting war and making the most important decisions on a completely altered projection of reality. That can't work out, neither in the short nor in the long term
This is exaggerated, too. Most Russians probably did not understand what exactly was happening. The whole thing lasted only 24 hours or something. And the Russian TV did not give out any info. The Wagner guys were probably lying to the Russians that they encountered, they could even be telling them that they have orders from Putin, and the Russians did not really know what was going on. That's why the civilians were so friendly and did not show any fear.