Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

CNN and MSNBC have spent most of the evening trying to squeeze a bit more ratings out of the Titanic sub story than covering a potential coup in Russia.

 
If the local Russian military/reserve decide to throw in on Wagner's side, things could get very spicy in Russia over the next few days.

I wonder how the west would react to Putin nuking one of his own cities.
 
If the local Russian military/reserve decide to throw in on Wagner's side, things could get very spicy in Russia over the next few days.

I wonder how the west would react to Putin nuking one of his own cities.
I can't shake my feeling that we are missing something here. It seems too easy and peaceful so far.
 
I can't shake my feeling that we are missing something here. It seems too easy and peaceful so far.

Tin foil hat on, I guess could all be an elaborate show; some kind of distraction or something. Seems doubtful though as this is pretty embarrassing for Putin.
 


This is insane. So Prigozhin is in Rostov and demanding Shoigu and Gerasimov be handed over/come to meet him.

 
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I don't know how this thing will end for Russia, but I wanted to share this clip from The Crown with a good description of what makes coups feasible or not.

The setting is in 1968, when disgruntled politicians/elites talked about replacing PM Harold Wilson.



Successful coups require 5 key elements: 1) control of the media, 2) control of the economy, 3) the capture of administrative targets, 4) the loyalty of the military, and 5) legitimacy.

I'm not sure this is a good thing for Ukraine, to be honest.

If the MOD yields to his demands, knowing Prigozhin's willingness to go even dirtier with his combat tactics, definitely not.
 
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Our PM, Albo, has just told Russia that it should now leave Ukraine. This could have been over ages ago if only someone had thought of this earlier.
 
I was hoping for people to kick out Putin. I m not sure that a coup d etat by mercenaries is the best scenario.
 
Ukranian soldiers must opening a beverage and taking a breather watching this unfold
 
This will be an interesting weekend. Hopefully Ukrainians will be able to take advantage of the confusion.
 
only way out for prigozhin now is to fight his way to the top.
 
He hasn’t said anything against Putin so far has he? Interesting to see how he responds.
Yeah, initally it doesn't seem to be a coup against Putin. Prigozhin wants MoD leadership gone. However, all of these shenanigans affect Putin's hold on power anyway.
 
This whole opera sounds like a copy of the Erdogan fake coup. Putin will exterminate all those that he wanted dead, and that's it.
 
I wonder does “stab in the back” have those connotations in Russia given Prighozin’s supposed Jewish heritage? Remember a while back Girkin insinuating something along those lines.

repeated

 
Many online mentioning it looks like he’s in front of a green screen. I’m not massively convinced but interestingly the presidential plane left Moscow at 8:03am and landed at 11:38am (local times) in Ufa.

He’s known to have a hideout in the Urals. I guess he’s escaping over there for now.
 
Yeah, initally it doesn't seem to be a coup against Putin. Prigozhin wants MoD leadership gone. However, all of these shenanigans affect Putin's hold on power anyway.
When you start the coup like that even if you intended for it to be small, if you prevail you will become too big for the role you intended initially. He will replace Putin.