Frosty
Logical and sensible but turns women gay
What we do know IMO:
-The invasion of Kyiv (biggest city) failed.
-The invasion of Kharkiv (2nd biggest) failed.
-There's currently a blockade in Odessa (3rd biggest, main port).
-The invasion of Luhansk is succeeding.
-The invasion of Donetsk is in progress, no clear result yet.
Therefore, the success of the operation depends on where the goalposts are. If we consider the initial demands, Russia is failing. If we consider a new, more reduced approach, they could be succeeding. For now.
We could also consider the expansion of NATO, and NATO speaking with one united voice, both of which were the opposite of what Putin was aiming for in February.