Of course, I mean if the economic hardship brought on by Trumps actions is still present shortly before and during the next election cycle. If it picks back up, he will just be considered a genius.
Even if the tariffs stay in place and prices keep increasing, if the situation hasn't worsened for a year or so by the time of the mid-terms, I think he could pull-off a successful distraction maneuver. But I'm not really sure either, as it seems what decided the recent election in his favor was that the average citizen expected to have more in their own pockets under his governance so the tariffs could indeed be a huge own and I'm just too pessimistic at this stage.
One way or another, I hope the Dems have learned a lesson from this election, focus on topics that are relevant to the people and hammer the point home that Trump's decision have had terrible effects on their wealth and will continue to do so.