Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
- Thread starter Wednesday at Stoke
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That's insane. Spot on.
Interview with a Russian soldier who fled. Pretty harrowing how they lived.
Is the war still currently happening? Or has it settled down a little bit. Not heard to much on this recently to be honest.
Still happening.
Awful that. Hope Ukraine stick together and they’ll overcome it.
It's still happening but the front lines move slow and it has turned into an attrition war. Question is how long both countries can keep this going as it's draining on their resources. But we know from history that these kind of wars can go on for a long time.
Classic FSB. Never afraid to sacrifice people for the greater good.
Today is the Ukrainian Independence Day. Obviously a lot of politicians are sending their greetings, stating the obvious and no one is surprised by their messages.
Except some are a bit unexpected...
https://euroweeklynews.com/2022/08/...r-congratulating-ukraine-on-independence-day/
Except some are a bit unexpected...
https://euroweeklynews.com/2022/08/...r-congratulating-ukraine-on-independence-day/
Wonder how Russia will use energy in their advantage...
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I’ve been saying it all long but large western countries continue to mess this up in the most dumbest way. Just go all in with the military support for Ukraine and end this quickly, instead they’re hoping the problems will solve themselves without any hard decisions.
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I don't think there can be a quick end unless Putin is overthrown. If NATO were to provide more destructive weapons, Putin, who will at all costs not want to be seen as on the cusp a humiliating loss, will be incentivized to use thermobaric weapons or WMDs. The NATO approach of slowly eroding Russia from within seems to be the most effective and least violent way to deal with this. Both NATO and the Ukrainians know this.
Six months after Russia’s war vs. Ukraine began, the West still won’t give Kyiv the weapons to win
As Vladimir Putin kills more Ukrainian civilians with missiles, the White House refuses the long-range weapons needed to take out Russian launchers and mount a counteroffensive.
https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/uk...nce-darya-dugina-putin-zelensky-20220824.html
As Vladimir Putin kills more Ukrainian civilians with missiles, the White House refuses the long-range weapons needed to take out Russian launchers and mount a counteroffensive.
https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/uk...nce-darya-dugina-putin-zelensky-20220824.html
Thanks, I hope the prediction holds as there is still a long way to go.
Not sure if energy stuff still goes here or in the geopolitics thread. German gas sources. Article (in German).
Not sure if energy stuff still goes here or in the geopolitics thread. German gas sources. Article (in German).
What's the premise ? That German reliance on Russian gas is being sharply curtailed ?
The article talks about how German politicians have been going on "shopping tours" to find alternatives to Russian gas (more than 50 % before the invasion), and that so far it's mainly from Norway and the Netherlands. Norway is producing at capacity already, and while the Netherlands technically can increase production it probably can't do so politically. They say that in the short-medium term liquefied natural gas (LNG) is the way to go to shift away from Russian gas further.
Same issue in Germany actually... we likely would have enough natural gas ressources for decades, but only if we would use fracking, which is absolutely not wanted.
Imo these concerns are baseless as proven time and time again. On the same note:
Ukraine has the momentum now and US should recognize that this might be the best shot for Ukraine to drive Russia away. Ukraine economic doesn’t have the petrol dollars to keep the country running.
I look at the new mobilization as pure desperation. You would have to think he has already applied the very best troops he had at the beginning of war, at least 50k of which are now dead and at least another 50k wounded or in come other way incapacitated. Given past incompetence, the new troops are probably least competent of them all.
Not sure if energy stuff still goes here or in the geopolitics thread. German gas sources. Article (in German).
Currently probably the use of gas must be at its lowest. Hopefully they can find providers to substitute all the gas that they will need in winter. Maybe even some of the current providers would need part of these exports for themselves then or at least it will be tensions for the pricing
Probably the best troops are the ones they have now. they have a 6 month experience war and that counts much more than training
The article also mentions a possible deal with Azerbaijan, but I don't know how big that would be.
Not sure if energy stuff still goes here or in the geopolitics thread. German gas sources. Article (in German).
What do they mean by 'verbauchten' ('used') here? Does it only refer to direct use by households, industry, etc., or also what's bought for storage? Cause if I understand things correctly, gas companies don't necessarily buy in all that much more gas in winter, but acquire it throughout the year and put it in storage in summer during the low-demand period, to prepare for the high-demand winter.
If my understanding is correct, and if this graph is about where German gas companies are buying their gas - then it really is a very meaningful development.
Hard to believe the Russians are still rolling around in tanks after the drubbing they've gotten over the past 6 months
My German consists of a combination of 1-2 decades old schooling and some pitiful Duolingo schenanigans, but my understanding is that it's current imports, yes. The article refers to this pdf document from the BMWK, but I haven't read it.
Ha, I should just have read the article you referenced in your original post! (Those hyperlinks are in a colour that's not very visible to me.) It states clearly that this is about all German gas imports. This is its key bit:
In short, pre-invasion, over 50% of German gas imports came from Russia. In June, that was down to 26%; and now it's at 9%.
That is meaningful, @4bars, as gas companies are busy filling their reservoirs. There was a lot of concern previously about companies being unable to reach the desired level before winter, but at least in the Netherlands, that's actually on track. So this is not really the off-season in terms of import; there's a great demand right now in preparation for winter.
German reservoirs are already filled to about 80%, which is indeed and surprisingly ahead of schedule, despite the reduction of imports from Russia.
So all these numbers actually look quite good.
I'll remember to point out the links more in the future. I already do that when I link to pdf files or similar, so it's just a habit.
Thanks! Although in this case, it's really just that I went too fast; it's clear from your text that there's a link.
That is very good news. Hopefully all europe and make the transition and stop the dependency. Wi come to an evident economic cost but is only fair for the ones that they are dying in ukraine
Also morale has to be low. Most soldiers should be thinking by now, "what the hell are we doing here?".
Maybe, but it might also mean that a lot of them are worn out and suffer from shellshock and what not. Russian troops have to operate under miserly conditions. No doubt that some of them are hardcore, but the ones who jumped ship can tell just what a clusterfeck it is.
But you are talking more about moral and sequels, but no doubt that there are many that learnt more in 6 months than any soldier that didnt see action in their lifes.
Either way we can be sure that fresh recruits aren't the best soldiers and will not strengthen the Russian army but just slow down their downfall.