Westminster Politics 2024-2029

The quotes are from a new book by Patrick Maguire and Gabriel Pogrund. Both well know for their sources in the Labour Party(It’s a follow up to their book on Corbyn)

Both work for Murdoch. And whether they have sources in Labour or not it is irrelevant. Spamming unverified shit is not really what most people look out for in political discussions.
 
You shouldn't just dismiss everything from every media you don't like as of no value and unworthy of your consideration. That's some flat earth exiting the Matrix posturing, amounting to little more than poor media literacy.

The trick is to be aware of the biases and political influence and take them into consideration. For instance Murdoch's influence on The Times is much more often about what is published rather than its veracity, whereas with Fox News and The Sun they are just mouthpieces.

Even then The Sun has had stories of journalistic value in recent years despite it being little more than a hateful trash comic.
 
Thing is we already had this deal agreed, it was an open goal to show we are business friendly. Then Reeves wanted to start fecking about with it. She's going on about growth but this is the antithesis of that. AZ were going to invest multiples of this figure and all governments want to attract this kind of high value capital investment, all except ours. It's not like AZ were bullshitting either, they've been pumping cash into other countries like the US, Canada and Singapore. They want to grow in countries that support business and this is going to be a huge warning to other companies looking to invest in this country.

And hell, who wants a domestic vaccine manufacturing capability anyway?
Just read an FT piece on it now and it's not overly clear what happened. Seems bizarre though, given Reeves' constant Truss-esque ramblings about growth and being business friendly.
 
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Just read an FT piece on it now and it's overly clear what happened. Seems bizarre though, given Reeves' constant Truss-esque ramblings about growth and being business friendly.

Truss had a credible plan for business but it wasn't costed properly, that was her downfall. Reeves appears to have no plan at all and it's very worrying. In a year or two we are going to really feel this.
 
Truss had a credible plan for business but it wasn't costed properly, that was her downfall. Reeves appears to have no plan at all and it's very worrying. In a year or two we are going to really feel this.
Oops, I meant to say it's not overly clear what happened. Were they just trying to squeeze more out of AZ cos they didn't like the fact it was a Tory deal or did AZ push for more. Seems a massive missed opportunity either way and it's hard enough to compete with the US and Singapore as it is.

You'd think after the tax hike they'd be open to using development or research grants and any other means to incentivise businesses if there's any substance to this growth push beyond Johnsonesque boosterism.
 
Rachel Reeves was facing criticism on Saturday night as it was confirmed that a report she cited as evidence that a third runway at Heathrow would boost the UK economy was commissioned by the airport itself.

Experts and green groups also challenged Reeves’s view that advances in the production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) had been a “gamechanger” that would substantially limit the environmental damage of flying, saying the claims were overblown and did not stand up to scrutiny.

In a speech in Oxford heralding her commitment to “leave no stone unturned” in the search for economic growth, the chancellor said a new runway would create 100,000 new jobs and connect the UK “to emerging markets all over the world, opening up new opportunities for growth”.

She added: “According to the most recent study from Frontier Economics, a third runway could increase potential GDP by 0.43% by 2050”.

In addition, “60% of that boost would go to areas outside London and the south-east,” she said.

The Frontier Economics consultancy has since confirmed to the Observer that it had been commissioned by Heathrow to write the report, which it insisted had been an entirely independent exercise. Heathrow confirmed it had asked Frontier Economics to do the work. It has published an executive summary online, not the entire report.

The New Economics Foundation (NEF) thinktank criticised the chancellor on Saturday night for the justifications she gave for backing a third runway, saying it also believed the methodology used had previously been judged unreliable by the Department for Transport.

Alex Chapman, senior economist at the NEF, said: “It is very concerning that the chancellor appears to be basing her support for Heathrow expansion on a figure from a report commissioned by Heathrow airport.

“Even more worrying is the fact that the methodology they have applied is one that the Department for Transport has previously decided is not fit for purpose, and that the report uses forecast data supplied by the airport itself.

“Heathrow expansion represents a major threat to the UK’s climate goals and flies in the face of scientific advice. To ensure that the claimed economic benefits are concrete, assessments should be carried out by independent government economists following best-practice methodology.

“NEF’s analysis has identified a wide range of weaknesses in the economic case, which have emerged since it was last fully appraised in 2015. Not least, the decline of business air travel, the surge in outbound leisure travel and the negative impacts on wider regions of the UK – all of which erode the potential growth benefit.”

Analysis by climate crisis website Carbon Briefsuggests that, using the government’s own figures, SAF will barely cut emissions by 2040, and any reduction will be wiped out by rising flight numbers.

Separately, in 2023, the Royal Society found that to grow enough crops – biofuels – to make all UK aviation fuel sustainable would require about half of UK agricultural land.

A spokesperson at Frontier Economics defended its record as a well-regarded consultancy.

“Frontier Economics is one of the most respected economic consultancies in Europe. We have worked for stakeholders across the aviation industry, including the UK government, the Civil Aviation Authority and airlines.

“They, and Heathrow, value our analysis precisely because it is unbiased. In this particular case, our results broadly match those previously found by the independent Airports Commission and the Department for Transport. We recognise this is a complex issue; our report is clear about all aspects: the costs, the benefits, the overall impact and the uncertainties.

Aoife O’Leary, chief executive of non-governmental organisation Opportunity Green, said increasing the number of flights in and out of the UK would not drive the economic growth Reeves was so desperate to deliver.

“Business travel represents a dwindling share of flights, while foreign tourists coming into the UK and boosting our economy are outnumbered three to one by UK tourists leaving the UK to spend money broad, taking net £41bn out of the economy. “If the government wants growth, better options for investment include boosting connectivity outside London with improved domestic public transport.” She also said that SAF was “essentially a mirage”.

She added: “Yes, these fuels are biofuels made from crops, cooking oils and other sources of plant biomass. But producing them takes up huge amounts of land, endangering food security and biodiversity. “Indeed, very little of these fuels even exist today and producing them at anything like the scale that will be needed to decarbonise aviation would be totally incompatible with any notions of sustainability.”

The Treasury was approached for comment.

https://www.theguardian.com/environ...way-report-was-commissioned-by-london-airport
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Oops, I meant to say it's not overly clear what happened. Were they just trying to squeeze more out of AZ cos they didn't like the fact it was a Tory deal or did AZ push for more. Seems a massive missed opportunity either way and it's hard enough to compete with the US and Singapore as it is.

You'd think after the tax hike they'd be open to using development or research grants and any other means to incentivise businesses if there's any substance to this growth push beyond Johnsonesque boosterism.

AZ said the terms and amount of their proposed investment had not changed. I think it's clear enough the fault is on the Treasury.
 

Reform UK can win scores of Labour seats in England and Wales, says study​

Analysis of a mega poll shows Keir Starmer would lose more seats than Tories amid voter discontent with main parties

https://www.theguardian.com/politic...-labour-seats-in-england-and-wales-says-study

Labour faces losing scores of seats to Reform UK across England and Wales as a widening section of voters lose faith in the mainstream parties, according to a new analysis seen by the Observer.

With senior figures in the Labour party now privately talking about a “change of era” in which more moderate voters are turning to Nigel Farage’s party, new research on Reform’s influence suggests it will take far more seats from Labour than from the Conservatives on current trends.

Reform would win 76 seats if an election were held now, according to a constituency-by-constituency model. Of those, 60 would be won from Labour, including seats across the “red wall”, as well as in Wales and across the south of England.

However, the analysis also reveals that even a relatively small further swing towards Reform from Labour could see the party pick up another 76 Labour-held seats.
 

Reform UK can win scores of Labour seats in England and Wales, says study​

Analysis of a mega poll shows Keir Starmer would lose more seats than Tories amid voter discontent with main parties

https://www.theguardian.com/politic...-labour-seats-in-england-and-wales-says-study

Labour faces losing scores of seats to Reform UK across England and Wales as a widening section of voters lose faith in the mainstream parties, according to a new analysis seen by the Observer.

With senior figures in the Labour party now privately talking about a “change of era” in which more moderate voters are turning to Nigel Farage’s party, new research on Reform’s influence suggests it will take far more seats from Labour than from the Conservatives on current trends.

Reform would win 76 seats if an election were held now, according to a constituency-by-constituency model. Of those, 60 would be won from Labour, including seats across the “red wall”, as well as in Wales and across the south of England.

However, the analysis also reveals that even a relatively small further swing towards Reform from Labour could see the party pick up another 76 Labour-held seats.

Just goes to prove how gullible some people are. Thinking that Nigel Farage and Reform would be able to run this country.
To those people, I would remind them of Brexit and the damage it has been and will continue do to the country.
 

Reform UK can win scores of Labour seats in England and Wales, says study​

Analysis of a mega poll shows Keir Starmer would lose more seats than Tories amid voter discontent with main parties

https://www.theguardian.com/politic...-labour-seats-in-england-and-wales-says-study

Labour faces losing scores of seats to Reform UK across England and Wales as a widening section of voters lose faith in the mainstream parties, according to a new analysis seen by the Observer.

With senior figures in the Labour party now privately talking about a “change of era” in which more moderate voters are turning to Nigel Farage’s party, new research on Reform’s influence suggests it will take far more seats from Labour than from the Conservatives on current trends.

Reform would win 76 seats if an election were held now, according to a constituency-by-constituency model. Of those, 60 would be won from Labour, including seats across the “red wall”, as well as in Wales and across the south of England.

However, the analysis also reveals that even a relatively small further swing towards Reform from Labour could see the party pick up another 76 Labour-held seats.
hung parliament next election
 
Just goes to prove how gullible some people are. Thinking that Nigel Farage and Reform would be able to run this country.
To those people, I would remind them of Brexit and the damage it has been and will continue do to the country.

It actually makes me angry. fecking imbeciles.
 

Reform UK can win scores of Labour seats in England and Wales, says study​

Analysis of a mega poll shows Keir Starmer would lose more seats than Tories amid voter discontent with main parties

https://www.theguardian.com/politic...-labour-seats-in-england-and-wales-says-study

Labour faces losing scores of seats to Reform UK across England and Wales as a widening section of voters lose faith in the mainstream parties, according to a new analysis seen by the Observer.

With senior figures in the Labour party now privately talking about a “change of era” in which more moderate voters are turning to Nigel Farage’s party, new research on Reform’s influence suggests it will take far more seats from Labour than from the Conservatives on current trends.

Reform would win 76 seats if an election were held now, according to a constituency-by-constituency model. Of those, 60 would be won from Labour, including seats across the “red wall”, as well as in Wales and across the south of England.

However, the analysis also reveals that even a relatively small further swing towards Reform from Labour could see the party pick up another 76 Labour-held seats.
And yet you look at local council elections, Reform have done horribly since the GE.

I get that these naturally have lower turnouts, but if the groundswell was genuine, then Reform would be having much better results at this level (especially given the voters who do vote in local elections are more likely to be the demographic of Reform voters).
 
I see, after the fanfare of building a 3rd runway at Heathrow, they're already backtracking.

Boris made the same pledge and it didn't go through. What makes them think their plans will be any different?

There will be the same protests, by people who decided to buy homes under the flight path and now complain that it's a bit noisy, isn't it. The environmental lobby will do everything they can to oppose it.

The merits, or otherwise, of an additional runway have been debated for decades, almost since the 2nd runway was completed.

They can promise what they like, it ain't going to happen, unless they completely ignore all the dissenting voices. Which not even those nasty Tories managed to do.
 
50 jobs a year, not to be sniffed at for a back bedroom operation but why is my man sporting the Nick Griffin nazi crop?
My unfounded guess is CEO’s are similar to Tim Allen in The Santa Claus. The GB Energy guy probably wakes up every morning with a brand new toothbrush moustache and his right arm repeatedly doing Musk salutes.

He probably didn’t have the time to fix his hair.
 
Just found £18bn to give away the Chagos Islands.

Can anybody make sense of this madness? Is there any material explaining why actually this is a good decision for the UK?

https://www.icj-cij.org/case/169

In particular, it was of the opinion that the United Kingdom’s continued administration of the Chagos Archipelago “constitutes a wrongful act entailing the international responsibility of that State”, that the United Kingdom “has an obligation to bring to an end its administration of the Chagos Archipelago as rapidly as possible, and that all Member States must co-operate with the United Nations to complete the decolonization of Mauritius”

This was backed by the UN, the UK had little choice but to carry this out. Tories then began to reopen the negotiations in 2022. UK negotiates a 99 year lease on the airbase, but original figures do not take into account inflation for that lease period. From what I'm reading today the reason for the jump between the £9bn and £18bn figure is the inflation period for that complete lease period, albeit front loaded.
 
https://www.icj-cij.org/case/169



This was backed by the UN, the UK had little choice but to carry this out. Tories then began to reopen the negotiations in 2022. UK negotiates a 99 year lease on the airbase, but original figures do not take into account inflation for that lease period. From what I'm reading today the reason for the jump between the £9bn and £18bn figure is the inflation period for that complete lease period, albeit front loaded.
The UK's hand was forced. The actual agreement does not go far enough. The Chagossians are once again being left on the sidelines, their interests not central to the agreement. Which is what should be the remedy for an ongoing colonial crime.
 
So no, then. It’s a dreadful decision again from pitiful government. More self inflicted pain with no reward.

Who on earth is our mastermind negotiator to jump from 9 to 18? Woodward?

What reward do you think the UK should be aiming towards here, considering the context and situation?

The UK's hand was forced. The actual agreement does not go far enough. The Chagossians are once again being left on the sidelines, their interests not central to the agreement. Which is what should be the remedy for an ongoing colonial crime.

Is that not an issue for Mauritius to decide?
 
Is that not an issue for Mauritius to decide?
No. The Chagossians in the Chagos Islands (there were others living on Mauritius and the Seychelles) were British subjects when we depopulated the islands in the 60s and 70s. We wished a lot of them on to Mauritius without adequate compensation. And under international law as a colonising power we have a duty to ensure their welfare. They are also a minority group in Mauritius and have not been historically well treated. The UK owes both legal and moral obligations here towards this population.

E: With this agreement the UK is at risk of abandoning its subjects/citizens yet again.
 
UK National Archives, FO 371/190790, D A Greenhill (Foreign Office Deputy Under-Secretary) to P Gore-Booth (Foreign Office Permanent Under-Secretary) (24 Aug 1966):

‘Unfortunately along with the Birds go some few Tarzans or Men Fridays whose origins are obscure, and who are being hopefully wished on to Mauritius etc’

In 2010 Wikileaks obtained a document from the BIOT Commissioner, Colin Roberts. In the document, Roberts spoke of the benefits of the Marine Protection Area as follows:

Roberts stated that … there would be “no human footprints” or “Man Fridays” on the BIOT’s uninhabited islands. He asserted that establishing a marine park would, in effect, put paid to resettlement claims of the archipelago’s former residents … [because] the UK’s “environmental lobby is far more powerful than the Chagossians’ advocates”.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/us-embassy-cables-documents/207149
 
Just goes to prove how gullible some people are. Thinking that Nigel Farage and Reform would be able to run this country.
To those people, I would remind them of Brexit and the damage it has been and will continue do to the country.
Well if it happens then there's no way the UK can complain about Trump and MAGA having basically followed the same path
 
So no, then. It’s a dreadful decision again from pitiful government. More self inflicted pain with no reward.

Who on earth is our mastermind negotiator to jump from 9 to 18? Woodward?
Did you not read the reply? It's not a decision by this current government, it's an obligation for the country.