Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

That has to be Excalibur shells, no other artillery ammunition would be able to hit with that much precision.
Not necessarily. It could for example also be laser guided M712 Copperhead for example, if it is a western model. As we know there was a drone used for target observation it could also have been used for laser guidance.
 
Not necessarily. It could for example also be laser guided M712 Copperhead for example, if it is a western model. As we know there was a drone used for target observation it could also have been used for laser guidance.
Yes that actually makes even more sense.
 
He is not belittling the holocaust. He is belittling the Germans. Who once again think of their pockets only and they don't help the Ukrainians who are dying.

If the whole Western world tells you that Germany IS NOT DOING ENOUGH, it is probably time to do something real to help Ukraine instead of feeling... offended! It is only fecking idiots that are doing almost nothing, and feel offended that the rest of the West reminds them that they are doing very little.

Here is another one:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...scholz-to-visit-ukraine-on-russia-victory-day

Zelenskiy invites Germany’s Scholz to visit Ukraine on Russia’s Victory Day

President says visit on 9 May, when German leaders have often travelled to Moscow, would make powerful statement

You’re conflating things here. Many people who think Germany are not doing enough do not agree with the various outrageous statements you have shared, including comparisons to the holocaust. As German posters have repeatedly stated, they also criticise how their government have handled the situation, historically and now. That’s not what they take offence to. The distinction between that and those kinds of comments seems clear to everyone else but you, and it’s obvious your explicit bias plays a role in that.
 
Yes that actually makes even more sense.
I'm not sure if one theory makes more sense than the other - the Excalibur is actually simpler to use with simple commercial drones - identify the exact position to strike at on Google Maps and just put the coordinates into the Excalibur. Laser guidance can't be done by every drone, as you need a special targeting device mounted.
 
You’re conflating things here. Many people who think Germany are not doing enough do not agree with the various outrageous statements you have shared, including comparisons to the holocaust. As German posters have repeatedly stated, they also criticise how their government have handled the situation, historically and now. That’s not what they take offence to. The distinction between that and those kinds of comments seems clear to everyone else but you, and it’s obvious your explicit bias plays a role in that.
Good post. Especially as frostbite totally missed the fact that Ukraine reacted to Germany being offended to get rid of that sentiment (as the invitation was now extented to president Steinmeier - this solves the protocollary problem they created by refusing Steinmeier's visit.

Quite ridiculuous to see him ranting about something even the Ukraine president acknowledges now (although implicitly, but I guess that's good enough in these times).
 
I'm not sure if one theory makes more sense than the other - the Excalibur is actually simpler to use with simple commercial drones - identify the exact position to strike at on Google Maps and just put the coordinates into the Excalibur. Laser guidance can't be done by every drone, as you need a special targeting device mounted.
The Excalibur is a very expensive shell, thats why I thought something else made more sense and I don't even know if anyone has been willing to export them to Ukraine yet. They do however come with a range that to my knowledge no other artillery shell has with the same precision.
 
That's amazing - if real and not from a video game.

The shape of the island fits with images of snake island, including the length and location of the jetties, position of the buildings. I don’t know how easy it would be to simulate that (maybe easier than I think), but the eyesight test tells me it’s real.
 
That's amazing - if real and not from a video game.
It's likely true. Satellite images show massive destruction on the island and something must have caused that. The attack in the video fits quite well to explain the destruction here:

 
Burns said Putin remained undeterred to keep pressing ahead with the war, saying the second phase of the conflict as it shifted to the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine was “at least as risky” or “even riskier” than the first phase where Russia failed to gain control of Kyiv, the capital.

“[Putin] is in a frame of mind in which he doesn’t believe he can afford to lose; so the stakes are quite high in this phase,” Burns said. “I think he’s convinced right now that doubling down . . . will enable him to make progress.”

https://www.ft.com/content/a4e8de3b-a2aa-4f10-a820-a910274175a8
 
The salient points from the video-interview with "Arty Green" (Ukrainian officer on the front line) cited above are:

* The situation on the eastern front is stable, but tense, with only very minor Russian gains (a few km at most) here and there, achieved at heavy cost to Russian troops
* Russia doesn't have to means to launch an attack either on Moldova or Ukraine from Transnistria, because the Russian troops there are akin to nothing more than security guards.
* Freeing Transnistria from Russian control would take only about 1 day of fighting by Ukraine, if Moldova requested this and if Ukraine agreed to do it.
* Any use by Putin of tactical nukes wouldn't radically change the battlefield situation in Russia's favour (because Ukraine has no big concentrations troop to hit - they are well spread out). But he disagrees with those who say that Russian officers will refuse to launch them if ordered to.
* It's a question of when - not if - Ukraine pushes the Russians back to the internationally-recognised Ukrainian borders (but not including Crimea).
* In due course the people of Crimea will ask to come back to Ukraine, once they've had enough of the reality of Russian rule.
* It takes about a month combined for (a) training to be complete on new, crewed weapon systems (like the new howitzers); and (b) these new systems to integrated into a revised command system that can use them to best effect. This process has already started, but not all the systems have yet arrived in Ukraine. So in about a month from now, most of the new weapons systems will be on the front line, ready to use.
* When all of the new and more advanced weapons arrive at the front line, it will take only between 1 and 3 weeks to sweep the Russians all the way back to the borders of Russia (excluding Crimea).
 
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The only downside to this is the Ukrainians likely won't know if any perpetrators survived, and if so, who.
Yep. It makes you wonder, as some in the replies to that tweet do, if they weren’t sent into the shit so that the number of Bucha witnesses was lowered.

At the same time… I imagine if they have been wrecked, the Ukrainians have a bit of satisfaction in dishing out that bit of justice.
 
This is insane. For comparison, the peak US burnrate in Iraq was about 10b a month.

Well, the Iraq war lasted one month and one week only. US deaths were less than 200 during that time. Most Americans died later, during the occupation. And of course, the US was not trying to destroy whole cities, did not bombard buildings day and night.

This war is completely different. It is more similar to WW2, the eastern front. If any western country did to any country what Russians are doing to Ukraine, there would be huge protests, much larger than what we had during the Vietnam war. The worst surprise for me was that the Russians did not protest at all. Some anemic protests during the first week, and that was it. From what I am reading, over 80% still support Putin.
 
Well, the Iraq war lasted one month and one week only. US deaths were less than 200 during that time. Most Americans died later, during the occupation. And of course, the US was not trying to destroy whole cities, did not bombard buildings day and night.

This war is completely different. It is more similar to WW2, the eastern front. If any western country did to any country what Russians are doing to Ukraine, there would be huge protests, much larger than what we had during the Vietnam war. The worst surprise for me was that the Russians did not protest at all. Some anemic protests during the first week, and that was it. From what I am reading, over 80% still support Putin.

The war lasted 8 years. The figure I cited was during the peak of the 2009 Petreaus surge.
 
The war lasted 8 years. The figure I cited was during the peak of the 2009 Petreaus surge.

Yes, of course you are right about that. However, at that point it wasn't a full scale war against an opposing army. I think a large part of those expenses was for paying and training the new Iraq army itself.
 
Well, the Iraq war lasted one month and one week only. US deaths were less than 200 during that time. Most Americans died later, during the occupation. And of course, the US was not trying to destroy whole cities, did not bombard buildings day and night.

This war is completely different. It is more similar to WW2, the eastern front. If any western country did to any country what Russians are doing to Ukraine, there would be huge protests, much larger than what we had during the Vietnam war. The worst surprise for me was that the Russians did not protest at all. Some anemic protests during the first week, and that was it. From what I am reading, over 80% still support Putin.

I'm not sure you're aware but all those people who protested I believe are going to get long prison sentences. Most people who do object to the war will be scared to speak out or protest. There's a youtube channel that translates Russian's opinions on different matters. Many of them are too scared to even speak frankly to a youtube channel on matters of the state.
 
I'm not sure you're aware but all those people who protested I believe are going to get long prison sentences. Most people who do object to the war will be scared to speak out or protest. There's a youtube channel that translates Russian's opinions on different matters. Many of them are too scared to even speak frankly to a youtube channel on matters of the state.

It's also an age-group thing to some extent. Older Russians get all their info. from state-controlled TV and see nothing but propaganda lies, whilst younger Russians get more info. from the internet and social media - and are also liable for military conscription, especially if a general mobilisation is announced - and so are less supportive of Putin.
 
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