SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Well said, fully agree. This sort of reflects the dangers of populism and a culture that rejects "experts".


Ugh. It's so angering. I have vulnerable family and friends in the UK and I feel so helpless. They are at risk, as are the frontline staff at hospitals, as the video states harrowingly.

But it is the damned experts that the government is following in respect of the virus. As per usual like experts in all fields there are as many views as there are experts.
 
probably true... somebody is going to have to bail our government out and buy their bonds... better start bigging up the huawai 5G and letting China pick what infrastructure they want to build for the UK.

I always find it interesting that huawei is the one they get all worked up about, while this government pay china to build two nuclear reactors on our soil.
 
.........they've been wrong about not implementing measures earlier...

Once again, absolutely.

I’m simply giving out the reasons and information given to us about why we haven’t locked down.

I also think it’s inevitable that countries are kicking the can down the road and it’s inescapable that a lot of people are going to die after these lockdowns :(

Pogue’s probably correct that it’ll be lockdown, open, lockdown, open for the foreseeable future & countries are always going to be “guessing” when is right to lockdown/open up again.
 
Pogue’s probably correct that it’ll be lockdown, open, lockdown, open for the foreseeable future & countries are always going to be “guessing” when is right to lockdown/open up again.
That's going to be absolutely insane. In certain countries there are elections supposed to happen soon, everything will be used for political fight for dominance and it will be utter chaos.

Unless we get a world-wide consensus very soon, the global system is in big danger of a major collapse, leading to all sorts of relationships, unions, alliances and pacts being broken. It's incredibly important that the main leaders of the biggest countries realise how dependent the rest of the world is to them and their economies. I have no idea why the UN hasn't been involved already, it's egotism and selfishness of the highest order to not look at the bigger picture.
 
It's all so surreal. American conservatives were the ones preaching how the whole thing was just a political scam and now they are pointing fingers at what everyone else has been doing, people who at their worst probably did and cared 10 times as much about this crisis. I don't know how I would deal with that if I was living there. That's a level of delusion and hypocrisy where I would probably just draw a line and say that I refuse to socialize with such scum. But then it's half the country, so you have to?
No, you just ignore the scum, you won't find much socialization between actual liberals and the far right. Actual liberals have been marginalized in the democratic party, that under Obama was right of Ronald Reagan most of the time. Many are waiting for someone influential to finally start a new party.
 
I think that’s fair to say, and I’m also fairly certain as I repeated many times, that if the health ministry in Sweden sees the ICU curve take a scary upward turn for some days, I fully expect stricter measures to come in and even full lockdown if need be.
My argument has only ever been that if you can keep your health service going, whilst NOT locking down then surely that’s the best solution?
The Imperial College of London paper said we can take one month off lockdown without causing cases to rise above ICU and ventilator capacity if we follow it with 2 months on lockdown.
 
I wonder if anyone is going to call out Gove on his lies? Of course not. All the questions will be pre-planned.

Why stop now.
Most politicians are highly trained serial liars.
And those at the top are the biggest liars of them all.
 
Slightly interesting thing from the Irish figures is that while 25% of confirmed cases are health workers, only 6% of those cases are as a result of transmission in a hospital. In other words a higher level of community transmission is driving those numbers rather than in-hospital or patient-to-carer transmission, for whatever reason.
 
Slightly interesting thing from the Irish figures is that while 25% of confirmed cases are health workers, only 6% of those cases are as a result of transmission in a hospital. In other words a higher level of community transmission is driving those numbers rather than in-hospital or patient-to-carer transmission, for whatever reason.
Nursing homes seem to be riddled with it here.
 
The sad thing is that this has hit the world when the collective leadership is at an all time low . There should have been a better global response to this but thanks to people like Trump it was made to seem like a joke . Now the world will see millions die . What is crazy is that even now some people with good following keep writing and talking about flu and diarrhea deaths to compare with this



Ditto Team Trump and Team Modi.
However, seems like China, Russia, Germany have the right leader in place.
 
Slightly interesting thing from the Irish figures is that while 25% of confirmed cases are health workers, only 6% of those cases are as a result of transmission in a hospital. In other words a higher level of community transmission is driving those numbers rather than in-hospital or patient-to-carer transmission, for whatever reason.

It is because the health workers are way more likely to get tested.

I am starting to wonder how far away we are from herd immunity, the actual numbers of infections would make our jaws drop.
 
Nursing homes seem to be riddled with it here.

Aye that seems to be their main concern atm, they're bringing in specific measures and financial support for that sector apparently.

Shows the value of testing, I guess. Let's you see where cases are building and react.
 
Based on our past experiences with coronaviruses this is the one. As an example MERS-Cov came to humans from dromedaries but they were only an intermediary species which is generally required for the evolution of the virus from its original host to humans. So there is most likely one animal, exotic or not, that was infected by Covid-19 and infected someone from that point it's a simple interhuman contamination.
Not necessarily. SARS came from wet markets, where there is the perfect opportunity for it to happen. MERS came from camels, but people there (Beduins) spend a lot of time with camels, so they might eventually get infected from a camel if it is infected. People don't spend too much time with pangolins, or snakes, so I think that it is quite unlikely that in the wild, a bat somehow infects a pangolin, then some human finds the same pangolin. I mean, it is possible, but it is unlikely. On the other hand, if the bat is in the wet market near the pangolin, then the chances of infection happen are higher, and of course, the pangolin is going to have contacts with people (that is why it is there in the first place).

Bear in mind, that the virus jumping from one species to another is not straightforward, and jumping in two species is even harder. There probably need to be many infections, for one of them to succeed making 2 successful jumps.
 
US had more deaths than any other country yesterday. This is gonna be very ugly, especially for states like Florida who have many infections but no lockdowns.

California and Washington are doing quite better on the other hand.
 
US had more deaths than any other country yesterday. This is gonna be very ugly, especially for states like Florida who have many infections but no lockdowns.

California and Washington are doing quite better on the other hand.

California's huge size and lack of public transport (well LA specifically) probably helps. The New York subway must've been one of the reasons its so bad in the NYC.
 
Not necessarily. SARS came from wet markets, where there is the perfect opportunity for it to happen. MERS came from camels, but people there (Beduins) spend a lot of time with camels, so they might eventually get infected from a camel if it is infected. People don't spend too much time with pangolins, or snakes, so I think that it is quite unlikely that in the wild, a bat somehow infects a pangolin, then some human finds the same pangolin. I mean, it is possible, but it is unlikely. On the other hand, if the bat is in the wet market near the pangolin, then the chances of infection happen are higher, and of course, the pangolin is going to have contacts with people (that is why it is there in the first place).

Bear in mind, that the virus jumping from one species to another is not straightforward, and jumping in two species is even harder. There probably need to be many infections, for one of them to succeed making 2 successful jumps.

There is no scientific concensus that Bats or Pangolins were involved.

Suspicions. No facts.
 
California's huge size and lack of public transport (well LA specifically) probably helps. The New York subway must've been one of the reasons its so bad in the NYC.


SF, Bay Area and LA do have subway systems that move a lot of people. There are also trams and buses in SF. I think buses also move lots of folk in LA.
 
California's huge size and lack of public transport (well LA specifically) probably helps. The New York subway must've been one of the reasons its so bad in the NYC.
Strange thing is that in Bay Area, the northern Bay (San Francisco etc) is doing better than South Bay (Santa Clara county), despite that San Francisco has a more advanced public transport system.

The lack of public transport is a blessing when it comes to this disease. It is very likely that NYC's subway is the main reason why NY is having so many infected people.
 
California's huge size and lack of public transport (well LA specifically) probably helps. The New York subway must've been one of the reasons its so bad in the NYC.
Texas is the one I think stands out in this regard. The number of cases is not really in proportion to population.

I thought Houston with an intercontinental airport and one of the busiest ports would be much worse.
 
That's going to be absolutely insane. In certain countries there are elections supposed to happen soon, everything will be used for political fight for dominance and it will be utter chaos.

Unless we get a world-wide consensus very soon, the global system is in big danger of a major collapse, leading to all sorts of relationships, unions, alliances and pacts being broken. It's incredibly important that the main leaders of the biggest countries realise how dependent the rest of the world is to them and their economies. I have no idea why the UN hasn't been involved already, it's egotism and selfishness of the highest order to not look at the bigger picture.
The UN has always been a pointless entity.
 
SF, Bay Area and LA do have subway systems that move a lot of people. There are also trams and buses in SF. I think buses also move lots of folk in LA.
Does Bay Area have a subway? There is the Caltrain, but that's it. That makes me wonder why Santa Clara county is doing worse than San Francisco county (who has a subway).
 
Not necessarily. SARS came from wet markets, where there is the perfect opportunity for it to happen. MERS came from camels, but people there (Beduins) spend a lot of time with camels, so they might eventually get infected from a camel if it is infected. People don't spend too much time with pangolins, or snakes, so I think that it is quite unlikely that in the wild, a bat somehow infects a pangolin, then some human finds the same pangolin. I mean, it is possible, but it is unlikely. On the other hand, if the bat is in the wet market near the pangolin, then the chances of infection happen are higher, and of course, the pangolin is going to have contacts with people (that is why it is there in the first place).

Bear in mind, that the virus jumping from one species to another is not straightforward, and jumping in two species is even harder. There probably need to be many infections, for one of them to succeed making 2 successful jumps.

Of course it's unlikely, that's why it doesn't happen often even though bats carying these type of viruses are common. And your theory doesn't actually work for a simple reason, the virus needs to evolve within the intermediary species in order to be able to infect humans, so the wet market theory is a none starter. Bats can infect people directly with other viruses, like certain filoviruses and rabies though. In the case of SARS Cov1 as I said earlier the intermediary species is the Asian palm Civet, in the case of MERS it's the the dromedary, it's not one isolated animal that is infected but probably a large group within a region, people catch a member of that group, sell them on a market and it's starts an epidemy.

INSERM sources are in french so it would be pointless to share them but here you have an example:

The isolation of closely related SARS-CoV in civets during the 2002–2003 and 2003–2004 outbreaks and the close match of virus sequences between the human and civet isolates from each outbreak (3,9,25) strongly suggest that civets are a direct source of human infection. However, these studies did not clarify whether animals other than civets were involved in transmission of SARS-CoV to humans or whether civets were an intermediate host or the natural reservoir host of SARS-CoVs.

During the 2002–2003 outbreaks, none of the animal traders surveyed in the markets, who supposedly had very close contact with live civets, displayed SARS symptoms (79). During the 2003–2004 outbreaks, at least 1 human SARS patient had had no contact with civets (2). These observations seem to indicate that >1 other animal species may play a role in transmission of SARS-CoV to humans.
 
I can't get enough of this anti-China propaganda.

fecking ridiculous. I wonder what people that buy so easily into that think of this, and how it compares to those incredibly lousy (in terms of details and actual evidence) reports from "silencing" chinese doctors...

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/...ff-fired-ppe-resources-pandemic-a9439331.html

Coronavirus: US doctors warned they will be fired if they complain to media about lack of resources

When you accuse them of lying or "hiding numbers" (have yet to see a well-sourced and credible report about this) I wonder what the feck you think about the insane level of lying and cuntishness of some Western leaders... Even in my country (and autonomous region), with governments I roughly "support" they lie every fecking day, to the people, to us doctors...

I also wonder what these people think of Trump, Brexit and the likes of Bolsonaro. What do they think of Blair, Aznar and Bush?

I mean, China's human rights record is absolutely terrible and should never be ignored. I'm not claiming they are the good guys. But when you look into social dynamics (poverty, safety networks for the little guy, corruption - legal in the US, called "lobbying") and even foreign policy trajectories, how the feck do the Western super-powers look that much better?

At some point it seems the only thing we will be able to say we got over them morally is that we're a democracy. Gerrymandered, but still.

I'm annoyed and sleepless (benzo abstinence) so excuse the passive agressiveness of the rant, but I'm sure I will still stand by most of this tomorrow.
 
I can't get enough of this anti-China propaganda.

fecking ridiculous. I wonder what people that buy so easily into that think of this, and how it compares to those incredibly lousy (in terms of details and actual evidence) reports from "silencing" chinese doctors...

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/...ff-fired-ppe-resources-pandemic-a9439331.html



When you accuse them of lying or "hiding numbers" (have yet to see a well-sourced and credible report about this) I wonder what the feck you think about the insane level of lying and cuntishness of some Western leaders... Even in my country (and autonomous region), with governments I roughly "support" they lie every fecking day, to the people, to us doctors...

I also wonder what these people think of Trump, Brexit and the likes of Bolsonaro. What do they think of Blair, Aznar and Bush?

I mean, China's human rights record is absolutely terrible and should never be ignored. I'm not claiming they are the good guys. But when you look into social dynamics (poverty, safety networks for the little guy, corruption - legal in the US, called "lobbying") and even foreign policy trajectories, how the feck do the Western super-powers look that much better?

At some point it seems the only thing we will be able to say we got over them morally is that we're a democracy. Gerrymandered, but still.

I'm annoyed and sleepless (benzo abstinence) so excuse the passive agressiveness of the rant, but I'm sure I will still stand by most of this tomorrow.
You realize that people might be disgusted at China's behavior, and at the same time hate Trump, Bolsonaro and Boris? These things are hardly mutually-exclusive.
 
I don’t buy into the whole conspiracy stuff but I think there’s a genuine concern that China have misled / lied about it as part of a cover up.

If that’s ever proven, surely that’s equitable to war crimes?! You’d imagine there would be international condemnation! Could get very messy
 
You realize that people might be disgusted at China's behavior, and at the same time hate Trump, Bolsonaro and Boris? These things are hardly mutually-exclusive.
It's not exactly the disgust and hate. That may very well be justified against every elite, including the CPC. It's about the rethoric of demanding sanctions and isolating China.

As an European I find exactly the same thing about the fecking US. Sanction them until they impeach the Orange idiot. The only argument against it, in my opinion, is realpolitik. Which applies as well to our relationship with China.
 
We're turning railway coaches into makeshift treatment and isolation centres in India.

Really hoping they get properly sanitized once this is over and the coaches get back into service :nervous:
 
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I don’t buy into the whole conspiracy stuff but I think there’s a genuine concern that China have misled / lied about it as part of a cover up.

If that’s ever proven, surely that’s equitable to war crimes?! You’d imagine there would be international condemnation! Could get very messy

I was surprised to see an article in the New York times I think it was yesterday or day before about the time line on what happened in Wuhan. It gave a lot of details and time lines and how and why it happened.
According to it after SARS China had installed a computerised system to alert anything of this sort. The hospitals were supposed to enter all information and details into the system and then the CDC would have been alerted in Beijing.
What Beijing didn't take into account was the very nature of their system of government would be the main reason it failed.
Doctors instead of entering the information consulted the heads of the hospitals and the political heads in Wuhan. They procrastinated and the data was not entered.
By end of December CDC has been alerted by whistleblowers and private messages that something unusual was going on in Wuhan and that it was not flu nor SARS.
They sent a team and investigating it found that it was something they don't know.
That's when they realized that this was out of control and they have no idea what it is. WHO was informed about it in January and they also wrote in the Lancet journal.
What they designed should have worked if not for human failures of local politicians in Wuhan. Yes they got sacked of course but it's small comfort. In the old days of Mao they would have disappeared.
Regarding the masks now it has been revealed that the masks ordered by the Spanish and Dutch were through a local company who ordered it from a private manufacturer in China. The specs were American specs and not EU specs. Chinese government has already banned export of equipment that's not approved by the government.
Yes they are a dictatorship and yes they call themselves Communist but in all reality they are no more Communist than Saudi Arabia.
Give them credit when they help. Criticise them when they deserve it. East is East and West is West. Things are different in different countries.

Furthermore a Russian AN124 will be landing in New York in about an hour with medical supplies, gift of the Russian government to the US government. Why can't countries work together?