Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

This is north of Izium: 49.289999, 37.231373 .... so it looks like the re-supply of the very large number Russian troops in and around Izium is in trouble.

 
If Europe is going to move away from Russian oil and gas in the next few years, who will become Russias new customers?

Is a pipeline to China in the works and do they have enough demand to cover all the lost revenues to Europe?
 
If Europe is going to move away from Russian oil and gas in the next few years, who will become Russias new customers?

Is a pipeline to China in the works and do they have enough demand to cover all the lost revenues to Europe?

Soyuz Vostok pipeline
Gazprom is now looking to further extend its relationship with China by building the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline, also called Soyuz Vostok. In a press release, the company said that its Chairman Alexey Miller had recently met the Deputy Prime Minister of Mongolia, Sainbuyan Amarsaikhan to discuss the implementation of the pipeline through Mongolia.

During the meeting, a design and survey work contract was signed for the construction of the pipeline that involves Mongolian companies to carry out land and archaeological surveys and assess the impact of the project on the environment, the press release said.

Last month, the feasibility report of the project was approved according to which the pipeline would see a 598-mile stretch run through Mongolian territory. The diameter of the pipes used would be 1.42 meters in diameter, or about 56 inches, with five compressor stations to be installed along the route to enable 50 billion cubic meters or 1.8 trillion cubic feet of gas to be sent to China.

If the deal with China goes through, Russia will also build an interconnector between its west and east-bound pipelines paving the way to redirect the gas, that is currently being supplied to Europe, towards China, thereby reducing its dependence on European imports.

"Work on the Soyuz Vostok gas pipeline project is actively and successfully progressing. A month ago, the results of the feasibility study were approved, and today a design contract has been signed. This means that the project has moved to the practical stage," said Alexey Miller in the press release.

That could soon change. Moscow and Beijing are close to agreeing on a second pipeline – the "Power of Siberia 2" – which would double gas exports from Russia to China, crossing through Mongolia and into the power-hungry industrial regions near Beijing.

Crucially, it also would join up Russia's internal gas network, connecting China with the same gas fields in Russia's Yamal peninsula that supply Europe.

"It does give Gazprom – as that major exporter – the optionality to direct gas to one market over another," Marzec-Manser told VOA.

That could give Russia considerable leverage, says Filip Medunic, who leads the Task Force for Strengthening Europe Against Economic Coercion at the European Council on Foreign Relations.

"Technically, it is hard to tell whether the pricing system will be designed in a way that there is going to be the possibility to sell to the highest bidder, but I think that Russia intent is definitely eyeing in this direction, to be able to use it as a leverage – at least rhetorically – in the coming decade," Medunic told VOA.

Construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, which connects Russia directly with Germany, was completed last year. Certification of the pipeline is currently suspended amid tensions between the West and Moscow.

Edit - Apparently this is the largest construction project on the planet and I haven't even heard of it til today
 
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That's 5 Raptors now hit ...


This shows how important it was to get rid of the Moskva. Without their S-300 air defense offering long range protection every Russian item on and near Snake Island became a target. They should have brought some S-300 to the island before that incident, now it seems impossible for them to get the necessary reinforcement there to keep the island.
 
Edit - Apparently this is the largest construction project on the planet and I haven't even heard of it til today

There’s good reason the Russians have previously not sold much to China. The transport infrastructure hasn’t been available and it was far easier to sell to Europe. Even this venture is likely to fail given that it will take too much time and China aren’t really incentivized and to use it as much as the Russians would like (imo).
 
This is north of Izium: 49.289999, 37.231373 .... so it looks like the re-supply of the very large number Russian troops in and around Izium is in trouble.


Just east of the main N/S road and fairly close to Izium…nice. Hopefully that wasn’t the end of the barrage.
 
Looks like the Russians have enough


If this is true, they retreated from Snake Island, and even the helicopter that was destroyed there is claimed to have been intented to evacuate forces, not bring further reinforcements.
 
Obviously the Russian forces there achieved their strategic goals and have just proceeded to the next step of Brilliant Strategic Plan.
 
German left continues to embarrass itself. Genuinely worse than Hungary by this point.

 
I don't understand german, what is the left connection to the police actions described in the tweet?

It says that it's a political decision by the SPD and Die Linke. No idea what they mean by that. Also no idea why they confiscated the flag, but given there are plenty of Ukrainian flags left unmolested in that video, I guess it has something to do with the size? Again, no idea what that has to do with the "German left".
 
I don't understand german, what is the left connection to the police actions described in the tweet?

The police seem to be enforcing what's been described in this post:
Here's a police statement in German:
https://www.berlin.de/polizei/polizeimeldungen/2022/pressemitteilung.1203603.php

They cite a treaty from 1992 that compels them to protect soviet war memorials that commemorate the soldiers that fought to bring down Hitler.

They say they aim for two things: to prevent any kind of conflicts during the commemoration of these soldiers and they want to prevent any kind of support, acceptance or glorification for Russia's offensive war against Ukraine, especially demonstrations.
So they are banning both Russiand and Ukrainian flags from these memorial sites (not the entire city, the tweet is at best misleading in that regard) and forbid wearing uniforms, playing military marches or chants that could be used to express acceptance or glorification of Russia's war against Ukraine. There are exemptions for WW II veterans, diplomats and state delegations.

Though judging by all the regular sized Ukrainian flags that are still around they don't seem to be too strict about it. Maybe the other one was too big and too clear a political statement to look the other way.


Berlin (as in the (city)state) is ruled by a coalition of SPD "the Left" and the Greens, so I assume the Twitter user is blaming them for the particular rule that the police were enforcing. To be honest it doesn't seem like he has any deeper knowledge about this beyond what he's seeing in the video. And the German Tweet is from a conservative, who naturally isn't too fond of the work that (far) left politicians do.
 
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German left continues to embarrass itself. Genuinely worse than Hungary by this point.


I don't understand german, what is the left connection to the police actions described in the tweet?
It says that it's a political decision by the SPD and Die Linke. No idea what they mean by that. Also no idea why they confiscated the flag, but given there are plenty of Ukrainian flags left unmolested in that video, I guess it has something to do with the size? Again, no idea what that has to do with the "German left".
What's happening here is related to what was discussed earlier in the thread, see the posts below. I suppose Berlin is governed by SPD and Die Linke.


Can anyone shed any light or provide context for this? I'm sceptical that's the whole story.

Here's a police statement in German:
https://www.berlin.de/polizei/polizeimeldungen/2022/pressemitteilung.1203603.php

They cite a treaty from 1992 that compels them to protect soviet war memorials that commemorate the soldiers that fought to bring down Hitler.

They say they aim for two things: to prevent any kind of conflicts during the commemoration of these soldiers and they want to prevent any kind of support, acceptance or glorification for Russia's offensive war against Ukraine, especially demonstrations.
So they are banning both Russiand and Ukrainian flags from these memorial sites (not the entire city, the tweet is at best misleading in that regard) and forbid wearing uniforms, playing military marches or chants that could be used to express acceptance or glorification of Russia's war against Ukraine. There are exemptions for WW II veterans, diplomats and state delegations.
The PDF linked at the end of that contains some maps of the areas. You see that it's just some blocks around the memorial sites and that's it: https://www.berlin.de/polizei/_assets/dienststellen/anlagen-dir-e/220504-direvst111-av-ehrenmale.pdf
 
I just found strange the reference to the left, I mean, does the municipal police (or the equivalent) in germany act differently according to the party running the city? Aren't laws always applicable regardless?
 
I just found strange the reference to the left, I mean, does the municipal police (or the equivalent) in germany act differently according to the party running the city? Aren't laws always applicable regardless?
This isn't exactly about laws as such - the City council made a ruling that the memorial for the end of WW2 shouldn't be mixed with statements about the current war and therefore limited the use of all flags there. A different City council majority might not have made this decision and therefore the police might not have needed to act.
 
I just found strange the reference to the left, I mean, does the municipal police (or the equivalent) in germany act differently according to the party running the city? Aren't laws always applicable regardless?

One way or the other banning flags from sites is always a highly political decision. I don't know whose responsibility it was officially, but you can be sure that one way or the other the politicians had their say.
 
I'm not sure you're aware but all those people who protested I believe are going to get long prison sentences. Most people who do object to the war will be scared to speak out or protest. There's a youtube channel that translates Russian's opinions on different matters. Many of them are too scared to even speak frankly to a youtube channel on matters of the state.

Yes, I understand. I am not saying it is easy, it is very hard, it is a dictatorship. However, if one million people protested in Moscow, things would be very different today. It never came close to that. How many Russian soldiers have died? Perhaps 20 thousand? How many Russian protesters have died? Sure, I know they aren't comparable situations, but I expected that we'd see clashes between protesters and Putin's police. I expected to see widespread revolt. Nothing like that happened. A few thousand people care about this war, but millions do not care.

And I also saw a lot of reports that people still trust Putin. Sure, they are against a war, but this does not mean they don't like Putin any more.
 
Yes, I understand. I am not saying it is easy, it is very hard, it is a dictatorship. However, if one million people protested in Moscow, things would be very different today. It never came close to that. How many Russian soldiers have died? Perhaps 20 thousand? How many Russian protesters have died? Sure, I know they aren't comparable situations, but I expected that we'd see clashes between protesters and Putin's police. I expected to see widespread revolt. Nothing like that happened. A few thousand people care about this war, but millions do not care.

And I also saw a lot of reports that people still trust Putin. Sure, they are against a war, but this does not mean they don't like Putin any more.
Majority of Russia's population do support Putin in this war. Even most of those citizens who left Russia after Feb 24 and moved to other former USSR states did so because they care about their businesses and/or are unwilling to join the army. None of those that are spoke to expressed any disagreement to what Putin has done to Ukraine.