I don’t know how to link it but the map showing the UA advance is nuts if accurate. The Russian’s seemingly had no second lines of defence and have just collapsed.
Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
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He's running out of options and is probably weighing either escalating or looking to preserve what he has by entrenching a long term frozen conflict (for which he won't have the resources to maintain for too long).
It’s a parody account in his name. The guy who runs it is Ukrainian as far as I can tell.
Makes sense.
Where are the weirdos that told us Russia could storm through Ukraine AND Poland in a week if it really tried 
How many Russian Generals have bit the dust in this conflict now ? Just shows how terrible Putin's military is where they have to repeatedly put their Generals in harms way.
Still in Kremlin! Or in a bunker somewhere to be more precise.Where are the weirdos that told us Russia could storm through Ukraine AND Poland in a week if it really tried
@harms basically a tank yeah
Aye. Don't get in his way or else there will be trouble.
The Ukrainian attack seems crazy good. Guess it shows both the russian ineptitude and the Ukrainian bravery and good training, but also that HIMARS are really, really good artillery tech. They have been bombarding the russian positions and ammunition depos for weeks before the assault.
No defensive preparations were done as I think their commander in chief is still in denial about their attacking capacity, the mindset has not shifted yet to the defensive line of thinking.
This is from Russian Telegram channel Rybar. If it's real the Russians in Izyum are now cut off from any resupplies.
The Kupyansk thing is crazy.
the first clip is very sweet and quite emotional. Her little jump when she realises they are Ukrainians. I can only imagine how that felt.
the old man is more like my father than my father is. The mannerisms, how he walks with his arms out, his smile, handshake, the fact that this is how he responds to the situation in that way, even the coat and hat…it honestly couldn’t be more similar. It is a little bizarre but I can’t take my eyes off of him
Sadly, I can't enjoy this as much as I would like.
This might be slightly off-topic, but not completely, and I'm just going to write it here to show you how difficult it is to deal with Russian satellite states.
As most of you are probably well aware by now, Bosnia is made od two entities, one of which (Republic of Srpska) is completely pro-Russian. Serbs gained it in 1992-1995 war, effectively splitting country in two parts, and the separation is visible in every possible way. To cut the long story short, Serbs have a long term goal of separating from Bosnia, and in order to do so, they are attempting to prove every day that coexistence is impossible.
Serbia is Russian ally, and has instigated a lot of political unrest in Bosnia, Kosovo and Montenegro recently, with a long term goal of creating Greater Serbia, a country in which all Serbs would live. Of course, it has large parts of neighbouring countries in it.
Now, as I said, nothing is immune to this political divide. Bosniaks and Croats (well, mostly) are pro-European, pro-EU and pro-NATO, as we are well aware that it is our only way of survival to integrate into Europe and western civilization. But we can't make any decision without acceptance of Serbs. And they are not pro EU and are definitely anti-NATO, spewing some neutrality shite and hoping that Serbia will one day walk in there and liberate them the same way Russia is liberating Ukraine. Infact, there are lot of similarities in Russian and Serbian propaganda and war doctrine.
Information has come out today that Bosnian FA has accepted invitation from Russia to play a friendly in november in St. Petersburg. That was made possible by the fact that FA is now run by Serbs due to the rotation policy in Presidency. Vico Zeljkovic is president now, he is nephew of Serbian leader Milorad Dodik and yields a great amount of power. Dodik is Putin's lapdog.
I know football is not important, but this is football forum and I'm taking a wild guess many will see in november that Bosnia is playing Russia and take a guess that we are pro-Russian oriented. I just wanted to move your attention to the fact that we aren't. At least majority isn't. Serbs are. And their attempts to break away from Bosnia are well supported by Russia.
Once again, someone may dismiss this writing as bollocks and offtopic, but to me it isn't. I see this as just another step in attempting to cut us off from west and keep us in Russian sphere of interest. We don't want that, we need people to know where we stand but also that our hands are tied.
This might be slightly off-topic, but not completely, and I'm just going to write it here to show you how difficult it is to deal with Russian satellite states.
As most of you are probably well aware by now, Bosnia is made od two entities, one of which (Republic of Srpska) is completely pro-Russian. Serbs gained it in 1992-1995 war, effectively splitting country in two parts, and the separation is visible in every possible way. To cut the long story short, Serbs have a long term goal of separating from Bosnia, and in order to do so, they are attempting to prove every day that coexistence is impossible.
Serbia is Russian ally, and has instigated a lot of political unrest in Bosnia, Kosovo and Montenegro recently, with a long term goal of creating Greater Serbia, a country in which all Serbs would live. Of course, it has large parts of neighbouring countries in it.
Now, as I said, nothing is immune to this political divide. Bosniaks and Croats (well, mostly) are pro-European, pro-EU and pro-NATO, as we are well aware that it is our only way of survival to integrate into Europe and western civilization. But we can't make any decision without acceptance of Serbs. And they are not pro EU and are definitely anti-NATO, spewing some neutrality shite and hoping that Serbia will one day walk in there and liberate them the same way Russia is liberating Ukraine. Infact, there are lot of similarities in Russian and Serbian propaganda and war doctrine.
Information has come out today that Bosnian FA has accepted invitation from Russia to play a friendly in november in St. Petersburg. That was made possible by the fact that FA is now run by Serbs due to the rotation policy in Presidency. Vico Zeljkovic is president now, he is nephew of Serbian leader Milorad Dodik and yields a great amount of power. Dodik is Putin's lapdog.
I know football is not important, but this is football forum and I'm taking a wild guess many will see in november that Bosnia is playing Russia and take a guess that we are pro-Russian oriented. I just wanted to move your attention to the fact that we aren't. At least majority isn't. Serbs are. And their attempts to break away from Bosnia are well supported by Russia.
Once again, someone may dismiss this writing as bollocks and offtopic, but to me it isn't. I see this as just another step in attempting to cut us off from west and keep us in Russian sphere of interest. We don't want that, we need people to know where we stand but also that our hands are tied.
Thanks for this post. Interesting and informative about a part of the world I am sure many on here know very little about
This is from Russian Telegram channel Rybar. If it's real the Russians in Izyum are now cut off from any resupplies.
How would they be cut off from supplies ? The map seems to indicate there is plenty of Russian controlled territory to the east of Izyum.
Kupiansk is a major trainhub in the region, the biggest in fact it seems. So cut off from direct supplies from Russia.
With the invincible chechens leading the charge, the best warriors in the world.Where are the weirdos that told us Russia could storm through Ukraine AND Poland in a week if it really tried
That was mainly one kunt who was drunk on cheap vodka.
Fair, but still funny.
I think Ukraine already has most of this intel, american spy satellites are now extremely accurate and i wouldn't be suprised if they coupled them with AI to automatically detect almost instantly any significant movement of troops.
I understand that. It's a very difficult issue and the reason I know fairly well of your situation is because I am Romanian. We have problems to the borders by a now war to the East, a Hungary run by a russian fan and Serbia too. The feeling in my country is that we are surrounded by potential enemies and the military doctrine of the nation is based on US and NATO alliance, while preparing to fight virtually all our neighbors in case of war. Even Bulgaria is not well trusted. We feel a bit like an island here and if anyone pays attention to the arms program, the country prepares to not just have a decent army, but one that can fight to the Est while taking over all issues to the West (Hungary and Serbia, potentially Bulgaria).
The feelings you write are very similar to some from Hungary, the people that want the West but are forced by a corrupt and immoral government to behave a different way. It's much more complicated in your case as it's a real difference of nationality.
I guess what I'm saying is that I understand the shit situation in your part of the woods. As far as I know, NATO also understands it from a military perspective. As far as what "normal" people think of a people or another, it matters to little IMO. Most Americans probably can't show Ukraine on the map yet the nation still brings billions and major tech to the war. The situation in your country is for sure well understood by the powers at hand, don't worry about that.
Looking at this map, I believe that they may be talking about those ground lines of communication that only go to the North side (and are cut off now). Borova also looks like a major transport hub although there's also Oskil... anyway, the "completely cut off" stuff seems to like exaggeration.
Looking at this map, I believe that they may be talking about those ground lines of communication that only go to the North side (and are cut off now). Borova also looks like a major transport hub although there's also Oskil... anyway, the "completely cut off" stuff seems to like exaggeration.
Thanks. I forgot about the rail angle in all of this. That would be pretty significant if true.
Progress of the last few days.
Russian KIA numbers:
Pretty much identical numbers to what we see being reported by Ukraine ministry of defence.
The bridge at Horokhovatka was the last Russian controlled main road going to Izyum from Kupiansk. Kupiansk is a major railroad hub in north eastern Ukraine and has been a key city for the Russians bringing in supplies for the whole Izyum area. There is still one smaller road, crossing the Oskil river directly east of Izyum that is under Russian control so I guess they are not completly cut off as that road is still open but Ukrainian positions south of Izyum in the Sloviansk direction should have that road within artillery range.
The east is blocked off by the river Oskil. The Russians don't do river crossings very well. Horokhovatka, the last supply line bridge over the Oskil, is under Ukrainian fire control as of this morning I think.
Russians are now trying to use helicopters to send reserves to Izyum, but how many can you fit in a helicopter and also how many can avoid Ukrainian stinger missiles and starstreaks?
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It's a little more complicated than that; it's true that even Orbán's voters are more pro-EU than government rhetoric would lead you to believe but for most people, this "West v East" thing simply isn't that important. And the regime is not North Korea, the people aren't forced to behave in any way: it's a modern autocracy that is excellent at building media narratives and has no scruples whatsoever when it comes to exploiting just about anything (world events, the "culture war", anything) for its own purposes. Add a lot of gerrymandering and control over a whole media empire and it's easy to see why their power is so secure domestically.
However, they aren't as nakedly pro-Russian as you'd think - Orbán and co. are trying to be clever and play both sides to an extent. A couple days ago it's been announced thata new anti-corruption authority will be formed and in theory it is going to be independent of the government. Its main job will be to monitor the use of EU funds in Hungary. This is significant because it's one of the key complaints of the EU regarding Hungary: the level of corruption around EU funds. This new authority - though I don't expect any actual anti-corruption work from it, obviously - is a concession towards the EU and an attempt to get those sweet, temporarily frozen funds. In other words: they aren't ready to break with the EU, not yet, at least.
This is also off-topic to an extent, sorry about that.
It's the same for a lot of countries in Eastern Europe, including Romania. It's not pro Russia and be open about it. It's based on nationalism, fake best interest of the nation, the decadent West, etc (the point is for the former communist/ secret services scum/ corrupt to have similar control to what Putin has; it's not a Russian bias as it is, it is a dictatorship wanna be sentiment).
In Romania the TV media is also controlled by political parties (all of them are former communist scum). The population in Romania is hard core pro US and pro NATO so even the corrupt pro dictatorship party has to pretend to be as such. But if you fallow what they actually do, Romania is on a certain way road to European infringement due to protecting the corrupt rather then fighting against them. The one single benefit that Romania has is similar to Israel: it is essential to the alliance to any and all dangers are dealt with as a World Wide security issue. If it was not for the strategical importance, Romania would have been 10 time worse then Hungary.
All of Eastern Europe is infected by people and parties schooled by the communists and look upon dictators as a "how to get power" guide. The influence of the West, NATO and the EU is keeping these nations in check.
7.4m ruble per soldier? Google says that's 122,000 USD.
Are Russia really paying 122,000 USD for each soldier? Highly sceptical to be honest.
No one is going to be doing that math in an official letter, it's also going to be classified. It's also a picture that I can recreate in 5 minutes without any authentication signs whatsoever. Looks extremely fake.
They are but they do everything possible not to — the most common tactic is to simply proclaim someone MIA instead of dead.
I looked it up, the 7m figure does seem to be mentioned by a couple of sources. So they're trying everything to avoid it? Could create resentment among their family members.
Anyway, that document would also then indeed somewhat confirm Ukraine's estimated numbers.
Oh wait, just saw it's likely to be a fake (last tweet).