Your posts always bring me some clarity. Please don’t go anywhere.
Your posts are quite enjoyable at the moment. Find myself nodding in agreement with you very often.
Chaps, thank you, you lifted me when my spirits were down. I sometimes feel posting anything patient or positive in here is a forlorn endeavour. So it encourages me to persist when I find a few likeminded souls. Much appreciated.
Completely agree this was going to be difficult. The question is what is the cost benefit?
If we don't improve, the atmosphere turns toxic, Amorim loses the players, and we have no Europe next year (and PSR bites us) we will be starting from an even worse position next year.
And how many of the current squad will be getting significant minutes for us in a couple of years anyway?
The rot is systemic. To clean it up it will always get worse before it gets better. Two decades worth of it to clean out. PSR issues can be solved by selling one player that has no amortised cost attached. The only likely route to Europe for us is through cup success, such as the EL, but a season with less games will only help us at this point. Next season will be about bedding in the new system, some new players etc, and furthering the cultural reboot. Short term pain for long term gain.
This season still has a long way to go anyway. And a good run can lift us substantially. Bad results don’t necessarily translate to losing the dressing room. What they do do, for sure, is separate those with character, determination, and leadership qualities, from the rest - failure is a necessary part of the road to success and can be incredibly informative. If the club believe they have the right man in charge, who shares the long term vision of the club, and all the right decisions are being made, and everyone is working as hard as they can, it’s not if you will be successful, it’s when.
Looking back at Ten Hag’s reign for example, his work ethic was there but the decisions were all wrong. Unfortunately for nearly everyone on the outside of the club, we can only access the quality of decision making with the benefit of hindsight, which has zero value. Ultimately we are left with two choices….trust in the road the club leadership is taking us down, and that we have the right people in charge, and understand it will take time, or…react to individual results to question decisions, rail against the direction and push to tip it all up and start again, again. At this early stage of both Ineos and Amorim’s tenures, those are the only two choices. There is a distinct lack of track record or data to make any informed judgement outside of those two philosophical positions.
I choose to look at Berrada, Wilcox, Vivell as a leadership team, and say these are clearly top pros. Ratcliffe and his massive investment and say this is a man who’s only vested interest is success. And Amorim, one of the most coveted and highly rated coaches in Europe, and say that we have, on paper, a great leadership team in place. And if they can get recruitment right and be given time to work and reshape the squad, and see through their change project, then we will likely end up very competitive and successful again. I also see that, because of two decades of rot and over a decade of poor recruitment and terrible financial management, who have a massive mess to navigate out of and it will all take time.
In the wider, longer term scheme, losing to Bournemouth and Wolves is about as much of a bellwether as beating City was. As in, not at all. It’s too early.
I’m just going to hold the line, keep my expectations low, be patient and look at the long term picture. For me it’s all about where we are in 2-3 seasons time. At that point we should be back around the top and stay there. But that’s never, ever going to happen without painful root and branch reform.