SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Tier 3, baby.

I think I have to now talk about how I have to cough on my grandparents as a feck you to the London centric central government now, don't I?
 
Also a NI hospitality lobbying group blowing up the fallacy that a harsher lockdown does more damage to businesses in the long-run.

BBC said:
"I think we can all see the situation at our hospitals," he said. "We need to go back to what we did in March and April."

Earlier, Mr Neill accepted a lockdown would have a big impact on the hospitality sector but added "what is worse is opening and closing all the time" .

"Every time you have to reopen costs a lot of money and every time you have to close costs a lot of money because of wastage," he told BBC's Stephen Nolan Show.

"If we are going for lockdown, then we will support a total lockdown until we get this thing under control," he said.
 
Agreed. Makes no odds to me anymore. Im doing what i want. Ill still wear a mask and all that jazz. But i will be visiting family without a second thought from now on. Tamesides rate of infection is one of the lowest in GM. Absolutley no reason for me to be a prisoner in my own home anymore.

To be honest, i live a very dull life. There is not a lot of difference between my normal life and tier 3 life. I just want to see family again. and i will be doing.

I'm not quite sure how you've come to this as a solid conclusion. Given that it's been deemed too risky to move GM down to Tier 2, I don't think thats a signal to engage in more activities that could potential lead to further spreading. The whole point of the tier system isn't to control what you do, it's to limit the potential spread routes of the virus (arguments of whether they're cutting the correct routes could be had). I understand it's frustrating. Particularly to those who work in hospitality or are reliant on the industry. As an individual you can make your own decisions, but I would plead with you to stick by the rules and guidance as much as you can do. The best way to get out of this is by a collective approach. The virus spreads via contact. It's not in any way possible to ban all contact so we've had to make difficult decisions on what is and isn't appropriate. Yes it's infuriating to see some blatent disregard for rules. Yes it's upsetting that we can't see friends and family. Unfortunately, the virus doesn't care how we feel. You are free to make your own decisions, but please try to do as much as you possibly can to limit the spread of the virus.
 
Wales is no better than England , my grandson had to wait 2 weeks for a scan as the whole department were isolating because of covid , I have been waiting for over 6 months for an appointment with vascular dept for a clot in my leg , just been put on aspirin and told to wait even though my leg seizes up when walking up hills , meanwhile people are ignoring all regulations and just doing what they want . My neighbours family travel here from Preston every feckin weekend and did so during England last lockdown cos they could go out in Wales. I also look after in laws in their 80s who haven`t been out since March so got used to it now, just keep ourselves to ourselves .
 
Another study, this time in England, suggesting schools don't play a big role in transmission.

Covid cases in schools reflect virus levels in the local community, a study of 100 schools across England suggests.

In tests on nearly 10,000 staff and pupils in November, 1.24% of pupils and 1.29% of staff tested positive for coronavirus in schools.

This is a combined analysis from Public Health England, Office for National Statistics and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

The researchers suggest school closures have only a temporary effect on cases.

And they add driving down infections in wider society is the best way to keep schools open and safe.

The Schools Infection Survey will continue to track cases and transmission in schools over the coming months.

The first round of results are based on tests of more than 6,000 pupils and nearly 5,000 staff from 105 schools - 63 secondary and 42 primary - in areas of England where the virus was spreading quickly at the start of the school year.

Children and staff had to be in school to be given a nasal swab test, and so are unlikely to have had symptoms.

The survey found a higher percentage of staff and pupils testing positive for the virus in secondary schools than primary schools - around 1.47% compared to around 0.8%.

Roughly 1.2% of the general population is estimated to have had the coronavirus during the same period, according to the ONS.

Dr Shamez Ladhani, the study's chief investigator and a consultant at Public Health England, said: "While there is still more research to be done, these results appear to show that the rate of infection among students and staff attending school closely mirrors what's happening outside the school gates.

"That's why we all need to take responsibility for driving infections down if we want to keep schools open and safe for our children."

The researchers are trying to find out more about the role of schools in the spread of the virus - something that has been a challenge so far.

The key is to discover whether infections are more likely to be brought into school from outside, or are starting in school and moving into households in the community.

Data from PHE so far suggests infections in school year groups are being introduced from different sources rather than being spread between pupils in schools, but genetic analysis of virus strains is needed to confirm this, Dr Ladhani says.
 
Wales is no better than England , my grandson had to wait 2 weeks for a scan as the whole department were isolating because of covid , I have been waiting for over 6 months for an appointment with vascular dept for a clot in my leg , just been put on aspirin and told to wait even though my leg seizes up when walking up hills , meanwhile people are ignoring all regulations and just doing what they want . My neighbours family travel here from Preston every feckin weekend and did so during England last lockdown cos they could go out in Wales. I also look after in laws in their 80s who haven`t been out since March so got used to it now, just keep ourselves to ourselves .

That must be incredibly frustrating for you. I hope that you can get your appointment soon :)
 
Another study, this time in England, suggesting schools don't play a big role in transmission.
I don’t really want to get back into the long back and forths about this again but I don’t see how you can come to that conclusion when it explicitly says the rate is higher in secondary schools than it is in the general population.
 
Another study, this time in England, suggesting schools don't play a big role in transmission.
Couldn't this also be taken as an argument that rates in schools and in the wider community are intrinsically linked given the similarity? The conclusions appear to be that there is transmission in an educational setting, but it largely mirrors the transmission in the community at the same time, whilst being non-committal on whether schools or the general community is driving that.
 
I don’t really want to get back into the long back and forths about this again but I don’t see how you can come to that conclusion when it explicitly says the rate is higher in secondary schools than it is in the general population.

It is not my claim but their interpretation. There are more cases among that age group but the evidence suggests it is coming from outside schools as much, if not more than, from within schools. The fact that teenagers are infected a little more often might have more to do with how they live their lives outside the classrooms than within it, and they haven't found evidence suggesting classrooms accelerate it, which is why they don't think school closures would have a significant long-term effect on the spread.
"Data from PHE so far suggests infections in school year groups are being introduced from different sources rather than being spread between pupils in schools, but genetic analysis of virus strains is needed to confirm this, Dr Ladhani says.

The researchers suggest school closures have only a temporary effect on cases.

And they add driving down infections in wider society is the best way to keep schools open and safe.

Couldn't this also be taken as an argument that rates in schools and in the wider community are intrinsically linked given the similarity? The conclusions appear to be that there is transmission in an educational setting, but it largely mirrors the transmission in the community at the same time, whilst being non-committal on whether schools or the general community is driving that.

I would say they're a bit more than non-commital on it. They say the data so far suggests that it is being introduced from different sources, but they don't have the genetic evidence to confirm that, and the data from PHE on contact tracing is very patchy. They definitely lean one way. Although it's fair to question whether that leaning is influenced more by bias than the noisy signals they're getting from the data.
 
That must be incredibly frustrating for you. I hope that you can get your appointment soon :)
It is frustrating but you have to just go with it , our hospital in North Wales has very limited services and the only way to get my grandson sorted was through the specialist that he is under in Alder Hey , he ended up getting involved and he has since had his EEG scan and been prescribed medicine but North Wales hospitals take very little to be over run . It is annoying watching everyone taking no notice of the rules because covid won`t do them any harm , it is just selfish and they genuinely don`t care about spreading as they don`t know anyone it affects. Have to just get on with it in the end cos you can`t start arguing with everyone.
 
My sister has been getting this for years. It is nothing new.
Yeah I wondering if that had been the case. It's such a small increase that its laughable to called it a bonus.

Also of course the poster who complained about how the tories are treating the north, thinks an extra £10 at Christmas(Along with free school meals)is keeping the ''working man'' down.
 
Yeah I wondering if that had been the case. It's such a small increase that its laughable to called it a bonus.

Also of course the poster who complained about how the tories are treating the north, thinks an extra £10 at Christmas(Along with free school meals)is keeping the ''working man'' down.
It isn't an increase as such, just that she receives £10 every Christmas. A one off payment.
 
Another study, this time in England, suggesting schools don't play a big role in transmission.

That's not what it suggests though. It says that schools reflect virus levels in the local community, and that they've found it a challenge to find out the role of schools in the spread of the virus.
 
It isn't an increase as such, just that she receives £10 every Christmas. A one off payment.
I could be wrong as it's been a long since I've gone home but I'm pretty sure the one off christmas bonus in Ireland is 100% of your normal weekly long-term benefit payment. The welfare system in England is has been totally destroyed.
 
That's not what it suggests though. It says that schools reflect virus levels in the local community, and that they've found it a challenge to find out the role of schools in the spread of the virus.

That isn't what they've said. Saying they need genetic testing to confirm their initial findings is not the same as saying they don't have any findings. Their findings suggest - which is what I said, not confirm - schools don't play a big role in transmission.
"Data from PHE so far suggests infections in school year groups are being introduced from different sources rather than being spread between pupils in schools, but genetic analysis of virus strains is needed to confirm this, Dr Ladhani says.

Which leads them to say closing schools would only have a temporary effect on cases; in other words, these kids would pick it up from somewhere else, as already do, or the behaviour displacement would lead to more cases elsewhere or later. If schools did play a big role in transmission, above and beyond normal routes of transmission, then closing them would have a long-term effect. Their analysis suggests it wouldn't.
 
Last edited:
That isn't what they've said. Saying they need genetic testing to confirm their initial findings is not the same as saying they don't have any findings. Their findings suggest - which is what I said, not confirm - schools don't play a big role in transmission.

I've literally quoted from the article you've linked to.
 
How do you both suggest it's enforced differently?

Simply has to be led by self policing and discipline.
People have shown themselves to be incapable of self policing as we are just too selfish as a species. Police presence on the roads and stronger messaging on TV/Radio would go a long way.
 
People have shown themselves to be incapable of self policing as we are just too selfish as a species. Police presence on the roads and stronger messaging on TV/Radio would go a long way.

What are the police supposed to be enforcing on the road though?
 
It is not my claim but their interpretation. There are more cases among that age group but the evidence suggests it is coming from outside schools as much, if not more than, from within schools. The fact that teenagers are infected a little more often might have more to do with how they live their lives outside the classrooms than within it, and they haven't found evidence suggesting classrooms accelerate it, which is why they don't think school closures would have a significant long-term effect on the spread.




I would say they're a bit more than non-commital on it. They say the data so far suggests that it is being introduced from different sources, but they don't have the genetic evidence to confirm that, and the data from PHE on contact tracing is very patchy. They definitely lean one way. Although it's fair to question whether that leaning is influenced more by bias than the noisy signals they're getting from the data.
You introduce it as more evidence suggesting that school transmission isn’t a big issue. It says PHE suggests it may be coming from outside schools but then clearly says they don’t have any evidence that’s the case and need genetic studies to know more. It doesn’t even tell us why PHE data suggests that. It isn’t evidence of anything other than secondary school kids are testing at a higher rate than anybody else. What are they doing that nobody else is doing?
 
That isn't what they've said. Saying they need genetic testing to confirm their initial findings is not the same as saying they don't have any findings. Their findings suggest - which is what I said, not confirm - schools don't play a big role in transmission.


Which leads them to say closing schools would only have a temporary effect on cases; in other words, these kids would pick it up from somewhere else, as already do, or the behaviour displacement would lead to more cases elsewhere or later. If schools did play a big role in transmission, above and beyond normal routes of transmission, then closing them would have a long-term effect. Their analysis suggests it wouldn't.
But that’s working on the assumption that all teenagers are running around meeting all their mates.

whereas we know for fact that they are in an indoor school environment, mixing with kids from other households, in badly ventilated buildings.
 
But that’s working on the assumption that all teenagers are running around meeting all their mates.

whereas we know for fact that they are in an indoor school environment, mixing with kids from other households, in badly ventilated buildings.
And also ignores the fact that even if they aren’t all picking it up in schools that we are still sending them to a building every day where they are mixing with more people. Whether they are or aren’t a bigger route of transmission than other areas isn’t relevant when it’s the only one we haven’t tried restricting.
 
Last edited:
You could put curfews in place, ban travel over the Xmas period unless you can prove its for work, stop and searches on trains motorways...

Not saying it should be done, but if the government wanted to it would be fairly doable!
People have shown themselves to be incapable of self policing as we are just too selfish as a species. Police presence on the roads and stronger messaging on TV/Radio would go a long way.

I hear you but it's not realistic or practical to put that on the already stretched police service.
 
I've literally quoted from the article you've linked to.

Maybe you've misread the statement. It has been a challenge to "find out more" about the role of schools in the spread of the virus. In spite of those challenges, they've seen enough to make the statement I've quoted. Which for some reason you've just pretended doesn't exist, twice. Fun times.

But that’s working on the assumption that all teenagers are running around meeting all their mates.

whereas we know for fact that they are in an indoor school environment, mixing with kids from other households, in badly ventilated buildings.

Yeah we have limited evidence on where else it comes from, and have to rely on hypotheses. What science is best at is testing and rejecting hypotheses, rather than proving theories. The hypothesis has been put forward many times that schools are obviously the place where it's spreading like mad, and the evidence has consistently ruled that out.

Sometimes there are super spreader events, just like sometimes there are super spreader events in all indoor areas. But it isn't somewhere that people are disproportionately likely to spread the virus, despite the fact kids are kids, and the schools are how they are. And the hypothesis for that with the most reliable evidence is that kids get infected less easily and spread it less easily, so more contacts lead to proportionately fewer transmissions.

That applies outside school too. Teenagers in general are socialising more than their grand parents in general. Likewise for uni students and their parents. It's not that all of them are doing it, but more are, and more often. Despite that, for much of this year kids have been infected no more often than their parents. Younger kids are usually infected less frequently, and teenagers for most of their time - and for most of the school year - were as likely to get infected as someone my age. Despite seeing many more people in and out of school on average.

That doesn't mean that there isn't some spread in schools - their evidence suggests the opposite. It does have an incremental effect on transmission. But their analysis is that schools are not the primary cause of the spread.
 
Last edited:
Wales is no better than England , my grandson had to wait 2 weeks for a scan as the whole department were isolating because of covid , I have been waiting for over 6 months for an appointment with vascular dept for a clot in my leg , just been put on aspirin and told to wait even though my leg seizes up when walking up hills , meanwhile people are ignoring all regulations and just doing what they want . My neighbours family travel here from Preston every feckin weekend and did so during England last lockdown cos they could go out in Wales. I also look after in laws in their 80s who haven`t been out since March so got used to it now, just keep ourselves to ourselves .
Have you asked your GP about heparin injections? You self-adminster them in your stomach. I had (bad) phlebitis in the summer in numerous leg veins and the GP (in Italy) prescribed those straight away. I had a three-week course and have been taking aspirin ever since.
 
It’s time here in the US to stop the lunatic press coverage of the vaccines being available. The sheer stupidity & selfishness of a large swath of this country will only become emboldened in their anti-virus behavior & probably even add a slight spike to the double spike we are experiencing.

I get that it is a positive development, but over 3K people are dying a day & rising. That’s where the media focus should be. The vaccines will have almost no positive effect for the general public in this country for months, perhaps even a year. To blow smoke up many willing recipient’s asses by this virtual false dawn is egregious now. To be certain, the immediate roll out of the vaccines was history making & deserved saturation coverage, but it’s long last time to have the media say they are emotional when the sixth clip of a UPS truck leaving a nondescript building or a delivery person is rolling a hand truck into the receiving dock of a medical building.

So many here & worldwide have willfully displayed aggressive ignorance about the pandemic & denied stone cold facts. It’s time to stop giving these mensas the ability to do so further & discuss brass tacks & continue to do so. This potential false dawn of the vaccine arriving in this country will only enhance more suffering & give more rationalization for the deniers to not amend their poor behavior.
 
What are the police supposed to be enforcing on the road though?
Random stop checks. See what people are up to. It’s the presence of authority that’s needed in these situations not necessarily action.
 
35k cases in UK and 532 deaths. Really taking off down south and Wales.

Circuit breaker was more like have a break have a kit-kat
 
Maybe you've misread the statement. It has been a challenge to "find out more" about the role of schools in the spread of the virus. In spite of those challenges, they've seen enough to make the statement I've quoted. Which for some reason you've just pretended doesn't exist, twice. Fun times.

The bolded part you refer to is interpretation by the BBC, the latter around genetic analysis is a quote from Dr Ladhani. Which is why I didn't go too far into it. The data though excluded tests on year 11 and 13, which Dr Ladhani has said are the two year groups with the highest infection rates. Fun times.

Edit: The only direct quote I've seen from Ladhani...

Epbr2h3XIAM6z5M
 
Last edited:
35000 in the UK today. Has anyone seen whether there’s an explanation for the massive jump?

On the graph breakdown today, Wales have added 11k, it's normally around 2-3k.

Could be those missing cases added in Wales
 
And it looks like the Government that were dead set against school restrictions are now accepting that they may be required in the new year after all. I guess we’ll get our answer then.