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Fun fact.
Dan Ashworth sold Gyokeres to Coventry for just £1 million.
Dan Ashworth sold Gyokeres to Coventry for just £1 million.
I remember the Arturo Vidal megathread from 2014. He'd just turned 27 during the summer we were after him, and the early naysayers would round that up to 28. Further naysayers who arrived later to the thread would see the references to 28 and ask if we should be signing a player who's nearly 30.And he's not even 27. He turned 26 in June ffs. We keep adding extra age and extra shit for this guy.
Yeesss the legendary Vidal thread. No more muppetry these daysI remember the Arturo Vidal megathread from 2014. He'd just turned 27 during the summer we were after him, and the early naysayers would round that up to 28. Further naysayers who arrived later to the thread would see the references to 28 and ask if we should be signing a player who's nearly 30.
I think there is no way Amorim leaves a perfect situation in Lisbon to come and be consigned to bargain basement dealings. We will have another £200m window, I also suspect that some of our saleable players will find out they are not in the coach's plans going forward and move on.No one knows the future of course. However I can't see us spending 70m-100m on a striker when
a- we've already got Hojlund in the team.
b- we need a LWB, a CM, a CB, and possibly a no 10/winger
c- the issue upfront is, in my opinion, our lack of assists.
Things would change though if we were able to somehow get rid of Rashford for a good price
come one man, we are blaming Rashford decline on Ten Hag now? He was on the verge of being castrated by the fans before Ten Hag gave him a brief revival.
Agree on the rest but its clear we need a more senior and established number 9 and even Ten Hag said so, the numbers don't lie and our goal scoring has been anemic or a few years now, including Oles finals season
He might be. Not even Daniel James and Antony were this underwhelmingIs this a record time for a player to fall under deadwood category from their signing amongst United fans? I think it could be.
I think there is no way Amorim leaves a perfect situation in Lisbon to come and be consigned to bargain basement dealings. We will have another £200m window, I also suspect that some of our saleable players will find out they are not in the coach's plans going forward and move on.
It's also incumbent on Amorim to work on some players and make them useful for roles in his system, for a couple of years at least, so that he limits the number of positions he needs to strengthen thereby increasing the budget for the forward positions. I'd suggest trying out Antony for LWB role, Amad for one the AM roles, Amass also for LWB, Shaw for LCB etc.
If we go into the summer needing like three players we can get top quality players, it now depends on our scouting because we have, on more than one occasion, wasted huge fees on flops. But you could get an £80m striker, £50m CM and a £70m CB for £200m. Obviously sales will drive down the net spend but that's what we should be looking at doing.
I hear you and there is nothing I want more than for United to rely more on scouting and youth than paying huge fees. Huge fees take a long time to recover from if a player flops and it's not helped by how the spotlight is always on the club and goings on with it.I don't know Amorim enough to counter that and TBF I am surprised of how cocky managers tend to become once they come to United. Moyes spent his entire career managing the likes of Freddie Flintstone in midfield. Once he came to United he aimed for prime Bale, prime Fabregas and he thought it was a good idea spending silly money to bring Freddie Flintstone at United. Same can be said about the likes of ETH who thought that the only way to success was to splash ridiculous money on an Eredivisie side. I have no idea what ETH was smoking when he gave the thumbs up for Antony on 80m (or Ole's Maguire deal) but I'd love to try that one day.
However outside the United bubble, things work very differently. Take Simone Inzaghi as an example. Inter had a very modest 21-22 transfer window with Vanheusden being the highest transfer signing (16m euros) followed by Dumfries (14m). The season after they spent 65m euros, the season after that 73m euros and this season 76m euros. Throughout that time they broke the 30m barrier twice with Frattesi (this season) and Pavard (last season). Bayern is considered relatively high spenders but in the past 3 years they never went beyond the 200m euros barrier in terms of transfers . We did it 3 times in 3 years (243m which included the fenomeno Antony, 202m which included Mr consistent Mason Mount and this season with 214m). That's more to even Real Madrid who spent 140m the season before this and 80m in 22/23. These are clubs who constantly make in to the CL and do well in it.
This club is losing money. There's also a stadium and a squad that needs to be built and very little appetite in looking ridiculous as we've been doing by spending 80m on Antony and another 80m on Maguire. INEOS had also invested heavily on the a top top CEO, the best Sporting director in the country and a manager whose renowned in building a squad around youths. I don't think that they'll be plenty of appetite for INEOS to go on and spend 200m again.
No Rashford takes a lot of the blame on himself, but there have been times where he plays a run of games at a very high level - it’s up to a good coach to get those levels from him more consistently and we haven’t had that coach in a long time.
Acting as if he’s a busted flush that has never been capable of scoring or creating goals isn’t right either. Nor is dismissing the likes of Hojlund, Zirkzee, Garnacho and Amad as hopeless.
How many experienced stopgap no9s have we brought in over the past decade and what has it done for us in the long run? Did Falcao, Cavani, Lukaku, Weghorst, Ibrahimovic or Ronaldo leave us in a better place than they found us?
We’ll have 6 months to see what he can do with the options we have. If in the summer we are clearly creating a platform from which to launch attacks, but either the wide and supporting attackers still cant create chances, or the chances are being created but the centre forwards can’t finish, then we can look to bring in better options then.
Hes never been a consistent performer in his career at any point, if he puts in some good performances between now and the end of the season, he should be immediately sold to the highest bidder.
Also I did not dismiss the rest of the players read my post.
I never mentioned anything about a stop gap number 9 either read my post
I hear you and there is nothing I want more than for United to rely more on scouting and youth than paying huge fees. Huge fees take a long time to recover from if a player flops and it's not helped by how the spotlight is always on the club and goings on with it.
However, if you look at your examples none of those teams is in the PL. In this league you can't afford to wait around and find out because there are about four teams ready to take your place. Even this great Liverpool side, which has been admirably assembled, has failed to play CL football on one or two occasions. The league is just too competitive to ignore first team needs.
That's why I am saying we are going to need another big window to bring in a top striker, a top CB and possibly a top midfielder. We have physical limitations in defense where our quickest CB is 18, we could amble along with De Ligt and Martinez as his partners but I think we need a more physically imposing CB who is quick and technical. The striker is non negotiable for me, we can't wait to find out how Hoijlund will fare. In midfield we can penny pinch given that we have Casemiro who is quietly having a good season, Ugarte who is settling in and Mainoo who is our great midfield hope.
If Amorim is going to thrive here he is going to have to be pragmatic with his demands and appreciate that we can't buy six players in one go. He will need to find uses for other players who are struggling and for youth yearning for opportunities because if he is not smart he will go the way of others - always moaning that I didn't get the DM or striker that I wanted having spent half a billion on dross.
Liverpool and Arsenal are pretty settled but look at the money they are spending even then. I wouldn't trust figures coming out City btw. But all of them are circa £400m - £500m in three seasons, we were starting from a much lower base and doing it with an incompetent executive team. All those points mean that going forward we have to spend to catch up or we risk falling further behind.Liverpool (42m, 172m, 143m), Arsenal (109m, 235m, 186m) and City (25m, 260m, 155m) beg to differ. These are clubs who tend to make it in the CL on a regular basis and they sell far better then we do.
United has to buy multiple players. First of all because we lack the players with the intensity Amorim needs. Secondly because the new system is unsuited for our team and thirdly because there are players who are with 1 year left on their contract. To give a better picture of things
WB - We have no LBs and Garnacho/Rashford are too lazy for the role
CB- Maguire, Lindelof and Evans are set to leave. We would need at least 1 CB to replace them, possibly two.
DM - We're probably need a cover for Ugarte
MC- Casemiro/Mainoo might do the trick but I'd rather see us bring someone young now (Nypan?)
No 10: Bruno is fine but can we count on Mount to remain fit?
No 10/winger: Is Garnacho/Rashford intense enough for the role?
Now as said before certain bargains can be stuck. I am sure that United will be scouting the likes of Tah, Alfonso Davies, Alvaro Fernandes, Nypan and possibly considering the return of Angel Gomes. However as SJR said we simply have to start finding the next Mbappe. That's why we spent big to get the likes of Berrada, Ashworth and Amorim.
I am not excluding the signing of Gyokeres. However a well run club would be asking questions such as....if we're spending 80m-100m on Gyokeres while concurrently revamping the creative spark in the team (which I think is the real issue here) then a responsible club would be asking why the feck we're still keeping the likes of Rashford, Hojlund and/or Zirkzee? I can't see us going for such an expensive deal without 2/3 out of Zirkzee, Antony, Hojlund, Mount and Rashford leaving for decent money.
The team has struggled for goals for years, and some of you don't want to sign a guy that is banging in goals for fun and wants the team to instead rely on Rashford, Hojlund and Zirkzee for goals instead. Laughable really.
Fun fact.
Dan Ashworth sold Gyokeres to Coventry for just £1 million.
As I was driving home from a business trip i just heard on radio about 40 mins ago that the reason Gyokeres doesn’t want to leave in January is that he has some kind of agreement with Amorim for next season. Comes from a former Portuguese ref Pedro Henriques turned pundit. I don’t really know how reliable he is.
And we’ve done this deal in Hojlund who’s 21 years old and scored 16 goals in all competitions last year including 2 goals against Bayern Munich.Mane was 24 years old and was bought for 34m. He was fresh from a stellar season in the EPL having scored 15 goals in all competitions including 2 goals against Liverpool and a hat trick against City. That's the sort of deals we should be making
Agreed.I'm pretty sure every Utd fan would be really happy if we sign him and he scores 25 goals a season for us for 5 years.
No one is really saying otherwise, just some people being a bit cautious about the quality of league. Then being shouted down by a lot of the same people who wouldn't shut up about Hojlund's goals per minute record in Serie A and his international record in the Euro qualifiers.
Fun fact.
Dan Ashworth sold Gyokeres to Coventry for just £1 million.
What about the goals he's scored in the Champions League and internationally?
Club | Matches | Goals | Squad Value |
SC Farense | 3 | 6 | 18,980,000 € |
CF Estrela Amadora | 3 | 4 | 16,000,000 € |
FC Porto | 3 | 4 | 351,750,000 € |
FC Vizela | 2 | 4 | 10,730,000 € |
Casa Pia AC | 3 | 3 | 20,230,000 € |
FC Arouca | 3 | 3 | 35,400,000 € |
Boavista FC | 2 | 3 | 15,600,000 € |
Portimonense SC | 2 | 2 | 11,100,000 € |
GD Chaves | 2 | 2 | 7,650,000 € |
Rio Ave FC | 2 | 2 | 31,700,000 € |
Gil Vicente FC | 2 | 2 | 23,230,000 € |
Vitória Guimarães SC | 2 | 2 | 47,430,000 € |
Avs Futebol | 1 | 2 | 18,400,000 € |
CD Nacional | 1 | 2 | 15,680,000 € |
SC Braga | 3 | 1 | 127,450,000 € |
FC Famalicão | 3 | 1 | 50,400,000 € |
Moreirense FC | 2 | 1 | 25,950,000 € |
SL Benfica | 2 | 1 | 335,500,000 € |
Estoril Praia | 3 | 0 | 23,050,000 € |
Club | Squad Value | League |
Aston Villa | 615,450,000 € | Premier League |
Bournemouth | 354,850,000 € | Premier League |
Marseille | 305,300,000 € | Ligue 1 |
Bologna | 276,800,000 € | Serie A |
Lille LOSC | 263,700,000 € | Ligue 1 |
Rennes | 203,250,000 € | Ligue 1 |
Ipswich Town | 195,400,000 € | Premiership |
Burnley | 187,500,000 € | Championship |
Leeds | 173,580,000 € | Championship |
Torino | 172,020,000 € | Serie A |
Freiburg | 169,050,000 € | Bundesliga |
Union Berlin | 122,180,000 € | Bundesliga |
Mainz | 93,450,000 € | Bundesliga |
AC Monza | 92,680,000 € | Serie A |
Hull City | 76,333,000 € | Championship |
Birmingham City | 41,600,000 € | League One |
Troyes | 19,050,000 € | Ligue 2 |
Stockport County | 11,380,000 € | League One |
Wrexham | 11,230,000 € | League One |
Liverpool and Arsenal are pretty settled but look at the money they are spending even then. I wouldn't trust figures coming out City btw. But all of them are circa £400m - £500m in three seasons, we were starting from a much lower base and doing it with an incompetent executive team. All those points mean that going forward we have to spend to catch up or we risk falling further behind.
Like I said previously, if Amorim thinks he is going to get solutions to 5 or 6 positions in the market then he is in for a whole lot of trouble as it is not just feasible. He is going to have to compromise, be creative and develop players for other positions. If he doesn't do that then he is going to be in a perpetual rebuild but if he can get two or three current players to fill roles in his system he can then use the availed budget more pointedly towards high impact players.
First summer he's got to bring in a striker and a quicker CB to play the CCB role. A midfielder will be handy too. This means that he's got to find solutions within the squad and the academy for the LWB role, the second 10 and CM.
In his second summer he can then go for that LWB, RWB and 2nd 10/winger if none of the current players step up. Buying players at 20m a pop and spreading the budget can also mean compromising on quality. So he has to do a phased build while leaning on the academy for solutions to fill out the squad in the meantime.
International football is what it is. As a comparison, Lewandowski has 11 goals in his last 25 internationals. That spans over 3 years. Two of those goals came against France. One against Belgium. The other eight were against pretty poor sides.C.L is one thing - internationally, the majority of his goals have been against awful opposition. 10 out of 15 goals have been against Estonia and Azerbaijan - but of course those are great numbers against most teams.....
And we’ve done this deal in Hojlund who’s 21 years old and scored 16 goals in all competitions last year including 2 goals against Bayern Munich.
But fans have given up on him after 10 games this season.
Done a quick bit of basic analysis Gyokeres' goals and the Portuguese league...
Portuguese League Goals
Below are the goals Gyokeres has scored in the Portuguese league. It shows the number of times Gyokeres has faced them, the number of goals he has scored, and the total market value of that team.
Club Matches Goals Squad Value SC Farense 3 6 18,980,000 € CF Estrela Amadora 3 4 16,000,000 € FC Porto 3 4 351,750,000 € FC Vizela 2 4 10,730,000 € Casa Pia AC 3 3 20,230,000 € FC Arouca 3 3 35,400,000 € Boavista FC 2 3 15,600,000 € Portimonense SC 2 2 11,100,000 € GD Chaves 2 2 7,650,000 € Rio Ave FC 2 2 31,700,000 € Gil Vicente FC 2 2 23,230,000 € Vitória Guimarães SC 2 2 47,430,000 € Avs Futebol 1 2 18,400,000 € CD Nacional 1 2 15,680,000 € SC Braga 3 1 127,450,000 € FC Famalicão 3 1 50,400,000 € Moreirense FC 2 1 25,950,000 € SL Benfica 2 1 335,500,000 € Estoril Praia 3 0 23,050,000 €
- We can see from the Data that 27 of Gyokeres' goals have come vs 7 teams.
- Porto are the obvious standout, in terms of squad market value, remove them and he's scored 23 goals against six teams with a total market value of 117,000,000 EUR
- There are only two other teams in the Portuguese league (minus Sporting) with a squad market value of over 100,000,000 EUR, Benfica and Braga. Gyokeres has 2 goals in 5 appearances vs these teams.
Comparison Data for Squad Market Value
Below is some Data for squad market values for teams around Europe that I just picked completely off the top of my head at random for comparison purposes.
Club Squad Value League Aston Villa 615,450,000 € Premier League Bournemouth 354,850,000 € Premier League Marseille 305,300,000 € Ligue 1 Bologna 276,800,000 € Serie A Lille LOSC 263,700,000 € Ligue 1 Rennes 203,250,000 € Ligue 1 Ipswich Town 195,400,000 € Premiership Burnley 187,500,000 € Championship Leeds 173,580,000 € Championship Torino 172,020,000 € Serie A Freiburg 169,050,000 € Bundesliga Union Berlin 122,180,000 € Bundesliga Mainz 93,450,000 € Bundesliga AC Monza 92,680,000 € Serie A Hull City 76,333,000 € Championship Birmingham City 41,600,000 € League One Troyes 19,050,000 € Ligue 2 Stockport County 11,380,000 € League One Wrexham 11,230,000 € League One
- You can see from this comparison that the Portuguese league is weak, if we use 'squad market value' as an indicator of squad strength (not perfect I know, but an inidication).
- We see that a fair Premier League opponent like Bournemouth are on par with the best opponent he'll have faced in Portugal
- We see that the 6 clubs he has scored 23 goals against have a lower combined market value than Union Berlin
- We see that 3 clubs (accounting for 8 of his goals) have a lower market value than Wrexham and Stockport County, League One teams who were in the Conference two seasons ago.
- Mid-table teams in 'farmers leagues' like Ligue Un and the Bundesliga have values that would put them 2nd only to Porto (and Sporting) in Portugal
- Troyes, in the French 2nd Division, outrank 8 Portuguese teams
Now, take from this what you will....but my point is...this lad has scored a hatful of goals and looks useful....but let's be realistic about his age, his market value...and who he has scored those goals against...BEFORE we decide he's the answer to all our woes
Be in no doubt, the Portuguese league is very, very weak...much weaker than Ligue Una and the Bundesliga and arguably much weaker than the Championship, on balance.
Is there a source for this? Because he was the technical director at Brighton.Fun fact.
Dan Ashworth sold Gyokeres to Coventry for just £1 million.
Fun fact.
Dan Ashworth sold Gyokeres to Coventry for just £1 million.
Like I said take all City numbers with a pinch of salt because they could be understating their buys and overstating their sales. Also remember that City were spending on a title winning side so they could take chances and therefore their transition has been seamless.We've been outspending almost everyone since SAF's retired.
The 2-3 signings per year make sense in a settled side. In such circumstances you'll be replacing a player or two who got injured/old/who wants out. But it doesn't really make sense in a squad who is the middle of a rebuild. SAF for example brought 6 signings in 1988 and another 6 in 1989. We're talking of a time when the squad was pretty much made up of 15-20 players. Pep signed 10 players in 2016. Sure half of them were youth/nobodies but others were the likes of Bravo, Gundogan, Sane, Stones and Nolito. He signed 7 the year later with most being important signings (Jesus, Silva, Ederson, Walker, Luiz, Danilo and Mendy). Signing a good number of players allow the manager to set the squad in track but also to keep the player he's already got on their toes. If someone slips then he can be replaced.
The issue lie in fees and we need to be smart about it. For example Pep's City had only bought two players who were more expensive then Harry Maguire and Antony ie Gvardiol and Grealish. They are also very good in selling their youths.
Arsenal forum: buy buy buy
Chelsea forum: buy buy buy
Newcastle forum: buy if we sell Isak
Liverpool forum: Top man
Redcafe: He is 27 and only scored over 60 goals in 50 games. Purple patch over 2 seasons.
In the past 5 years Arsenal made 1 signing which was 80m+, same as Liverpool. They also spent less then we do. We also top the list in terms of negative net spendLike I said take all City numbers with a pinch of salt because they could be understating their buys and overstating their sales. Also remember that City were spending on a title winning side so they could take chances and therefore their transition has been seamless.
It's very easy to bring in Bernado Silva for £40m odd when you still have David Silva or to take a chance on Gundogun when you have the likes of Fernandinho. If they don't work you still have the spine of your title winning side intact and if they do you look like a genius. Very different when you need a top striker and the one you have can barely manage 10 in the league, we did something similar with Zirkzee and we look like we will get burned again. We can't compromise on the striker and CB, we just can't.
Exactly, going by market value United should be a great team and playing great, not really the case so far.A problem with your analysis is that you're trying to use market value as a stick to beat Gyokeres with but then the same website has Gyokeres as the 42nd highest player in the world in terms of market value. So if you're using market value as a way to analyse players in a squad then in terms of individual players, Gyokeres is the 42nd best player in the world.
Another reason market value can be bollocks - Lewandowski due to his age is 15m yet he's still a top 5 in the world striker.
By market value United should be a great team and playing great, not really the case so far.
Either United get him or someone else will, it's a gamble but you either right and dodge a bullet or be fuming you missed on a great striker.
No risk, no reward.
Thing is though, even if Gyokeres was mediocre I still think he'd get 15-20 goals a season for us minimum.Generally speaking it's much better to err on the side of missing out on a great player than signing a mediocre player for great-player money. Because in the former case you still have that money to spend on an alternative who might also be excellent. Whereas in the latter case you get have neither a great player nor the resources for the alternative.
Not every signing have to be amazing, but we've got to start avoiding the big expensive misses.
But then it all depends on just how much Gyokeres would go for. There's certainly a price point where the risk is worth it.
£49-58 Million is a good price for me.Put it this way: Viktor for 65 is far more attractive than Nunez at 70m was a couple of years ago
Put it this way: Viktor for 65 is far more attractive than Nunez at 70m was a couple of years ago
Yeah think people are underestimating how expensive strikers really are in todays market. Solanke had one solid year and went for 60 and he’s not that special.£49-58 Million is a good price for me.