US Presidential Election: Tuesday November 6th, 2012

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:lol:

There's a great book by Douglas Adams and John lloyd called The Meaning of Liff, in which they give dictionary definitions to obscure place-names. The definitions are often convoluted and clever, but there's one that cracked me up with its concise literalness:

Wetwang [n] - a moist penis.



:lol:

Yes! I have that very book.

Lindisfarne. (adj)

Descriptive of the pleasant smell of an empty biscuit tin.
 
Fox News is amazing. Krauthammer was moaning earlier about Sandy stopping Romney's momentum.

I mean seriously, was that the worst part about the storm?

Now Hannity moaning that the president did his photo op and left. Now Giuliani moaning about Libya.

Fair and Balanced analysis ofcourse. Presenting both sides.
 
Anybody from any side comfortable with the idea of denying those that disagree with them the right to have a say, could happily lay claim to that argument. That goes for despots as well.



In fact those other things really, really do matter as those are the strata on which things actually get discussed and where minds get changed. It needs to be acknowldged and indeed celebrated that very smart people can disagree on very important things, and that's the only environment where respect -> consensus -> governance can flourish. The thing is that we are increasingly refusing to believe that. We're also increasingly voting in demagogues that pander to this destructive nonsense, with the right admittedly and overwhelmingly driving the trend.

I will state categorically that there are people on the right (and of course the left) that know more, are smarter and wiser, and understand the issues much better than I do. Given that, it would be arrogant of me, and unhealthy to society to count any of them out, or to even brand their whole side as uninformed. I'm not even sure how you logically square how half the country can disagree with us. Do you really see all of them as stupid/uninformed/evil/selfish/manipulated? For all those people that statistically just can't make sense. Witness the good Mr. Marcello who's come over to the light. I doubt he switched sides because our lot were calling him this and that.



Yes, their vote will be counted, but only sort of, though from your tone...



...it sounds like you'd happily have them discarded and that's what I'd take issue with.

Sorry Red, I don't mean to have a pop at you. This rant isn't really at you, but what I've unfairly chosen these posts of yours to represent. I like your politics, am in awe at your political diligence, and you're a swell eChap. A big part of why I don't say much around these parts is because you've already said it. However, I really do abhor your (and I think most of you on here) outlook concerning the "other side". This partisanship is all part of the problem. Folks on this thread (and all over this internet) are having too much fun painting the other side with cartoonish palettes. Monocle wearing blue-bloods, racist revivalists, yank retards etc. Like some of you I do actually live here and am confounded where folks think this approach is going to lead. You can't think that this caricaturing is actually supposed to change any minds, and I'd thought that's what this whole campaign lark is supposed to be about.

Anyway, the net of ideas for this rant has already frayed and I've wandered off. I reckon this thread has got me addled as it's mired in what's so misleading about the electoral process here. Minds are long made up, and are instead engaging in incessant statistical analysis of what some ridiculously small subsection of the populace in a ridiculously small subsection of states that might still be in play. This is more about consultants, pollsters, and pundits than it is democracy.

Yer man Springsteen was on form today. Good for him. Said some great things about our Barrack.

no worries mate. It was a rant borne out of tension nervousness and personal prejudice....

I have worked with cowboys and people from the South....some of the most welcoming people. But boy do they vote against their own interests.

Its simply culture imo. They see it as the 'yankees' against the 'old south'.

I've said elswehere I don't want to see any party..even the Democratic party as having all teh power...it really will be the beginning of the end.

The GOP needs to come to teh center. Will be damned hard. But some brave Republicans need to stand up...be ready to be called and treated as 'traitors' even.

The two parties need to be closer policy wise for the country to be strong. a house divided cannot stand.

So of course you are right.

But I believe the 2000 elections were the first one where there was a split between an Electoral and popular vote. That is where my rationale came about all votes being counted. Not sure if there will ever be a change to our current system. It has worked so far and it will work fine if we can reverse all this obscene money that is involved.

As for our Mr. Marcello. yeah he does make the entire Cafe proud. :)

good lad.

EDIT: The point I was making re: EV versus popular vote is that I think it is almost impossible for there to be a split election.
 
Next up on Hannity, Ann Coulter to present the President's 4 year report card.

I'm sure that will be fair and balanced too.
 
I think it's mixing up the total early vote lead for Obama in 08, and the totals of the registered votes for each party (there are a lot of indies as well, who'll likely go Romney) so far this time. The focus on the Republican number is also a bit of a red herring, since it only matters if they're getting unlikely voters out as the Dems will be. If you're just transplanting people that would vote on election day anyway, makes no difference to the total.
Gotcha.
 
Man, I wish I had Fox on the box for the election day. Will have to make do with CNN.

"100% of the votes are in and Obama has won decisively. However Romney has declared victory. We rate this to be half-true."
 
Looking forward to when Jill Stein proposes making everyone vote via that website which tells you which candidate to vote for.
 
Nate Silver has Florida leaning Obama now !!

Sam Wang has Florida tied - was leaning Romney before-

Despite Ipsos Florida poll today giving the edge for Romney + 1 !!!

Make of all that what you will.
 
Holy gash of the ancients, the 538 update is immense so far, Florida's gone blue. Don't think he's added all the polls yet though.
 
I was thinking if the caf didn't have the promotion system, this thread would have been leaning red instead. :)
 
I'm not too sure about this debate. Stein just used her second of seven rebuttals. That's not the optimal strategy, here. Didn't she learn anything from the classic Barr-Nader-RentIsTooDamnHighDude debate?


Eboue - Talking about the issues since 9:07 pm
 
Now that smug Gingrich talking about gas prices and Benzaghi, and claiming, "I don't know a single McCain voter that has switched to Obama, but I know a lot of Obama voters that have switched to Romney."
 
Got this message on twitter

" DNC chairwoman said that for Romney to overcome the early voting deficit in Florida he has to win tomorrow by more than 8%"

Is that true?
 
Was Shepard Smith the one that did the apology after that car-chase suicide? Because that was done with the class that I didn't expect from Fox.
 
Alright theres only so much of Hannity I can stand. Switch over to CNN so they can put me to sleep with their boring mutterings.
 
Now that smug Gingrich talking about gas prices and Benzaghi, and claiming, "I don't know a single McCain voter that has switched to Obama, but I know a lot of Obama voters that have switched to Romney."

Ive seen so much on Benghazi by the righties.

personally I don't know what they think the President is hiding...

I trust him...so I suppose it seems crazy. Just what the heck do they think he is hiding??
 
And from Nate on twitter :

A few more polls to add. But Obama at 91% to win Electoral College based on today's data so far

There's been a pretty clear shift toward Obama in national polls. Based on most recent data, he may lead by 2-3% in popular vote.

Obama gained an average of 1.5 points between 12 national polls published today. Big sample sizes. That's a pretty big deal.
 
Oh now Gingrich ripping Silver and the NY Times and then using Gallop and Rasmussen to refute Silver's latest posts.

Gingrich claims Romney will win the vote by 53-47% or higher. The man is delusional but obviously he knows he has to pull for the GOP candidate (he hates Romney with a passion).
 
Got this message on twitter

" DNC chairwoman said that for Romney to overcome the early voting deficit in Florida he has to win tomorrow by more than 8%"

Is that true?

Depends on how much the Dems won early voting by. Looks like just over half of the 08 turnout so far, so if Obama won early voting by a little under 8% then yeah, it would be true. The registered turnout so far is 43% Democrat, 39% Repub, 18% other.
 
Good stuff RD. I particularly agree with the bit about the Repubs coming back to the center. We need a worthier opposition for any of this to make sense again.
 
Hoping to feck Republicans blame this on going too far towards the centre. Clinton-Santorum 2016 could flip the map from Reagan-Mondale. Ish.
 
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