SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

A Government can (and does) pick and choose what experts it listens to though mate.

There are many, many more experts that flat out disagree with the experts that are advising Boris Johnson to do what benefits his Tory Government's Economy the most.

I'm not into stuff like that personally, time will tell, but I just do not buy into the thought that the government are intentionally putting us in more danger than we will untimely be exposed to during the process of this anyway, I believe they are trying to stage it as best they can to protect the NHS resources.
 
It would seem they're making terrible decisions despite being aware. You have to realise we have a PM in charge who thinks we should just take it on the chin and take it all in one go. So I've absolutely no confidence in the government or their way of dealing with this pandemic.


The last one is the fecking icing on the cake for these idious shitebags. Worse than "topping up your tank" or "popping a couple of cans in your shed" during a fuel shortage. Worse than "we can afford it" for a multi million pound costing divisive politicians funeral during austerity. Worse than "get better at handling money" if you live in poverty.

Nah, it's all just a playful situation isn't it? So playful. Playful language that suits such a little inconvenience. Don't worry about it, no problem, it's all fine. But if it hurts the economy? HOLY FECKING SHIT SOMEONE HELP! Protect it at all costs! Use the proletariat as a meat shield!

cnuts the lot of them.
 
So what sustainable measures do you think they should be bringing in to last the year or more until a vaccine is available?

I don't pretend to know the long term sustainable measures we should take, but I view as cancelling all social gatherings, working from home, restricting non-essential travel etc as good measures that we can take now to help slow down the spread.
 
I'm not into stuff like that personally, time will tell, but I just do not buy into the thought that the government are intentionally putting us in more danger than we will untimely be exposed to during the process of this anyway, I believe they are trying to stage it as best they can to protect the NHS resources.

I think the government is damned if it does, damned if it doesn't now.
 
As Italy are doing? The situation is pretty much out of control in italy. They've got one of the most advanced health care systems and they're completely overwhelmed hence the mortality rate of around 8%. The medical professionals have to decide who lives and who dies. Again, I have no faith in the current government and the measures they're taking so it would appear that I personally think I know better despite being wholly unqualified, so what the feck does that tell you?

Of known cases, and that you are most likely wrong.
 
The last one is the fecking icing on the cake for these idious shitebags. Worse than "topping up your tank" or "popping a couple of cans in your shed" during a fuel shortage. Worse than "we can afford it" for a multi million pound costing divisive politicians funeral during austerity. Worse than "get better at handling money" if you live in poverty.

Nah, it's all just a playful situation isn't it? So playful. Playful language that suits such a little inconvenience. Don't worry about it, no problem, it's all fine. But if it hurts the economy? HOLY FECKING SHIT SOMEONE HELP! Protect it at all costs! Use the proletariat as a meat shield!

cnuts the lot of them.

I bet the Tory government are secretly loving this. This virus will off the most vulnerable in the country for them.
 
Was in a big supermarket there. Every trolley had 1 toilet rolls pack. No hoarders which is good to see.

Other top sellers including San Miguel 2.5 litre bottles of water, 5kg bags of rice, and dry food bags like peas and lentils as you know, you can't get tinned food in Peru like everywhere else.
 
You would then be of the opinion that the UK (and other countries) should time their policies based on Italy's experience? Interesting thesis, would love to hear you elaborate on that.
Yes and no. We (in my case Germany, yours probably the UK) can learn from Italy's experience. But is has to be tailored to the specifics of the country. For example a country that has more ICUs (and staff) per head than Italy, can wait longer than Italy to implement certain measures. A further example, if a country has additionally a lesser percentage of vulnerable in its population than Italy it can even longer wait with such measures, cause fewer ICUs are needed in relation to the total population.

As Johnson and the scientists alongside him explained, they are doing such mathematical models on a daily basis to get the timing for the measures right. And from day to day these models get better, cause more stats and experiences from different countries are included. And still it has to be tailored to the specifics of country and region. A country where elderly are cared more by family, eg Italy that has to be taken into consideration. A country which has more people in care homes, like Germany, has to consider this too.

Another example, lets say the in the UK the first major regional outbreak is in London, you would introduce major measures when the NHS in greater London is in danger of being overwhelmed. If possible you would wait to introduce this measures in Liverpool and Manchester cause the outbreak is behind and you want to wait for the right moment. Obviously you have to consider if the British population would accept these different timings of measures
But it would be much better to cope with it, especially considering economics and logistics.
For that an example: If a country has two major ports, it would be better that the outbreaks and measures are time different, because you would have at least one working port for handling goods and securing logistics.

And to complicate matters, you are dealing with a population that is nervous and has no or little understanding of such considerations.
 
I bet the Tory government are secretly loving this. This virus will off the most vulnerable in the country for them.

Could definitely ease up the pension crisis, the medium/long term strain on the NHS and the housing stocks.
 
The evidence points to Italian cases being closer to 100,000 then what they are reporting.

Number don’t add up.
 
The last one is the fecking icing on the cake for these idious shitebags. Worse than "topping up your tank" or "popping a couple of cans in your shed" during a fuel shortage. Worse than "we can afford it" for a multi million pound costing divisive politicians funeral during austerity. Worse than "get better at handling money" if you live in poverty.

Nah, it's all just a playful situation isn't it? So playful. Playful language that suits such a little inconvenience. Don't worry about it, no problem, it's all fine. But if it hurts the economy? HOLY FECKING SHIT SOMEONE HELP! Protect it at all costs! Use the proletariat as a meat shield!

cnuts the lot of them.

I like you Pidgey, you're a good old bird.
 
Because the UK plan is essentially to just take it on the chin. We could be doing more. History will not look back kindly on these decisions of people too keen to try and remain calm and not make tough disruptive decisions.

But it's not, it's to stage the 'disruptive decisions' in at what they think is the right time, if it backfires badly then history will remember, but they could get it spot on also.
 
The evidence points to Italian cases being closer to 100,000 then what they are reporting.

Number don’t add up.
I think the number of infected in every country is an order of magnitude higher than reported.
 
The last one is the fecking icing on the cake for these idious shitebags. Worse than "topping up your tank" or "popping a couple of cans in your shed" during a fuel shortage. Worse than "we can afford it" for a multi million pound costing divisive politicians funeral during austerity. Worse than "get better at handling money" if you live in poverty.

Nah, it's all just a playful situation isn't it? So playful. Playful language that suits such a little inconvenience. Don't worry about it, no problem, it's all fine. But if it hurts the economy? HOLY FECKING SHIT SOMEONE HELP! Protect it at all costs! Use the proletariat as a meat shield!

cnuts the lot of them.
Dead for over 100 years but still on point.

 
Finding the whole 'listening to science' utterly bizarre, sounds like a lot of bollocks. Either that, or the government are actually stupid. Hope it's the former that they're selfish and protecting the economy, I'd rather that than to be living under a stupid government.

I might as well just accept that I will get the virus eventually. Leicestershire has hit 6 cases now.
 
The stories from Lombardy are horrifying. If the second best health system in the world is collapsing then feck knows what will happen to the HSE and NHS when it hits the fan.
 
Some of you are nuts. We're being condemned to death and you're ok with it? Couldn't make it up.
I think some of you are just trolling now.
If you want to reduce the number of deaths COVID-19 causes long term, you need to build up resistance in the population. Without a vaccine, the only way to do this in a pandemic is to manage the rate of transmission in such way to allow a steady number of people to acquire the virus and develop antibodies against it, which overtime reduces the virus’ R rate. Chris Witty and Sir Patrick Vallance were transparent and honest about this. Perversely, the more people that get the virus and develop resistance to it, the safer the rest of the population is as it is harder for the virus to spread and produce an unmanageable spike in cases. This is the principle behind vaccinations.
 
Some of you are nuts. We're being condemned to death and you're ok with it? Couldn't make it up.
Lets be realistic, not everybody dies just between 1 and 3 percent.
Am I happy about it? No.
Do I feel sorry for every loss? Absolutely. Am I scared to death for my 90 year old father? Definitely.

But in every major western European country and the USA and Canada scientists and medics are saying the same:
This cannot be stopped anymore and it is now about handling the crisis and mitigating the losses. And I am not someone who howls at the dawning sun: "How dare you to leave me?" cause I know she will raise again.

You can handle that crisis personally however you want, but don't tell me how to handle it myself and don't judge me on my reaction to it. And I will not do it publicly to you.
 
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I think some of you are just trolling now.
If you want to reduce the number of deaths COVID-19 causes long term, you need to build up resistance in the population. Without a vaccine, the only way to do this in a pandemic is to manage the rate of transmission in such way to allow a steady number of people to acquire the virus and develop antibodies against it, which overtime reduces the virus’ R rate. Chris Witty and Sir Patrick Vallance were transparent and honest about this. Perversely, the more people that get the virus and develop resistance to it, the safer the rest of the population is as it is harder for the virus to spread and produce an unmanageable spike in cases. This is the principle behind vaccinations.
I wonder would it be a good strategy to encourage infections on young people (those under 40) who have a low chance of dying but are most active people? If we are going to get it anyway, why not artificially create a scenario when young people get infected first, get quarantined, get healthy and then they won't be able to spread it to other people who are more vulnerable.

I don't think there are ways of doing it, but just as a thought experiment.
 
Di Maria is a spurs fan so his comments are understandable.
 
Despite my best efforts my partner is adamant on going to a concert next week with thousands in an arena. She has asthma and another autoimmune disease and usually catches every cold going. Hoping it's cancelled, it's insanity that such events are still going ahead at this stage.
Your partner is clearly an idiot
 
I just don't understand how the current measures will 'flatten the curve' which seems to be the main focus. If anything, it creates a bigger peak.

The strategy is do nothing and hope it all goes away. Let's see how that works.
 
thank you @TMDaines @sullydnl - some voices of reason in this thread.

i feel like some people are so used to being anti tory that the default is to blame them on pretty much everything. i'm as left and labour supporting as they come, but can see the logic with the current plan, and applaud them for taking it. as can be seen from this thread, it's not going to be a popular option to take (at least initially).
 
I wonder would it be a good strategy to encourage infections on young people (those under 40) who have a low chance of dying but are most active people? If we are going to get it anyway, why not artificially create a scenario when young people get infected first, get quarantined, get healthy and then they won't be able to spread it to other people who are more vulnerable.

I don't think there are ways of doing it, but just as a thought experiment.
Good idea, but if it is like the flu? It will repeat itself in a year and the young ones have to be tested and/or infected and quarantined again to protect the vulnerable. And that year for year, including the economic costs.
And if you don't get it right, it reaches the vulnerable in an outbreak. Sorry, I think we have to ride this one out, while reducing the losses and adjusting our health systems.