2024 U.S. Elections | Trump v Harris

“I’m looking for a group of people that see and understand the dire situation our country is in,” wrote one poster in the Facebook group U.S.A. Militia We The People last month. “A group of people that understand that civil war is at our doorstep if Kamala makes it into office. Am I in the right place?”
In one public group called The Party of Trump, with 171,000 members, a discussion about ballot drop box monitoring prompted someone to suggest that Trump supporters come armed with their AR-15s to stand guard. In another public group called We Fight for Our Lives, someone urged others to get organized ahead of the election and suggested enlisting bikers and militia. “I’m ready to fight,” one person responded. “I’ll pull the feckin trigger fo sho” the original poster added. In another public group called SAVE THE FLAG AMERICA, someone put the stakes of the election in bleak terms: “In a matter of days, we will ascertain our financial capacity to procure essential commodities such as groceries and fuel, or, alternatively face the prospect of engaging in armed conflict.”

“Trump 2024,” someone responded. “God is always in control.”
 
Polls are not good for stress levels. Looking like this could go either way and potenyially end up 270 to 268 - the legal shenanigans and faithless elector nonsense that will come out of that will be mayhem.
 
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Realistically? I don't see it, but I would love to see how.
Harris winning the Rust Belt plus Trump winning the Sun Belt and Nebraska's 2nd district.

However in that case Trump wins due to winning more states.
 
Harris winning the Rust Belt plus Trump winning the Sun Belt and Nebraska's 2nd district.

However in that case Trump wins due to winning more states.

It’s a ways down the list of things but this is bonkers from a supposed democracy.

“We may have a tie in this hugely undemocratic process, what then?”

“Perhaps we revert to the popular vote at that point, ensure everyone in the country has an equal vote?”

“Nah, feck that, let’s go by states won and let a massively smaller number of people dictate who wins”
 


So between you and @dumbo this is the only "fecking disgusting" statement you could find from Harris on Gaza?

I do agree that she shouldn't have said "most tragic" as that leaves people the room to say that she feels that Oct 7 was more tragic that what has happened previously. I really don't think she is somehow ranking which atrocity was more tragic.

And she was right to say that Oct 7 happen first, as she contexted that with "this phase" of the conflict, as she is not pretending that the hostilities started on Oct 7, like many other Republicans would like the country to believe.

Yet you want to highlight this as your example of her "fecking disgusting" statements on Gaza?

Negating the fact she also said in that very same clip.....

Its "Undeniable what is happening in Gaza"
There are "So many tragic stories coming from Gaza"
and "What is critically important is acknowledging what has happened in Gaza in terms of the extraordinary number of innocent Palestinians that have been killed and talking seriously and speaking truth about that."

I challenge you to find any remotely sympathetic comments towards Palestinians, or Ukrainians for that matter, from the other candidate?
 
It’s a ways down the list of things but this is bonkers from a supposed democracy.

“We may have a tie in this hugely undemocratic process, what then?”

“Perhaps we revert to the popular vote at that point, ensure everyone in the country has an equal vote?”

“Nah, feck that, let’s go by states won and let a massively smaller number of people dictate who wins”
It's an over simplification

In a contingent election, the House selects the president and the Senate selects the vice president. House members can only choose from among the top three finishers in the Electoral College for president, and senators can choose from among the top two finishers for vice president. Kennedy would presumably need to win electoral votes – win a state or a congressional district in Nebraska or Maine – in order to be an option in a contingent election. There’s no chance of that happening at the moment.

Rather than voting as individuals, each state delegation in the House would get one vote, although how the state delegations select their preferred candidate is not spelled out. A simple majority, 26 state delegation votes, would appoint the new president.

If state delegations in the House did not select a president by Inauguration Day, January 20, the new vice president selected by the Senate would become temporary president. It is possible the Senate could select a vice president when the House is deadlocked, because in the Senate each senator would get one vote.

But ye. the gist of it is this process was never meant for the plebs but rather a group of selected elites and with enfranchisement these arcane procedures become more and more absurd.
 
Really happy GOP didn't get to remove Nebraska 2nd district, as 270 is not an unrealistic scenario.
 
Yeah, fair. Although imagine a faithless elector in Wisconsin pushing it to a tie...

I think we are in for some of the craziest few months in US political history if polls are anything to go by.

Everything is so close that it is almost meaningless to even talk about the possibility of polling error. Just 1 point on average in either candidate's favour is decisive. Could be up to 312 for Trump, or up to 319 to Harris (if it's 2 points wrong).

The margins are so thin that a tweet by Taylor Swift on election day might just be enough to tip the scales - it's crazy.
 
Really happy GOP didn't get to remove Nebraska 2nd district, as 270 is not an unrealistic scenario.

That could very well be decisive. I'm still banking on the Rust Belt + NE-2. Somewhat hopeful about GA, but I don't really dare to expect too much.
 
Whatever happens next week, if Harris wins, its likely going to get messy over the ensuing two months. Whoever wins the house is going to have a lot of say in things.

 
I have a feeling that there is enough voters to reject Trumps bullshit again. Maybe just copium.
Nah, not copium. I'm relatively confident Harris will win. It's all very close but I think Americans will not give Trump a 2nd term.

This could be a "famous last words" moment but I'll risk it.
 
Whatever happens next week, if Harris wins, its likely going to get messy over the ensuing two months. Whoever wins the house is going to have a lot of say in things.


Its sensationalist bs that has no basis in reality.

1. 5 of the 7 swing states governors are Democratic
2. The new House that oversee the certification get sworn in on Jan 3rd. If that is still a GOP house on Jan 6th then 99% Harris already lost.
 
Its sensationalist bs that has no basis in reality.

1. 5 of the 7 swing states governors are Democratic
2. The new House that oversee the certification get sworn in on Jan 3rd. If that is still a GOP house on Jan 6th then 99% Harris already lost.

We simply don't know what will happen, especially with the house so close.
 
I'm trying to avoid some of this thread bc the Trump stuff just makes me sad and angry.

I'm not otherwise this type of person but he may be the only one I may actively try and go out of my way to piss on his grave when he's gone. Anyone else feel the same?
 


Fair play to him, he's a true believer.

We simply don't know what will happen, especially with the house so close.
Dems need to flip 4 seats to win back the House, the majority of them in CA + NY. If they cant manage that then top of the ticket will have gone to shit.
 


Fair play to him, he's a true believer.


Dems need to flip 4 seats to win back the House, the majority of them in CA + NY. If they cant manage that then top of the ticket will have gone to shit.


Yes, but we don't know if that will happen or not because we have no idea who will actually turn up to vote next week. Past elections can't be used as points of reference with demographics shifting so fluidly, especially given the fact that Harris has only been a candidate for 2-3 months. The house will therefore be critical and we have no idea who will win it.
 
I have a feeling that there is enough voters to reject Trumps bullshit again. Maybe just copium.
I think this as well. Trump was a bit of a novelty and wildcard when he announced he was running in 2015, but now 9 years later (and the fact that we've all seen a Trump presidency). Throw in the fact that Trump is older, erratic and may surround himself with more sycophants in his cabinet, I think the sentiment of "I can't be asked with this" is what will help Harris