US Presidential Election: Tuesday November 6th, 2012

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Oh now Gingrich ripping Silver and the NY Times and then using Gallop and Rasmussen to refute Silver's latest posts.

Gingrich claims Romney will win the vote by 53-47% or higher. The man is delusional but obviously he knows he has to pull for the GOP candidate (he hates Romney with a passion).

I was watching that. Its hilarious watching these guys trying to refute Math.


Silver is what pundits and commentators hate. They try to paint a picture of ever changing dynamics and "breaking news". Whereas Silver with pure Math is able to give definitive answers rather than wishy washy punditry.
 
The map on fivethirtyeight has gone dark blue everywhere -including CO, NH, IA - and light blue for Florida. I like that. :D
 
is the Dem candidate a poor one...

any issues?

He's all right. Lt. Governor, nothing too embarrassing/bad. The current governor is a bit of an idiot and has ties to Mike Easley who was convicted of felony campaign finance violations. State democrats have been fairly corrupt for decades. One GOP member of the legislature switched parties for money to become a democrat. They had power so long they did whatever they wanted with impunity. Now the worm has turned. The GOP has its turn to play its dirty tricks in terms of politics.
 
Deeply considering a massive bet on Obama winning the election. Nate Silver has him at 91%. Sam Wang 99%. Paddy Power 2/9. Can't see how he loses with the polling. A grand gets me about 225 quid.
 
Good stuff RD. I particularly agree with the bit about the Repubs coming back to the center. We need a worthier opposition for any of this to make sense again.

the tea party and the religious groups will be hard to get rid of...zealots are very strong.

I think the party will need to be broken before it can come to the center. It will need very strong leaders..like Powell, Wilkerson and Lugar to do it. They will need to get rid of teh Roves.

Otherwise the GOP will become a regional party...fast. I cannot see the GOP as it is now winning the presidency in the foreseeable future.

btw I just got a call from a Romney canvasser... I did not let him finish what he wanted to say.

I simply said I am not voting for Romney .
 
Deeply considering a massive bet on Obama winning the election. Nate Silver has him at 91%. Sam Wang 99%. Paddy Power 2/9. Can't see how he loses with the polling. A grand gets me about 225 quid.

Just be wary of the shenanigans in Florida and Ohio. You don't want Mitt Romney to be President AND and be down a grand.
 
Did my boy Gary Johnson just call the US a sabre rattler?!?!?!? Oh no he didn't!!!
 
He's all right. Lt. Governor, nothing too embarrassing/bad. The current governor is a bit of an idiot and has ties to Mike Easley who was convicted of felony campaign finance violations. State democrats have been fairly corrupt for decades. One GOP member of the legislature switched parties for money to become a democrat. They had power so long they did whatever they wanted with impunity. Now the worm has turned. The GOP has its turn to play its dirty tricks in terms of politics.

ahhh. now I see.

don't blame them at all.
 
I don't mind Gary Johnson actually, he just needs to calm his tits on corporate tax.....in fact he needs to calm down period, he's looked pointlessly and excessively angry throughout all of this debate so far.
 
Just be wary of the shenanigans in Florida and Ohio. You don't want Mitt Romney to be President AND and be down a grand.
Florida doesn't matter. No way they do enough dodgy shit in Ohio to turn around a 3% deficit.

I could just do a smaller bet on Over 300.5 electoral votes at 5/6. Seems to be about as good value.
 
Florida doesn't matter. No way they do enough dodgy shit in Ohio to turn around a 3% deficit.

I could just do a smaller bet on Over 300.5 electoral votes at 5/6. Seems to be about as good value.

That's true enough. As is your second point but I'm still a bit worried. Bear in mind that my confidence veers between the two extremes of RD and Plech at regular intervals.
 
Jill Stein just labelled India and Pakistan as Middle Eastern nations. I still love her though.

She also wants no nuclear power plants or weapons. Yikes. Maybe we can create power from good feelings or something.
 
Priebus reminds me of pig vomit from Howard Stern fame.

Watch out for them caterpillars, Reince. I hear they can be quite nasty when angry.

What the feck kind of name is Reince anyhow? Another one of those rich, elite names?
 
Do Americans hate Morgan as much as we do?
 
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