Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

any wideview maps? to see where ukraine is now compared with last month? even a projection would be interesting as they've made a lot of progress going by the succession of towns and oblasts.

found this.



don't know how accurate it is but suggests ukraine has focused on the north.

I mean it is sensible thing to do as most Russian supplies would come from the north (and east) and Russian moved their best troops to the south where Ukraine can contain them easily once the supplies cut off.
 
don't know how accurate it is but suggests ukraine has focused on the north.
I wouldn't say they focused on the north, it's just that it is easier there with less Russian troops since they moved a lot of them to Kherson region. Ukraine keeps trying to breakthrough in the south as well but it's a much slower progress here with some failures. They are still making progress but it's much more costly and contested.

 
I wouldn't say they focused on the north, it's just that it is easier there with less Russian troops since they moved a lot of them to Kherson region. Ukraine keeps trying to breakthrough in the south as well but it's a much slower progress here with some failures. They are still making progress but it's much more costly and contested.


that makes sense. seems they're attacking all across the line but just broke through easier in the north. the scale of this war is something else. sometimes forget just how enormous ukraine is.
 
When will people grasp this, he is far far closer to Stalin than Yeltsin. Oligarchs that dared to utter some critique found themselves tripping over high rise windows soon after. Putin has complete control over the security (repressive) apparatus, one call and people just die of negligence or natural causes, while everyone looks the other way.

Every dictator that has ended up dead in a ditch or fleeing for his life did at some point.
 
Am I right in assuming that India abstaining/supporting Russia has to do with Soviet Union subs blocking the US fleet during the India-Pakistan conflict many decades ago?

That + geopolitics in general + historic ties (economically and socially).

Historically, it's always been Pakistan and the US and India and Russia.

Realistically, we (India) have enemies all around us with Pakistan and China and can't afford to piss off Russia as it's been a historic ally.

Still a shit position to be in and I'd hope the government would show guts but most Indian governments and especially this one have no balls.
 
The good thing about russian lend-lease is that they deliver the stuff right to the frontlines, logistically very convenient.
 
I guess it shows that there is no equivalent to the BILD in the UK, as you couldn’t imagine any of our tabloids having a man on the ground close behind the advance like this.

 
Some russian tg channel claims that situation is very very difficult for them in the direction of Bersilav, Kherson region.

To give a feeling where it’s on the map:

This can only mean (if confirmed) a total collapse of Russian defense lines north of Kherson. Although it is very doubtful at this stage that such progress could have been possible this quickly.
 
Some russian tg channel claims that situation is very very difficult for them in the direction of Bersilav, Kherson region.

To give a feeling where it’s on the map:

This can only mean (if confirmed) a total collapse of Russian defense lines north of Kherson. Although it is very doubtful at this stage that such progress could have been possible this quickly.

That last tweet is a bit too optimistic IMO (or lost in translation somewhere) but it definitely seems like it's not a very good day for Russia with tons of reports of Kherson front collapsing from that direction.
 
That last tweet is a bit too optimistic IMO (or lost in translation somewhere) but it definitely seems like it's not a very good day for Russia with tons of reports of Kherson front collapsing from that direction.
The reports usually lag the events. I think the Ukrainians have gained massive amount of ground in the south already based on many reports. If the Russians will counterattack and the Ukrainians can hold what they gained for the next few hours would be interesting.

Or the whole Russians line will collapse within a few days which is the usual thing with their northern front lines.
 

Several times these weeks I had to pause and just think about the big picture and how absolutely ridiculous it would have been about 7 months ago to suggest that Ukraime would be capable of executing not one but two large scale geographically separated maneuvering offensives , simultaneously, and that against the Russian army which was build for the sole purpose of ground warfare. These last 5 years have felt like decades in terms of global events.
 
Several times these weeks I had to pause and just think about the big picture and how absolutely ridiculous it would have been about 7 months ago to suggest that Ukraime would be capable of executing not one but two large scale geographically separated maneuvering offensives , simultaneously, and that against the Russian army which was build for the sole purpose of ground warfare. These last 5 years have felt like decades in terms of global events.

Agreed. And if there is one positive thing about a Tory PM in crisis, it is that plenty of money and military hardware should soon be heading to Kyiv.
 
Several times these weeks I had to pause and just think about the big picture and how absolutely ridiculous it would have been about 7 months ago to suggest that Ukraime would be capable of executing not one but two large scale geographically separated maneuvering offensives , simultaneously, and that against the Russian army which was build for the sole purpose of ground warfare. These last 5 years have felt like decades in terms of global events.

I was 100% buying into the narrative that the Russian army was actually very strong. Now it's clear that it was a very, very small slice of competence.
 
Good interview with Khodorkovsky. Mentions that Putin knows failure to win in Ukraine would result in his own death, which is why some degree of tactical nukes may be on the table in the coming months.

 
What's he waiting for, then?

If he was actually training these conscripts I'd say he's waiting till they're trained, but it seems he's just throwing them into the fight. Or maybe some are training and some are fodder?
 
What's he waiting for, then?

If he was actually training these conscripts I'd say he's waiting till they're trained, but it seems he's just throwing them into the fight. Or maybe some are training and some are fodder?

Using nukes would almost certainly trigger NATO getting involved and cause Putin to lose any trace of support from the likes of China and others. It could basically expedite his own demise. He’s basically fecked.