It’s important to not that caveat in the Everton case “final determination will be made by independent commission”
And that’s assuming it doesn’t also go to the court of arbitration for sport.
The FA, in particular, gets overturned all the time by them because they don’t seem to have a grasp of even their own rules.
So I would be surprised if Evertons confidence that they were within rules wasn’t upheld ultimately.
The difference with City, as I emphasized nearly a year ago: we are not talking about “rule breaches” the same way we are with other clubs. I mean we are, but the bigger issue is that they committed fraud and broke real, non sporting laws in the process of avoiding those few penalties.
That takes it to s different level for me.
“The cover up was worse than the crime” is a common expression in the States. It applies here if the info leaking out has merit.
City cannot appeal to CAS it is forbidden in the PL's charter.
I am personally of the opinion that City will suffer a massive hit - whether that means relegation or not is another matter.
The reason I think this is because of the way the PL is set up, which I think a lot of people do not understand on here. It isn't set up like a business, which has to abide by business relegations and laws (in terms of governance) and it is very much set up differently to the Associations - The FA, UEFA, FIFA etc, where they are essentially a regulator for other bodies - namely the clubs. A good example of this is how FFP is allowed to function. FFP should under all business laws be prohibited however, football operates outside of usual business so can implement such a thing.
The best way of describing the PL is like a fabulously wealthy golf club, in which every member has an equal say/share in its governance and changes can only be made if 14 of them vote the same way. They do outsource the adjudication of any accusations, for fairness - but those adjudicators have to be agreed upon by the members.
This is where City are in a lot of trouble.
Firstly, they do not have any legal recourse to go to if anything goes against them - they cannot go to CAS (as the rules of the PL forbid this) and they cannot appeal to legal courts around there exclusions/punishment if they have broken the rules of the golf club - just as someone can't go to court over being kick out of their golf clubs if they have signed up to the club with a contract saying they cannot do so if they're found to have broken its rules (which City and every other PL club have done.)
Secondly, the recommended punishment to the adjudicators will largely be decided by the clubs owing to the share spilt. Remember City here will need at least 6 other clubs to vote with them to avoid the stiffer penalties, however this will be hard for them to do. First, we have all the teams with aspirations for the top 6. Utd, Chelsea, Dippers, Arsenal, Spuds, Newcastle, Villa, Brighton and West Ham are never going to vote with them, as a harsh punishment will benefit them directly as it will open up an additionally CL/EL space for them. That is 9 clubs out. Then you have the most likely relegation threatened teams. Luton, Bournemouth, Sheffield Utd and Burnley. They'll all vote for harsh punishments as a relegated City means only two of them go down. That is 13 teams out. That then leaves, Fulham, Everton, Brentford, Wolves, Palace and Forest for them to try and work with. How many of that lot are going to work with them? I doubt many as they'll likely be fearing a downturn in form or a crack at the European spots. So, the PL is going to recommend a harsh punishment.
Third, the adjudicators only got signed off by having 14/20 clubs agreeing to them. Unless City have already bribed everyone, than that isn't likely. I say this as people need to remember the PL did not need to come out and charge City, they could've easily left it alone after they got off on the technicality with CAS. That they did not tells us that the consensus is that City need to be punished. I mean, why would the PL/clubs go through with doing so unless they're all into the extortion game and what to milk City's owners?
The fly in the obtiment here is that City have lawyered up and are dragging their heels. Going over every single charge and looking for an out - either in the terms of the PL's charter or some legal means - there are laws on membership for instance. Whist, it is more than likely that they have placed a number of injunctions on the media to protect the brand - let's not forget the sportswashing aspect.
I know if it was up to fans the owners and Pep's heads would be on spikes outside Manchester Town Hall as soon as the charges dropped, but this was always going to be a long haul job owing to City's legal team.
However, people need to think about the wider picture, which is that the PL could've easily have avoided this all if they weren't serious, that the PL's rules give City very little room to wriggle out in an appeals court and that the other clubs will benefit by punishing City - whilst they largely get to decide on the punishment.