Since when have you cared about what the numbers say? These were your responses to Biden's poor polling:
This thread is unbelievable sometimes. People making failed prediction after failed prediction and acting like they've got the finger on the pulse of the American electorate.
Thanks for pointing it out.
The conventional wisdom here was that polling in late 2023 and early 2024 meant nothing, and wouldn't till the summer, when Trump's conviction would apparently be the earthquake... when he was convicted and the summer dragged on and polling got worse still, that deadline became the fall, when the campaign actually starts. When he was visibly collapsing on stage, and I, who have zero love for her, said that replacing him with Kamala would be enough to make it a fight, I got multiple disagreements/mocking responses. Then the conversation became about Newsom and Whitmer, and how Kamala is a liability. When Pelosi forced him out and Kamala effortlessly stepped in, and the polls improved overnight, there was frictionless poll posting and celebration of these polls, and equally confidently delivered takes about Superman Shapiro.
I've got plenty of predictions wrong, but I at least wait a day or two before "pivoting" into wholeheartedly endorsing what I thought was wrong or suicidal earlier. Of course, it's not just here. The pro-Kamala crowd on twitter, which was about 2/3rds of the 2020 Bernie people I follow, plus a good number of lib/centre-left pundits, was under siege from armies of Biden-or-bust insanity in their replies (including the original KHive!!), who have literally overnight become Kamala accounts.
The good thing with having zero introspection and frictionless pivoting is you get to make confident takes no matter what, and you get to support your side's Great Leader and their policies no matter what you believed under the previous Great Satan administration. The Dem base is as disciplined and cult-like as the GOP, and, for moral superiority reasons, can't even realise it.*
I don't know if Walz was right - as I've said about 5000 times, Shapiro being unapologetically racist about Palestinians and punitive to their supporters isn't a losing proposition because of how supine the base is, but, there's also a murder investigation involving a friends' family which he seems to have botched/covered-up as AG, which might look bad.
*There are a few smarter ones who have openly embraced total devotion to the Democratic party, "regime-pill" etc.