Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

An actual armed resistance within Russia is absolutely massive if it indeed manages to take off.

It would be indeed. Proponents of Putin’s authoritarian regime like to talk about the ”law and order” it provides. Stuff happening in Moscow would threaten Putin’s position morethan anything else.
 
Case closed. They can't even be bothered to do the fake apartment raids anymore, just create a story and move on.
 
Case closed. They can't even be bothered to do the fake apartment raids anymore, just create a story and move on.

I laughed out loud when I saw the news. What's that, less than 24 hours?
Hopefully they'll solve Nemtsov's murder next.
 
I laughed out loud when I saw the news. What's that, less than 24 hours?
Hopefully they'll solve Nemtsov's murder next.

Isn't it obvious that the Ukrainian secret services murdered Nemtsov, too???

What should this nice fella Putin do about it??? He has to do something, of course...
 
An actual armed resistance within Russia is absolutely massive if it indeed manages to take off.

Don't be surprised if one takes flight. They are getting hammered economically to where it will be hard to keep the people content with increasingly scare money and resources.
 
I'm super sceptical about this actually existing.

Even under worse dictators with more evil secret police there are underground resistance movements, however risky, so I don't doubt the existence of something in Russia. And in a relatively well armed country with an enormous amount of weapons around, and a well established black market (remember the nuclear sub someone bought!?), some of these groups will have access to arms. But i agree with your skepticism regarding the extent and influence of these groups, and their ability to actually wage an underground war. It would be nice to see but I think the West has to plan it's response on the assumption that Putin will be an all-powerful leader for the next decade with very little internal dissent. Unless the health rumours are true of course.
 

Hmm, missed that somehow. Ponomarev doesn’t exactly fill me with confidence though. The speed with which FSB found “the culprit” also point towards their own planned operation and not something unexpected.


Even under worse dictators with more evil secret police there are underground resistance movements, however risky, so I don't doubt the existence of something in Russia. And in a relatively well armed country with an enormous amount of weapons around, and a well established black market (remember the nuclear sub someone bought!?), some of these groups will have access to arms. But i agree with your skepticism regarding the extent and influence of these groups, and their ability to actually wage an underground war. It would be nice to see but I think the West has to plan it's response on the assumption that Putin will be an all-powerful leader for the next decade with very little internal dissent. Unless the health rumours are true of course.
I’m far from knowledgeable on the matter so it’s a speculation but I’m not sure that there’s tons of unregistered weapons lying around in a fight-ready condition. It was a Wild West in the 90’s but since the turn of the 00’s FSB had been constantly tightening the screws, getting rid of any “competition” (any criminal & paramilitary organizations, including mafia, neo-nazi and antifa groups).

The only regions that still have a lot of weapons are the ones on the Caucasus mountains due to a very different political & social situation. But you won’t get any organized resistance in Chechnya where Kadyrov controls everything even tighter than FSB does in other regions (his opponents are either dead or abroad, many of the latter fight for Ukraine). Not sure about Dagestan, North Ossetia etc., but traditionally (well, in the last 10-15 years) those regions are very pro-Putin.
 
Clearly the same super sleuths that solved the apartment complex bombings back in 1999 were on this case.

Much like the apartment bombings, the FSB has a much easier time finding the perpetrators because they were there when it happened.
 
Hmm, missed that somehow. Ponomarev doesn’t exactly fill me with confidence though.



I’m far from knowledgeable on the matter so it’s a speculation but I’m not sure that there’s tons of unregistered weapons lying around in a fight-ready condition. It was a Wild West in the 90’s but since the turn of the 00’s FSB had been constantly tightening the screws, getting rid of any “competition” (any criminal & paramilitary organizations, including mafia, neo-nazi and antifa groups).

The only regions that still have a lot of weapons are the ones on the Caucasus mountains due to a very different political & social situation. But you won’t get any organized resistance in Chechnya where Kadyrov controls everything even tighter than FSB does in other regions (his opponents are either dead or abroad, many of the latter fight for Ukraine). Not sure about Dagestan, North Ossetia etc., but traditionally (well, in the last 10-15 years) those regions are very pro-Putin.

It's very difficult to know. My estimation, and maybe 'estimation' is too strong a word, maybe i mean 'blind guess', is that there will be an enormous amount of Soviet era weaponry still around. I'm talking about enough weapons to sustain a low level insurgency rather than to actually fight the Russian army directly.
 
So am I, in fact I wouldnt be surprised if such an organisation is created by the fsb to catch dissidents.
Even if not, FSB has a habit of infiltrating potentially dangerous organizations (or simply groups with young radicals that are easy to provoke into something in order to boost the arrest numbers — like “Novoe Velichie”, “Set’” etc.).
 
Even if not, FSB has a habit of infiltrating potentially dangerous organizations (or simply groups with young radicals that are easy to provoke into something in order to boost the arrest numbers — like “Novoe Velichie”, “Set’” etc.).
...They have decades (a century?)of institutional experience doing this stuff.
 
Wild how you can follow a modern war. There were reports of explosions in Sevastopol earlier, and we can track an RAF surveillance plane in the area.

 
Much like the apartment bombings, the FSB has a much easier time finding the perpetrators because they were there when it happened.
Oh indeed. I always love how the story is concluded by them finding an unexploded bomb in another apartment complex and them just explaining it away as "a training exercise".
 


This tweet will most likely get forgotten since the Skripal's murder obviously gets overshadowed by the ongoing war in Ukraine, but if there's going to be a tribunal for them at some point...

Margarita Simonyan, the chief editor of RT, says that the supposed "killer" of Darya Dugina has already fled to Estonia... only to suggest that hopefully "there's going to be some professionals who would go there to look at some cathedral spires near Tallin".

Let me remind you that it was Margarita Simonyan herself who interviewed Skripal killers for RT in order to establish their ridiculous cover up story.

Of course no one in their sane mind would believe their story or that Simonyan wouldn't know that they're lying but to basically confess her role in the cover up for a lousy tweet is a ridiculous level of cynicism.
 
So did they accuse some random Ukrainian citizen for this? Who is this woman anyway?
 
I think he’s asking about the accused.

Looks like it. I’d imagine that we’ll get an interview from her in a few days if she’s actually in Estonia/out of Russia.
Yes I meant the accused. They showed someone's picture so I'm just wondering who the person is. I mean, if they are accusing some random citizen and showing their picture, it could affect their life.
 
They appear to be legit…


Based on?

He was one of the biggest supporters of the “Mizulina law” that legitimized government censorship over internet in Russia, worked closely with Vyacheslav Surkov and Konstantin Malofeev (google them if you don’t know who they are; funnily enough, Malofeev is the highest-profiled open ally of Dugin), earned millions on shady government contracts on Skolkovo… I can go on for ages.

He’s well-known as a unscrupulous liar and cheap populist. Just because he switched sides at the right moment doesn’t make him trustworthy. If he says that it’s sunny outside, I’m not leaving a house without an umbrella.