One thing I've learned from my short time on here is there's no point in worrying about CAF predictions. We were to finish outside the top 6 and Utd were to be challengers at the start of the season. One thing we do know is bar City & Liverpool most likely, everything is up in the air, so it's hard to predict anything. Picking an order from 3rd to 7th could go any way currently.
I like to engage them regardless. I don't worry about their predictions, I just don't get the logic behind them. The whole thing is so disingenuous. At the start of the season, people confidently predicted we'd finish below teams like Villa and Leicester let alone Spurs and United. Now that we might actually do it, you get people bringing up supposedly mitigating factors like playing once a week as if they were evident all along, even though there was no hint or indication that they considered the possibility of such factors coming to our advantage. If anything, saying that no Europe was a boost to our top 4 hopes this season would have been met with derision.
For what it's worth, I do think 3rd to 6th will be quite close next season, but that's still a better position to be in than seeing qualifying for Europa League as our ceiling like at the start of this season, and I currently favour us in the upper tier of that group.
You won't be playing 1 game a week, you probably won't spend as much money as you did last season, you won't have 2 direct competitors sack a manager, not sure why I have to keep repeating this.
You repeating these points doesn't make them right.
Do you think the club hasn't considered the fact that we will have extra fixtures added to our schedule next season? Something literally every fan can see? Also, United have played what, 4 extra games because of Europe in the part of the season where the top 4 race heated up? Spurs went out of Europe in December too.
For your second point, considering we spent around £150m last summer without any funds generated from qualifying for Europe, I think it's reasonable to expect the same level of investment this coming summer. Maybe we won't spend as much from a quantitative perspective because we had more holes to fill last summer but we are clearly looking to sign two forwards and another midfielder at least. We were willing to pay over £70m for Vlahovic and we specifically alleviated our wage bill in January to prepare for incomings this summer.
We're projected to finish at around 70 points, can that be attributed to Spurs and United sacking their managers in autumn alone? That's a good enough points tally to qualify for CL on average. Over 2 points per game since we dropped Auba and started playing with our preferred system. Not to mention there is still a degree of uncertainty around Spurs' managerial situation and even assuming that they stick with Conte, he hasn't made them better than us, we're still on the same level. And as I already alluded to before, United will probably will improve under Ten Hag but it's not set in stone that you will see significant improvements immediately. Finally, Chelsea themselves are going through a volatile situation which could drag them down.
The point is that even next season, there will be an entirely new set of factors you will see as excuses to explain why a team underperformed. Anyway, I've reached my daily limit for today so hopefully I was at least able to communicate why my reasons for feeling optimistic about next season go beyond blindly trusting Arteta or whatever.