UK General Election - 12th December 2019 | Con 365, Lab 203, LD 11, SNP 48, Other 23 - Tory Majority of 80

How do you intend to vote in the 2019 General Election if eligible?

  • Brexit Party

    Votes: 30 4.3%
  • Conservatives

    Votes: 73 10.6%
  • DUP

    Votes: 5 0.7%
  • Green

    Votes: 23 3.3%
  • Labour

    Votes: 355 51.4%
  • Liberal Democrats

    Votes: 58 8.4%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 3 0.4%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 9 1.3%
  • SNP

    Votes: 19 2.8%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 6 0.9%
  • Independent

    Votes: 1 0.1%
  • Other (BNP, Change UK, UUP and anyone else that I have forgotten)

    Votes: 10 1.4%
  • Not voting

    Votes: 57 8.3%
  • Undecided

    Votes: 41 5.9%

  • Total voters
    690
  • Poll closed .
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Swinson on the radio this morning couldn't have been clearer about not wanting to put Corbyn in office. Is that as a result of other comments made by her reported over the weekend that suggested otherwise?
 
That's the problem for Labour in a nutshell. People don't like Johnson but they really fecking can't stand Corbyn. So Johnson and the Tories get a pass.

That says a lot about the people who can't stand Corbyn, than anything else, imo.
The Tories getting a pass means the most vulnerable in society will continue to suffer for at least 5 years, that's without talking about Brexit - all of that doesn't matter though because feck Corbyn.
 
True but I can't see it happening. Do hope I'm wrong though, I'm fairly battered from decades of watching politics that I'm probably fairly jaded at this point.

I think the key difference here is that 'generation rent' are finding it near impossible to get on the housing ladder. I remember under Cameron's government they started tracking happiness and well-being and one of the key things they found that correlated to emotional well-being was home ownership and the sense of security that brings. It's something that @Sweet Square likes to bang on about but I think he's right and it could be the catalyst for political change in the future.
 
Yeah but Corbyn sat on the floor on a train
Oh yes... Traingate

.
During August 2016, a video was released of Corbyn sitting on the floor of a VTEC train while campaigning during a leadership challenge by Owen Smith. Corbyn said the train was "ram-packed" and used this to support his policy to reverse the 1990s privatisation of the railways of Great Britain, which created private operators such as VTEC.

Controversy developed when Virgin released CCTV images a week later appearing to show Corbyn walking past available seats, leading to accusations that the incident had been staged for political gain,

. A YouGov poll, on 24 August 2016, found that, of the 4,454 UK adults surveyed, 57% thought that Corbyn was being dishonest, compared with 18% who thought that he was not; 58% thought that the row did matter, compared with 19% who thought it did not. However, amongst current Labour voters, 39% believed him against 34% who did not.[41]
 
If they leave the UK they'd have to leave the EU and apply to join. The same arguments as 2014 would be surely used if nothing changes on the Brexit front.
Scotland didn't apply to join the EU in 2014, I don't get you. If the UK were still in the EU and Scotland applied to join I'm quite sure the UK would support the application. It's possible, but unlikely in my view, that Spain would try and block it as an example to the Catalans, but that's not what you said.
 
I think the key difference here is that 'generation rent' are finding it near impossible to get on the housing ladder. I remember under Cameron's government they started tracking happiness and well-being and one of the key things they found that correlated to emotional well-being was home ownership and the sense of security that brings. It's something that @Sweet Square likes to bang on about but I think he's right and it could be the catalyst for political change in the future.
Agreed. This is the one area that most threatens the Tories in the future. They were supposed to be the party of home-ownership, selling council houses to tenants etc. The supply-side deficit has caused prices to rise such that youngsters can't get on the ladder. There needs to be massive investment in homes, especially at the social end of the scale. The idea of selling council houses to tenants is a good one - but only if you build more to replace the ones you've sold.
 
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/finland-government-sanna-marin-prime-minister-female-leaders-five-parties-government-a9238591.html
Finland
’s coalition government will be composed of five parties all led by women for the first time after the female transport minister won a vote to be the next leader.
Sanna Marin has been chosen by her Social Democratic party to replace the outgoing prime minister Antti Rinne.
She will lead a centre-left coalition of five parties who all have female leaders – four under the age of 35.
Ms Marin, aged 34, will become the world’s youngest sitting prime minister and the country’s third female leader.
Former prime minister Alexander Stubb celebrated the new coalition, saying it “shows that Finland is a modern and progressive country”.
 
Neither are fair assessments. The 2010 crash was a global crises that wouldn't have been averted by any government, so anyone disparaging Labour for the crash itself is being disingenuous. It is arguable however that with economically "normal" spending between 2000 and 2006 the country could have had a large budget surplus of over £50b per annum by the end of that period (instead of a £45b per annum deficit) along with very little net debt (c. £100b). The Labour government between 2000 and 2006 increased spending on public services at an average of 6.4% per year, which was around double GDP growth at that time.

The question is how the crash would have affected the economy if at the time of it occurring we had a minimum £50b budget surplus and total £100b net debt, rather than a £45b deficit and £550b debt. My view is the effect would be much reduced irrespective of your political leanings in that situation. If you're left leaning (Keynesian) then the fiscal headroom available in that scenario to enact large scale infrastructure spending (e.g. £100b per annum for 4 years) to stimulate the economy, whilst still maintaining some semblance of fiscal responsibility would have reduced the impact hugely.

If you're right leaning economically then the interest bill that has been paid over the last decade (c. £470b) could have been reduced to less than £200b (assuming £300b extra debt 2008 - 2015 ending the first term with no deficit and a total debt of around £400b). This large saving could have been invested in public services, in infrastructure spending and/or in tax cuts that would encourage further investment and growth (I would imagine a combination of all three).

Again it generally depends on your political leanings, but it's definitely nonsense to suggest the crash was caused by anyone (unless you're saying it was caused by US regulators / credit agencies). It's also worth noting that it's a bit of a double standard to criticise austerity and to also criticise the doubling of debt. You can criticise the total debt and be a proponent of deeper austerity or you can be a proponent of less austerity and more debt. However it's cynical for someone to criticise both.

This presupposes that the public services spending by New Labour wasn't necessary. It most certainly was necessary.
Many of the crumbling school's at the time were in dire need of repair or replacement. Same for terrible state of the hospitals.
We can see now the shameful state of our basic public services resulting from the austerity programme. And the billions being pledged to even restore them back to those of the mid 2000's.
 
Yeah right at the very end after minutes of refusing to look at it. He acted like he'd turn to dust if he even glanced at it, imagine not being disgusted by his attitude.

The point i am making is that you can be critical of someone without the need to make stuff up.
 
Bristol is the safest of safe surely, talk about playing to his home crowd.
 
I think once this election was announced before Brexit was sorted, the Tories were always going to win. It was always going to be a Brexit election.

This forum is a little bit of an echo chamber when it comes to British politics in a way. In the sense that even if there are disagreements, the forum is generally left to centre and generally remain.

So I've seen a lot of posts about how Labour would be doing far better if they backed remain more closely. But in my experience, I'm not sure that's true at all. I've met nobody who voted Brexit and now regrets that decision. I have met are people who voted remain who are pissed with their perception of how the EU are treating us and people who voted remain who think it important to follow through on the referendum. I have met very few people who thought Brexit would be a good idea and now think that is a bad idea.

That isn't to say Corbyn is a good leader (he isn't) or that I think he's great (he's not).

It is to say that we are in a generally conservative country, that leans centre right, which voted for Brexit and where people expect it to happen.

Corbyn won't win, I think the Tories will win a majority. But I personally think any labour leader would have lost this election, to varying degrees of course. And I think people who think if only they had backed remain or said they would revoke Brexit or if only Starmer/Phillips were leading the party, we'd be looking at a labour government....are deluding themselves.

In my opinion anyway.
 
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Its an awful story, but lets not make stuff up. You can clearly see Boris looking at the photo.

Sorry, he glances at the photo after the reporter pulls him up for committing a criminal offence. Better?
My comment was more aimed at the initial part where reporter is trying to show him and he wouldn't even look in the direction of the phone.
 
This forum is a little bit of an echo chamber when it comes to British politics in a way. In the sense that even if there are disagreements, the forum is generally left to centre and generally remain.

So I've seen a lot of posts about how Labour would be doing far better if they backed remain more closely. But in my experience, I'm not sure that's true at all. I've met nobody who voted Brexit and now regrets that decision. I have met are people who voted remain who are pissed with their perception of how the EU are treating us and people who voted remain who think it important to follow through on the referendum. I have met very few people who thought Brexit would be a good idea and now think that is a good idea.

Which is backed by polling showing that the Leave vote has desrted Labour despite them doing this balancing act, and by reporting (one again suggesting that excellent thread by @Smores ) that suggests that they have rtained their remain vote from 2017 but are losing leave voters.
 
Ohhhh both those people sounded really angry.

Bet they both enjoy Mrs Browns Boys on Xmas day too.

I think once this election was announced before Brexit was sorted, the Tories were always going to win. It was always going to be a Brexit election.

This forum is a little bit of an echo chamber when it comes to British politics in a way. In the sense that even if there are disagreements, the forum is generally left to centre and generally remain.

So I've seen a lot of posts about how Labour would be doing far better if they backed remain more closely. But in my experience, I'm not sure that's true at all. I've met nobody who voted Brexit and now regrets that decision. I have met are people who voted remain who are pissed with their perception of how the EU are treating us and people who voted remain who think it important to follow through on the referendum. I have met very few people who thought Brexit would be a good idea and now think that is a good idea.

That isn't to say Corbyn is a good leader (he isn't) or that I think he's great (he's not).

It is to say that we are in a generally conservative country, that leans centre right, which voted for Brexit and where people expect it to happen.

Corbyn won't win, I think the Tories will win a majority. But I personally think any labour leader would have lost this election, to varying degrees of course. And I think people who think if only they had backed remain or said they would revoke Brexit or if only Starmer/Phillips were leading the party, we'd be looking at a labour government....are deluding themselves.

In my opinion anyway.

I agree with you. Seen plenty of it here with the local Labour MP being harangued for not supporting the Leave vote. And also for being gay. Absolutely no crossover between those people at all mind...
 
I think once this election was announced before Brexit was sorted, the Tories were always going to win. It was always going to be a Brexit election.

This forum is a little bit of an echo chamber when it comes to British politics in a way. In the sense that even if there are disagreements, the forum is generally left to centre and generally remain.

So I've seen a lot of posts about how Labour would be doing far better if they backed remain more closely. But in my experience, I'm not sure that's true at all. I've met nobody who voted Brexit and now regrets that decision. I have met are people who voted remain who are pissed with their perception of how the EU are treating us and people who voted remain who think it important to follow through on the referendum. I have met very few people who thought Brexit would be a good idea and now think that is a good idea.

That isn't to say Corbyn is a good leader (he isn't) or that I think he's great (he's not).

It is to say that we are in a generally conservative country, that leans centre right, which voted for Brexit and where people expect it to happen.

Corbyn won't win, I think the Tories will win a majority. But I personally think any labour leader would have lost this election, to varying degrees of course. And I think people who think if only they had backed remain or said they would revoke Brexit or if only Starmer/Phillips were leading the party, we'd be looking at a labour government....are deluding themselves.

In my opinion anyway.

I said a similar thing when the protests were happening in London over a year ago, a second Referendum would likely result in a second Leave win by a bigger margin too.
 
I usually stay up on election night. Not this time. Going to sleep like a baby.
It's the first one I've been away for and I'm four hours ahead here. I'll be in bed before any results are in, so I will likely be choking on my breakfast pancakes when I get up.
 
The media have a part to play but the UK as a whole simply will not support hard left policies. There is decades worth of evidence for this, way before the media became as powerful and influencial as they are now.
Britain has yo-yo'd with fairly left wing positions since the end of the second world war, post war policy and reforms were extremely left wing under Attlee, and maintained by the following conservative government, whilst the economic policy as a whole was left of center until thatcher albeit not socialist. This idea that actual left wing policies don't gain traction is nonsense, in fact its the opposite. Take this with a pinch of salt as there's no way i'm going to be able to find this data reliably within an acceptable timeframe, but people have done blind policy studies in a number of areas, the one that comes to mind recently were in the United states about single payer health service that showed a comfortable majority were in favour of it, however where it began to break down was how the messaging becomes confused(taxes would increase across the board for access to the healthcare but your take home pay would increase because it was cheaper than health insurance which you would no longer need, which then becomes an attack by opponents of "They're increasing your taxes") and i would wager the exact parallels are consistent along the British policy spectrum as well.

The bottom line is the electorate want small easy to understand soundbite answers to nuanced questions, get brexit done, 20000 more police etc. which leads them right into the lap of demonstrably false right wing surface level rhetoric that falls apart under any rigorous scrutiny, which cant happen due to not being platformed adequately by the traditional media.
 
Would be interesting to see how Novara and co will react if Labour try to form a coalition with the 'Yellow Tories'
 
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