- Joined
- Oct 22, 2010
- Messages
- 23,222
If you look at George W. Bush, per Gallup, his 2nd term average approval rating was 37% with a low of 25%. It hovered in the mid 30s with Iraq going to shit then dived to the low when the economy went tits up.
A lot of those same people are the ones hanging in there for Trump. They're baked in... as a southerner, I think of it as those folks view politics as they do college football... he's their team and they're gonna support him regardless.
25, even 30, is a big distance from 37. Though, there could be erosion by fatigue later. But maybe the Dems' 2006 strategy was simply better than what it is now? And of course Trump's sins all added up still don't equal Iraq.
Edit: so there is some room for him to worsen, is what I'm saying. 37 as a floor is better than what-could-have-been, given the history of Bush's numbers.