Will I need to spend time in Ohio to campaign for Hill or is Trumpo going to feck that state up too?
2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins
- Thread starter Raoul
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Drumpf giving a "major economic speech" in Detroit right now - getting interrupted by hecklers every 60 seconds.
2 articles arguing that trade isn't primarily to blame for falling industrial employment and falling wages:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...93d73a2_story.html?wpisrc=nl_headlines&wpmm=1
Basically a futorology question: mass unemployment is the inevitable result of technology.
https://www.jacobinmag.com/2016/08/the-forgotten-militants/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...93d73a2_story.html?wpisrc=nl_headlines&wpmm=1
Basically a futorology question: mass unemployment is the inevitable result of technology.
https://www.jacobinmag.com/2016/08/the-forgotten-militants/
AZ is more worthwhile I'd say. Much sweeter to knock McCain out.
Christ....Trump just used Bigly in his speech again. Someone may want to have a word.
Marco Rubio arguing no abortions for Zika affected babies 
He said 'If I have to err, I'll err on the side of life'. Wonder if he'll make the health insurance companies cover zika related expenses even though it's a pre existing condition and provide an individual mandate to private companies against constitution. After all, if he has to err, he can err on the side of life against constitution. fecking idiot.
He said 'If I have to err, I'll err on the side of life'. Wonder if he'll make the health insurance companies cover zika related expenses even though it's a pre existing condition and provide an individual mandate to private companies against constitution. After all, if he has to err, he can err on the side of life against constitution. fecking idiot.I had a good friend of mine argue in class one time that the pro-choice position is the pro-life decision if you care anything at all about the quality of life of the fetus in question. I think your statement above would further his pointMarco Rubio arguing no abortions for Zika affected babies
It is true though. Abortion rate drops under Democratic presidents, when social safety net is protected, economy goes up etc... People don't do abortion just for shits and giggles.
Of course. Most of pro-life people only care about the day the baby is born and then toss it over to the parents to deal with life on their own. It's not pro-life, it's just pro-embryos. In the same argument, does Marco fecking Rubio offer any assurance to family that state will bear some responsibility for making the parents bring a life to this earth with serious complications which will make their life and the baby a living hell? None whatsover. It's a position of pure hypocrisy, as sanctity of life only extends till a woman's womb and not to death penalties. Does any real pro life candidate want to abolish death penalty? No, it's because they think the person is tried and convicted by constitutional courts. It's the convenient excuse for the Christian right to switch between Bible and constitution when needed. After all, Bible tells you not to take revenge, lay down your arms and show the other cheek which is only a tiny bit different from the right to bear arms.
New Monmouth poll ( rated A+ pollster by 538):
Clinton 50%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%
Stein 2%
First time Clinton reaches the 50% mark.
Clinton 50%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%
Stein 2%
First time Clinton reaches the 50% mark.
You mean in this poll. She broke 50 in multiple polls last 2 weeks.
These numbers are also extremely promising because it's likely voter. First time Dems do better in likely vs registered ( 46-34 in that scenario, unchanged for third parties).
And SC is blue with this margin as well
You mean in this poll. She broke 50 in multiple polls last 2 weeks.
These numbers are also extremely promising because it's likely voter. First time Dems do better in likely vs registered ( 46-34 in that scenario, unchanged for third parties).
And SC is blue with this margin as well
I think this is the first poll she reached 50% with all 4 candidates, but I could be wrong.
Yeah, I think you are right.
Polls 3 weeks out from the end of the conventions tend to hold steady until Election Day, so this time next week, if Clinton leads by 7 or more, we can start talking about the HoR, barring anything truly damning from WikiLeaks.
Assange was on Bill Maher last week, and was essentially clutching at straws. But never say never.
Assange is a distinctly unlikeable individual. I get the feeling that he was bullied at school a lot.
He was pathetic. Upon being pressed by Bill, claimed that a 'William Maher' donated millions to the Clinton campaign. Got slapped down hard. Next day his team refuted his claim that they were looking to hack Drumpf's tax returns. Oh, and pretty much said Snowden sold out as well.
That man can go do one. Becoming a caricature.
Glenn Greenwald pretty much shat on Wikileaks in a slate interview last week.
Barry
Assange is probably the only real life character that's still not universally liked after portrayed by Benedict Cumberbatch.
Barry
Assange is probably the only real life character that's still not universally liked after portrayed by Benedict Cumberbatch.
Assange hated the film and tried to derail it by publishing the script before it came out. Personally I think they should do a sequel to wind him up.
Hillary killin it at over 95% on Silver's now-cast
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
Predicted winning margins in the nowcast - GA D+3.5, TX R+3
Bah I wish the election was tomorrow.
Is she peaking early though?
All in the name of transparency
The more relevant question is how will Trump get votes from college educated whites in Pennsylvania, Florida, and Ohio. She is crushing him on many of the key demographics and with each day that passes there are less people whose minds can be changed.
If RNC can get Trump to back out and have Pence running for the Presidency, it'll be a much closer contest.
It probably wouldn't be much better as Pence isn't a national figure. Also, if Trump were to back out, the sheer chaos and dysfunction that would ensure would take down any replacement candidate who attempted to unify the party in the final couple of months before the election.
If they all think he would be dangerous why are they not all voting for Hillary?
Voting for a Democrat is that horrendous to them that even though they think it's dangerous for her not to win the election they still won't vote for her.
Voting for a Democrat is that horrendous to them that even though they think it's dangerous for her not to win the election they still won't vote for her.
I'd imagine a good number of them will. She is getting about 10-15% of GOP voters. All we need is one or two more calamitous Trump episodes and everything will be etched in stone.
Rick Santorum was on Bill Maher and said 'Atta boy' for Trump having a disaster free Friday
Rick Santorum was on Bill Maher and said 'Atta boy' for Trump having a disaster free Friday
The general consensus is that if Hillary is beating Trump by about 10 points (as she is now) in September, that down ballot candidates will be forced to jump off the Trump ship and actually run against him, which could result in Trump losing yet more votes as well as the down ballot candidates alienating the Tea Party nutters who are the core of Trump's base. All Hillary has to do for the next 3-4 weeks is to keep the pressure on, not make any unforced errors of her own (such as the botched explanation about whether she lied to the FBI about her emails) and allow Trump to have a few more calamitous slip ups, then all she has to do is weather the debates in Sep and one in early Oct and ride out the final 4 weeks.
Another way to look at it - we haven't even started the ground campaign yet, where I'd be willing to bet Clinton's will be superior to Trump's on every level. Have they even released much of their background research file on him yet? Trump had a decent fundraising month in July, is that going to continue with him falling heavily behind and making more of a twat of himself?Is she peaking early though?
I've vowed to never reside in my home state until some changes occur. This would be a massive change, granted still way too many nutters in Texas and they need to keep those religious fecks off various boards.
That's the thing! Hillary hasn't really had to do anything to start gaining this lead. All her campaign has done is highlight the stupid things Trump has done on his own.
Her campaign really might not have to do much over the next 90 days. Just hold serve and let Trump wreck his own campaign.
What caused that sudden shift between them in late July?
My point is so far everything has gone right for Hillary. A solid Convention and unity of party after major speechers from big hitters, came after the embarrassing DNC email episode and FBI's decision no to press chargers. So far Trump has been self destructing himself. Soon, Hillary will have a bad month/week/fortnight.
The break up of the GOP is pretty inevitable to me, the party members and voters who have and still back Trump will never forgive this.
She got a massive bounce after the Dem convention, and Trump had a calamitous week last week. The conventions are more or less the end of act one of the general election and voters tend to have a good idea of who they are voting for in the week or two after. There are a dwindling number of people who haven't decided yet and those that still exist will decide next month during the debates.
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