Spurs are better because of Conte's work, before Conte signed don't think anyone had Spurs as 3rd best squad in the league.
Well that's true, and I wouldn't have said they are the third best squad in the league either at the time he arrived.
If it wasn't for the fact that Conte signed Bentancur, Kulusevski, Bissouma, Richarlison and Perisic and Chelsea lost Rudigar, Christiensen and Lukaku (without signing replacements) I wouldn't call them the 3rd best squad in the league at the moment either.
So while Conte did a good job to get to 4th he didn't just magic the players that were there into the 3rd best squad in the league, he removed the players he thought weren't up to it and brought in new players.
Now they have a better platform to launch off next season BUT if Chelsea massively reinvest I would put them over Spurs and adjust my expectations accordingly.
That's what elite managers do, get so much more than sum of its part that whole squad looks better.
Again I agree with you , which is why I never called Arteta an Elite manager (whilst stating that I believe Conte is) and have said repeatedly that if Arsenal can identify one AND convince him to go there they should do it.
Likewise average one brings down the quality of the squad.
I agree with you here too, so IMO if Arteta doesn't challenge for 4th he will have brought the quality of the squad down because it's a squad that is capable of at least challenging and hitting 70+ points.
Whether 70+ points is enough for 4th is another story (the year Ole came third he got 66 so it's possible) but if he was to hit 74 (Oles second place total) and come 5th I wouldn't perceive that as a bad job.
I would say (in that theoretical instance) he did a good job and was unlucky, while some here will say "5th isn't good enough".
They got 69 last year (beating Oles third place total in the process) and got nothing but a Europa League entry for what would have been Oles second highest points total. (74,66,66)
While you are judging a manager you should also not put managers of other teams in the equation. It should just be if there are 4 better squads or not. Atleast that is what i feel
Fine but they play a part in where the team will finish (and therefore my expectations of the clubs final league position).
If we put Moyes into City right now I don't think they would be Favorites for the League anymore for example.
You can only judge a teams seasons expectations by accurately judging their competition IMO.
I'm sure it's reflected in the gambling odds for next season.