I think it's important to separate the Obama08-Obama12-Trump16 vote from the GOP base vote in terms of winnability. Otherwise, focus on turning out the base, on independents, and on non-voters.
Definitely.
I think it's important to separate the Obama08-Obama12-Trump16 vote from the GOP base vote in terms of winnability. Otherwise, focus on turning out the base, on independents, and on non-voters.
“The non-white Russians are not real Russians though”So all Russians are ethnically pure whites, are they? Not what I'd claim.
I think it's important to separate the Obama08-Obama12-Trump16 vote from the GOP base vote in terms of winnability. Otherwise, focus on turning out the base, on independents, and on non-voters.
I'd like somebody to explain to me just how a democrat gets one of Trumps base supporters to vote for them.
I'd like somebody to explain to me just how a democrat gets one of Trumps base supporters to vote for them.
You'd have to be like Conor Lamb, who swung his heavily pro-Trump district (+19) towards the Dems. His formula was to basically market himself as a Rino. Ex-military (Marine captain), pro 2nd amendment, pro-life (but politically pro-choice), and a look like he's from central casting. That sort of approach obviously only works in conservative districts where Trump easily won by double digits.
So how do you get Dems to vote for somebody like that then?
In Lamb's case he is the Dem so they would probably support him if it was a choice between him and some right wing Republican. This would (imo) only work in congressional districts since statewide and national demographics are different. Each candidate therefore has to evaluate the most realistic path to winning in their respective district or state. What worked for Lamb and Doug Jones wouldn't work for Ocasio-Cortez and Jacke Rosen and vice versa.
I'm talking POTUS. All this talk about dems need to do this and that to win. Fact is there is a large group of people who will never vote for a dem and I think it's getting bigger.
Right, so calling them deplorable matters not.
I'm talking POTUS. All this talk about dems need to do this and that to win. Fact is there is a large group of people who will never vote for a dem and I think it's getting bigger.
Same can also be said in the other direction though - demographic changes generally favour the Dems, and a lot of older GOP/Trump supporters will die off.
The myth of old repubs is annoying. Look at the age of the chino'd tiki-torcher nazis at that rally.
The myth of old repubs is annoying. Look at the age of the chino'd tiki-torcher nazis at that rally.
I'd like somebody to explain to me just how a democrat gets one of Trumps base supporters to vote for them.
I'm talking POTUS. All this talk about dems need to do this and that to win. Fact is there is a large group of people who will never vote for a dem and I think it's getting bigger.
That group is people is getting smaller by the generation.
Since Gallup began routinely measuring Americans' political ideology in 1992, conservative identification has varied between 36% and 40%. At the same time, there has been a clear increase in the percentage identifying as politically liberal, from 17% to 25%. This has been accompanied by a corresponding decrease in the percentage identifying as "moderate," from 43% to 34%.
I'm not entirely sure that is true. From this, it looks like conservatives are staying the same generation after generation
So...only 17% or so considered themselves as liberal in the 90s ?
Depends on how credible you consider Gallup's polling I suppose
I find the numbers highly suspect. 17% seems very low.
17% sounds believable to me. In 1992, none of Bush, Perot or Clinton were really liberal or campaigned on liberal policy after all.
But honestly I wouldn't be too surprised if that number was anywhere between 10-25%. Self-identified descriptions are never going to be all that accurate. I knew people that would have answer liberal, conservative or moderate depending on their mood and the day of the week.
No doubt the US was a center right country back then, but 17% seems almost farcically low, especially after Dukakis (an actual liberal) won over 45% of the popular vote in 88 and had a double digit lead over GHWB after the conventions.
I'm not entirely sure that is true. From this, it looks like conservatives are staying the same generation after generation
Should (as always) be noted though that what's considered conservative will often shift over time. For as much as the GOP have largely gone off the deep-end, I'd imagine they're at least partially more accepting of LGBT rights than they were back then. Or, if they're not, they understand there's not the political will to change things significantly without fear of major backlash.
- An economic liberalism-conservatism index (which combines views on the social safety net, trade, inequality, and active government)
- A social/identity liberalism-conservatism politics index (which combines the moral issues index plus views toward African-Americans, immigrants, and Muslims).
Part of the problem. It’s fine to feck people of as long as they don’t know ‘em, but as soon as it’s family it’s a problem? Do these people need something like that to realize ICE breaks up loving families and doesnt just deport heavily tattood psychotic mass kurdering gang members?Trump voter admits she got it wrong after ICE deports her daughter-in-law
https://www.rawstory.com/2018/07/im-ashamed-trump-voter-admits-got-wrong-ice-deports-daughter-law/
“We convinced the US president [to exit the deal] and I had to stand up against the whole world and come out against this agreement,” Netanyahu says in the video. “And we didn’t give up.”
And yet that was not what she said the when she made that comment.You're assuming the deplorable tag is only applicable to hardcore Trump supporters. It can easily be interpreted as applying to anyone who is casually interested in Trump because they don't like Hillary. It was a really dumb move on her part.
This is a very very common problem in America in general. Many people seem to be incapable or unwilling to think that while something may not affect you now, it will others and/or it could be you down the road. The whole concept of "social thinking" - (which is not the same as socialism you crazy bastards) is completely lost on people. If shit happens to you, well then you probably deserve it and if you try to push for things that benefit others well then feck you because it's all about me. I know people like that aren't exclusive to the US but it seems we often have a heck of a lot more of them here than in most other places.Part of the problem. It’s fine to feck people of as long as they don’t know ‘em, but as soon as it’s family it’s a problem? Do these people need something like that to realize ICE breaks up loving families and doesnt just deport heavily tattood psychotic mass kurdering gang members?
Good for her that she realizes she waswrong. Disqualify yourself from any and all future elections asa voter and kindly feck of to a little house on a dezerted island I say.
Also an undocumented immigrant voting for Trump is like a scouser voting to keep playing Karius.