For a former seal team 6 / DEVGRU member, Chuck does post some shit sometimes.
Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
- Thread starter Wednesday at Stoke
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For a former seal team 6 / DEVGRU member, Chuck does post some shit sometimes.
Yeah, I’ve noticed that as well. Though to be fair Theiner has his own share of bold controversial takes as he thinks UA secretly has used ATACMS a couple times (Sevastopol and Kerch bridge).
Bold takes, I think he's probably right though...
So, did I think your first tweet was relevant to the thread? Based on the tweet I clicked, no. You asked me if your tweet was more relevant than other news posted in the thread? I answered yes and I should have stopped there.
Then you kept showing me a bunch of other news and it was supposed to change my stance on your tweet? No. But I appreciate some of your posts here with "hey there are bad guys everywhere and, on both sides, too" to remind us about them once in a while.
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Yes.
Aren't they the newly mobilised, not the normal conscripts that go in every year?
Yes, they are. The conscription will start on the 1st of November, although I don’t know who they’re going to call up.
Those Iranian drones are nasty little piece of work, Kyiv has been under swarm of them the whole morning.
Surely we are at the point where other countries could send in fighter jets now to set up a no fly zones around Ukraines major cities in the north and west of the country?
Shooting down drones or rockets could hardly be interpreted as a direct attack on Russia. It's nuts that Russia are launching terrorist attacks on civilian populations on what seems like a daily basis now. The mask really has slipped, once this is over Putin needs to be handled and serious reforms should happen in Russia before they're allowed back in on international scale trade wise.
Shooting down drones or rockets could hardly be interpreted as a direct attack on Russia. It's nuts that Russia are launching terrorist attacks on civilian populations on what seems like a daily basis now. The mask really has slipped, once this is over Putin needs to be handled and serious reforms should happen in Russia before they're allowed back in on international scale trade wise.
I am pretty sure the US has already figured them out, question is do they want to share that with Ukraine thereby showing their hand.
It's not that hard to figure them out. Their basic idea is simple but effective, overwhelm air defense just by quantity.
Obviously not what I meant by figuring out. It's reverse engineering the protocols / breaking encryption to either deny operation or take over.
Ye, but thing is atm. The issue is more that they swarm the air with them and send some cruise missiles also which overwhelm the air defence and some still get through to terrorize the cities.
How are so many drones getting to Kyiv undetected?
They don't have enough air defense systems to protect the areas where there is no fighting. Most of the more advanced AA equipment are probably needed in the south and east where the actual fighting is going on.
Russians using WW2 era weapons in Donetsk
They are relatively small (compared to airplanes) and they fly slow, low and in swarms.
At a complete guess, Ukraine is facing 3 types of problems wrt to air-defence: Firstly, simply not enough of it. Secondly, many separate systems which are not (and cannot be) integrated in ways of sharing data (S-300, Pantsir, Gepards, IRIS-T... did they get NASAMS?). Thirdly, a difficulty in finding cost effective ways of engaging these swarms eefectively.
For example Shahed drones cost, according to military researchers, an estimated $20k a pop. So a mini-swarm of five costs $100k. Meanwhile an AMRAAM costs a cool $1m and an IRIS-T about $500k. Do you fire them at Shaheds? Or do you save them for the Sukhois, MiGs and Cruise missiles?
And to be fair the vast majority of them are shot down, according to UA anyway....
Ukraine doesn't have Pantsir (unless they captured some)
Only 5/28 getting through is encouraging. I wonder where these drones are starting out from? Surely it's Belarus?
Probably to put his citizens at ease that they won't face Nuclear annihilation for whatever happens in Ukraine. The french population have no obligation whatever to pulled into such a scenario.
Why. Was there a clamour from the French citizens to be reassured.
Russia are doing a good job demilitarising themselves in the last few days.
Not sure why Russia bothers with these drone attacks on civilian infrastructure or buildings. It won't deter anyone. It's not scaring off either Ukraine or the West, if creating terror was the goal.
How long until the Russians are using these?
Which gun is that? I suppose you've seen they're using the Mosin from WWI.How long until the Russians are using these?
I just googled "musket"
Here's the source
https://www.darkknightarmoury.com/product/black-1853-civil-war-enfield-rifle-musket/
If we don't see something like that eventually I'll be surprised.
Any takers? Now that the dynamic has changed with Iran supplying Russia with those drones, perhaps NATO should change the dynamics in arming Ukraine and allowing Ukraine to upgrade their own objectives as well.
Damn, didn't expect the pilot to get filmed like this.
I don't think the US would feel restrained in helping the Ukrainians irrespective of what the Iranians are doing.
Surely Iran is selling them weapons, not donating them? It might be a subtle difference, but in realpolitik it probably matters.
Biden is the one who’s restraining the military support based on the recent Washington Post article. Apparently he’s being advised to remain subdued in their military support by national sec. adviser Jake Sallivan.
I think what Amb. McFaul is referring to is when will Ukraine be supplied with at least a load of MGM-140 ATACMS.
I just cannot stand that snotty little shit whenever he shows his face on TV, but this would be a major reason to hate the guy even more.
I think the US policy of supplying the Ukrainians with enough to deal with Russian advances but not enough to where they can strike too far into Russia and in the process cause Putin to escalate with more powerful weapons, is the correct one. If they need more sophisticated weapons to win, I can't see them not getting them. The only thing that has to be rigidly adhered to is not incentivizing the Ukrainians to go after Russian targets further into Russia, as that will 100% be met with massive response from Putin, who will not want to look like he isn't responding with overwhelming force after getting slapped in the face by Ukraine's military (such as the Kerch Bridge scenario and subsequent Russian response).