Hinting at what we all know.
Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
- Thread starter Wednesday at Stoke
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I am tired, Volodya
Weekly update of German deliveries this time consists of these items:
- 30 MRAP vehicles DINGO
- Iris-T SLM missiles
- 4 anti-drone sensors and jammers
- 18 reconnaissance drones
- 5 tank transporter tractor M1070 Oshkosh
- 1 lift trucks
Not sure if it’s been posted already as it’s a week old, but here’s a fine meltdown to enjoy….
Claude/Claudio (R.I.P.) speaking to them all, directly from the other side: “It’s time to goooo!”
US releasing an estimated death figure of 100k fighters on each side.
Are they trying to win hearts and minds that now is the time to take negotiations seriously?
Are they trying to win hearts and minds that now is the time to take negotiations seriously?
Given recent battle field losses you would expect them to retaliate soon with massive missile attacks on civilians again.
Yes that would fit... Let's hope that the recently delivered NASAMS and Aspide are already operational and further increase the performance of Ukrainian air defence
I still don't trust the Russians. I think Ukraine should edge into the city really slow and steady
They do, but so far it looks like there are just some lost soldiers that are then taken as PoW, but not really much more (obviously obstacles like mine fields exist, so they have to be careful anyways)
He said “well over 100k“, so 100k is just a minimum number thrown out there. Also based on what has been reported I’d be wary of using a standard 3:1 WIA:KIA, at least on the Russian side.
It wasn’t a “release”, just an off the cuff remark while Milley was speaking at some economic club.
Seems hard to believe, but if Ukraine is sharing that data with the US, Milley would know. Then again, he probably wouldn’t use the word “probably” if he’s referring to data.
Yea that's wrong because since the start of the Ukrainian offensive counterattacks it's been said that the average daily routine was a 1 to 6 ratio, as 1 loss on the Ukrainian side to 6 Russian losses.
Ukraine had a lot of losses during springtime at Donbas, but the overall number can't be at 100k despite how bad your math is.
UAF should really be careful of entering the city. I've never seen a side so publicly aknowledging they're retreating and several times at that.
I kinda just wanna sit at home all day watching liberation clips as they push forward. The tearful babushkas just break me.
Sounds like Russia is putting increasing pressure on Bakhmut, desperate for a victory no doubt.
Until they are ready to bomb some civilians looks like they’re trying to post some good news with a victory or two. They are already claiming Pavlivka (SW of Donetsk), though I wouldn’t worry too much as that is a place of brutal fighting where spots can change hands frequently.
Chernobaivka chapter is closed now once and for all.
A new US aid package has been announced.
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releas...million-in-additional-assistance-for-ukraine/
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releas...million-in-additional-assistance-for-ukraine/
Thought the advances would have been slower but UAF have entered Kherson city already.
Yeh, not much confirmed but its starting to sound like they have made a massive push as soon as night fell, not just on the city.
Russian sources are freaking out, apparently the retreat is not so orderly.
If this is true it’s quite big news isn’t it? Beginning of the end of the war I would hope. Or the end of Putin I should say.
Yes if it’s true, it would result in total capitulation from Russia in this war no two ways about it. There’s no coming back from this one.
Why would Ukraine allow them to retreat anyway? All they’d do is go to the other side of the river, turn around and shoot back at them.
Ridiculous suggestion
They still have forces in the Donbas, capitulation is a bit of a stretch.
We’re in a fog of war but in the hypothetical scenario it turns out to be true and this group gets destroyed / captured I can bet with anyone one here that the war ends within month. However, I still doubt it’s remotely close to reality as that would be simply too crazy.
Good read-up on the current situation in Ukraine.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-9
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-9
Agreed, but surely Russia would have assumed they'd get at least half the troops over the river to reinforce that line. If Ukraine continues to push while the line is under manned then they could push through.
Wish I shared your optimism!
Reports of 15k-20k Russian troops on the west bank still and Antonovsky bridge might well now be unpassable by foot, with very few boats available. Its looking like it could be a huge blow...
However, until Russians that really want to fight for their country realise their enemy is in the Kremlin, Putin will continue recruiting and throwing bodies into the fire. I've not yet seen anything to suggest Putin's control will be challenged.
If confirmed, this is insanely good news for Ukraine. A Crimean front (something unthinkable 8 months ago) would stop being a distant possibility and start becoming a matter of when.
Let's hope there are no big surprises (AKA dam bombings, floodings, huge counter attacks) on the way.
Let's hope there are no big surprises (AKA dam bombings, floodings, huge counter attacks) on the way.
I think a lot of the troops and equipment that where stationed around Kherson are already on the other side of the river, there have been reports for at least 2 weeks of Russian equipment being pulled away from the front lines in the area. My guess is that the only ones left in the city are the rear guard that where manning the defensive lines outside the city to protect the retreat. This is probably still quite a large amount of troops but not enough to make the Russians surrender.