2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins

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I hope this paints a definitive picture of any 'revolution' by the younger generation. Posting in social medias from the comfort of your couch and voting in the fashionable presidential election does not a revolution make, if you don't put the hard yards for the unfashionable local elections. Rightly or wrongly, presidents can only affect policies so much and the implementation of these policies are with state and local bodies. Unless democrats and the younger obama/sanders coalition turn up for these elections, change will always be a pipe dream. For all of Obama's oratory skills and his popularity, in spite of his repeated requests for voter turnout, there was disappointing turn out in the mid term elections, with Republicans sweeping blue states like PA.

Sanders called for local turnout election and his initiative immediately fell flat on its knees because of supposed differences with Weaver and how the campaign was set up with IRS. Obviously, it had to be pure, ideological and based entirely on the grassroots movement while going up against R's who will no doubt bring the full propaganda machine driven by Citizens United. These guys never learn, in spite of what happened to Sanders against Clinton. These guys firmly believe if the grassroots youth movement had it's way, Sanders would have won and they weren't taken seriously. So much so that these disgruntled millennials find it hard to vote for Clinton and will choose Stein/Johnson. Apparently this is the same Gary Johnson who stands for almost nothing in common with Sanders apart from pot legalization. There's a reason why youthful exuberance will only get you so far and it has to work along with pragmatic decision making by seasoned veterans.

Let us hope that there is no more blaming 'triggers' and 'microaggressions' and instead there is a concerted genuine effort to make a difference. This election won't be an indicator, but the local and mid term elections will clearly show how serious we are for change.

Rant over.
 
I'm pretty sure Wallace is concerned about the perception that he will be soft on Trump because he is a Fox News employee, and will compensate by being more aggressive in his questioning. And he will be harder on Hillary as well to avoid the perception he is just going after Trump. So in essence, the final debate should be a complete brawl.
Wallace is one of the better ones on Fox iirc
 
Heard that if Trump does not win Florida, its game over and he has no chance.

Is that true?
 
Heard that if Trump does not win Florida, its game over and he has no chance.

Is that true?
He'd need to win a bunch of states that Obama won in 2012 to overcome it - Ohio, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin and New Hampshire (or Michigan instead of those last two). Unlikely.
 
He'd need to win a bunch of states that Obama won in 2012 to overcome it - Ohio, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin and New Hampshire (or Michigan instead of those last two). Unlikely.

Very slim for him to pull all those states off.

Florida? It'll come down to turn out. Demographic have the generic ballot as D +2.5

His comments on the Mrs universe will have just made more and more latinos make sure they vote.
 
It's very close at the moment. Clinton is in with a chance due to high latino population.
What's turnout like among Latino voters? Will it be higher this time due to the Trump effect? Everything I've read hints that Latinos are generally more conservative, though it seems like it might be difficult for them to vote GOP this time round. Might mean no vote at all?
 
Also, hows it looking for Congress? What sort of margin would Dems need to take that?
 
Bleak. They will take back the Senate, just, but House isn't looking bright.

I'd go out on a limp and say they gain 6-9 seats.
Any gain is good in Congress, though, so long as it ain't a loss. Republicans seem to have dominated Congress for decades (probably not the case, but just how it feels).
 
Trump's scumbag supporters came after his kids... now he's taking the fight back to Trump.

Kurt Eichenwald in... another Newsweek article. Rated Burrrrrrn.
http://europe.newsweek.com/how-donald-trump-ditched-us-steel-workers-china-505717?rm=eu

Plenty of blue-collar workers believe that, as president, Donald Trump would be ready to fight off U.S. trade adversaries and reinvigorate the country’s manufacturing industries through his commitment to the Rust Belt. What they likely don’t know is that Trump has been stiffing American steel workers on his own construction projects for years, choosing to deprive untold millions of dollars from four key electoral swing states and instead directing it to China—the country whose trade practices have helped decimate the once-powerful industrial center of the United States.

A Newsweek investigation has found that in at least two of Trump’s last three construction projects, Trump opted to purchase his steel and aluminum from Chinese manufacturers rather than United States corporations based in states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin. In other instances, he abandoned steel altogether, instead choosing the far-less-expensive option of buying concrete from various companies, including some linked to the Luchese and Genovese crime families. Trump has never been accused of engaging in any wrongdoing for his business dealings with those companies, but it’s true that the Mafia has long controlled much of the concrete industry in New York.

Throughout his campaign, Trump has maintained that some controversial decisions for his companies amounted to nothing more than taking actions that were good for business, and were therefore reflections of his financial acumen. But, with the exception of one business that collapsed into multiple bankruptcies, Trump does not operate a public company; he has no fiduciary obligation to shareholders to obtain the highest returns he can. His decisions to turn away from American producers were not driven by legal obligations to investors, but simply resulted in higher profits for himself and his family.

Hope Hicks, a spokeswoman for the Trump campaign, did not return an email seeking comment.

Oopsie, as per this article, it also describes him working with Chinese state banks AND George Soros. Doh.
 
What's turnout like among Latino voters? Will it be higher this time due to the Trump effect? Everything I've read hints that Latinos are generally more conservative, though it seems like it might be difficult for them to vote GOP this time round. Might mean no vote at all?
They're turning up in other places to burn effigies of Trump in the streets...I'm sure quite a few could be arsed to vote.

Though the Florida Latino community is unique in that there are the large numbers of Cuban refugees/descendants that were not at all happy about restarting relations with this Cuban government.
 
Throughout his campaign, Trump has maintained that some controversial decisions for his companies amounted to nothing more than taking actions that were good for business, and were therefore reflections of his financial acumen. But, with the exception of one business that collapsed into multiple bankruptcies, Trump does not operate a public company; he has no fiduciary obligation to shareholders to obtain the highest returns he can. His decisions to turn away from American producers were not driven by legal obligations to investors, but simply resulted in higher profits for himself and his family.

Publicly traded or privately held, corporations operate under the same principles - maximizing shareholder value. If you're going to criticize, at least have some idea of what you're talking about, Kurt.
 
Publicly traded or privately held, corporations operate under the same principles - maximizing shareholder value. If you're going to criticize, at least have some idea of what you're talking about, Kurt.

I know it's splitting hairs, but I read him as trying to say that it's rich of Trump to be spouting about American industries shrinking when he wasn't using them himself, not beholden to anyone but himself. Of course he's in it to maximise profit for himself when there are no shareholders, but then it doesn't tally with his guff in his tweets about supporting American jobs. Same as with his clothes manufacturing.
 


They're turning up in other places to burn effigies of Trump in the streets...I'm sure quite a few could be arsed to vote.

Though the Florida Latino community is unique in that there are the large numbers of Cuban refugees/descendants that were not at all happy about restarting relations with this Cuban government.

The state have a big influx of Puerto Ricans in recent years, about 1.2m to date iirc, plus the younger Cuban Americans are far more friendly to the Dems than their older counterparts.

Do we have historical trends for these? Because I remember similar (but directionally opposite) reaction from the primary turnout numbers.

This one has more to do with ground operation. Primary voters tend to be the hardcore type.
 




The state have a big influx of Puerto Ricans in recent years, about 1.2m to date iirc, plus the younger Cuban Americans are far more friendly to the Dems than their older counterparts.



This one has more to do with ground operation. Primary voters tend to be the hardcore type.


Oh god. That means CNN will be hyping up their poll and ignoring the others in the coverage tonight.
 
I know it's splitting hairs, but I read him as trying to say that it's rich of Trump to be spouting about American industries shrinking when he wasn't using them himself, not beholden to anyone but himself. Of course he's in it to maximise profit for himself when there are no shareholders, but then it doesn't tally with his guff in his tweets about supporting American jobs. Same as with his clothes manufacturing.

He is up against it a bit in that regard :lol:

The clothing line is a tough one. Very little of that industry isn't offshored. Most of it is through a handful of manufacturers operating under licence for a number of lines. To be a made in the USA clothier you'd need to set up virtually from scratch.
 
In the absence of trends, I could spin this easily: GOP voters = old, don't need to register.

That is, assuming he's drawing in *new* old voters. Which to date, there's sparse evidence.


I think meaningful trends don't exist because there's been a realignment of demographics in the last decades or two. Older and working whites in FL went to Clinton/Gore much more than they do now.
 
He is up against it a bit in that regard :lol:

The clothing line is a tough one. Very little of that industry isn't offshored. Most of it is through a handful of manufacturers operating under licence for a number of lines. To be a made in the USA clothier you'd need to set up virtually from scratch.

For example, here in Ireland Michael O'Leary makes plenty of noises about not living offshore in a tax haven and how much tax he has to pay, and is actually still living here and paying taxes. He's insufferable, but he has stayed here and paid. Trump is making loads of noise on the one hand, yet on the other hand doing the opposite when it comes down to his own business. Do what I say, not what I do, like.
 
He is up against it a bit in that regard :lol:

He's the master of paradox.

- Support black people development yet has staunch supporters from KKK.
- Meets Mexican president, yet wants to build wall
- Promises to reduce deficit, but supports tax avoidance as "smart".
- Stands for blue collar America, but rarely pays contractors he employs.
- Smart businessman, yet has gone through 3 bankruptcies incl $900m loss.
- The election system is gamed, but is OK as long as he wins.

There must be more...
 
For example, here in Ireland Michael O'Leary makes plenty of noises about not living offshore in a tax haven and how much tax he has to pay, and is actually still living here and paying taxes. He's insufferable, but he has stayed here and paid. Trump is making loads of noise on the one hand, yet on the other hand doing the opposite when it comes down to his own business. Do what I say, not what I do, like.
Huh? I thought your tax rates were tiny?
 
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