Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

That's insane when you think about it.
I don't know much about such things, but isn't the lack of a greater decline in the ruble only because the Russian central bank has been busy propping it up with what are now dwindling foreign exchange reserves? If so, they won't be able to continue to do that for too much longer.
Now less than 120 Rubles for a Pound. Only a 16.63% gain over the last month. Would be really interested in a good clear long-read on what is in play here and what we can expect to see going forward.
 
Wonderful to see civilians stand up for their human rights and be heard and moderately respected. 20 years ago those soldiers would have massacred them.
That would be suicide and I think the soldiers understand that. If they massacre some civilians there, the rest of the City will come after them with everything they have. Their lives depend on the belief of the people that while occupied they won't be mindlessly killed. Otherwise we wouldn't see such relatively peaceful protests but all out guerilla warfare.
 
@Raoul как твой русский? потому что я не говорю на нем, так что какой-то перевод был бы хорош
 
@Raoul как твой русский? потому что я не говорю на нем, так что какой-то перевод был бы хорош

Don't speak it either. From what I surmise, its Vladimir Solovyov's TV show where he gets a group of propagandist clowns to discuss Putin's flavor of the moment propaganda narrative. If true, it would appear to suggest the government may be greasing the skids for a potential negotiated settlement in Ukraine.
 
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That would be suicide and I think the soldiers understand that. If they massacre some civilians there, the rest of the City will come after them with everything they have. Their lives depend on the belief of the people that while occupied they won't be mindlessly killed. Otherwise we wouldn't see such relatively peaceful protests but all out guerilla warfare.

Yeah that's the point I'm making. Times have changed. Humanity comes first. Maybe it's unique to Russia-Ukraine but hopefully we see more scenes like this in other conflict areas where the brotherhood of man triumphs over lines on a map.
 
Yeah that's the point I'm making. Times have changed. Humanity comes first. Maybe it's unique to Russia-Ukraine but hopefully we see more scenes like this in other conflict areas where the brotherhood of man triumphs over lines on a map.
I think your view is far too optimistic. The Russian army simply has lost a lot of it's fear factor. Control of civilian unrest works mostly due to fear. The occupier needs to project an evil and fearsome image so no one dares resisting them.

It's simply a balance of power and terror between both sides that currently allows the Russians to be present but not to brutal, while it allows the Ukrainians to protest but not resist forcefully.
 

Brazil has had this in the past too :lol:. If it's landlords and service providers I think you just kind of stiff them and there isn't a lot of recourse for them except for cutting services. The key is still being able to pay the diplomats. Otherwise the CIA will be more than willing to pay wages for those that know certain things.
 
Brazil has had this in the past too :lol:. If it's landlords and service providers I think you just kind of stiff them and there isn't a lot of recourse for them except for cutting services. The key is still being able to pay the diplomats. Otherwise the CIA will be more than willing to pay wages for those that know certain things.

Just sell off one of the oligarch mega yachts and the embassies should be back in business.
 
I think your view is far too optimistic. The Russian army simply has lost a lot of it's fear factor. Control of civilian unrest works mostly due to fear. The occupier needs to project an evil and fearsome image so no one dares resisting them.

It's simply a balance of power and terror between both sides that currently allows the Russians to be present but not to brutal, while it allows the Ukrainians to protest but not resist forcefully.

Like I said, it may be unique to this conflict. Ukrainians and Russians share a closeness as peoples. Many of the Russian troops are not fully trained and battle hardened and may be less likely to engage in brutal acts due to a lack of indoctrination. Civilians are aware that social media had given them power that maybe has not be wielded before in a conflict. Other factors may also be in play, such as the earlier post that suggests a large number of Dagestani recruits are there. Maybe they don;t fully believe in Russia's objectives, maybe a large number of troops don't.

I don't think a lost fear factor is an influence, at least yet. The Russian army isn't Manchester United at Old Trafford in 2022. The soldier in full armor with a kalashnikov looks pretty frightening. In the not too distant past, putting a bullet in one or more of those Ukrainians would be the default response. Something has changed because he clearly wants to intimidate them but he's not willing to kill them. That's massive.
 
Israel blocked Ukraine from buying Pegasus spyware, fearing Russia’s anger

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/23/israel-ukraine-pegasus-spyware-russia

Israel blocked Ukraine from buying NSO Group’s Pegasus spyware for fear that Russian officials would be angered by the sale of the sophisticated hacking tool to a regional foe, according to people familiar with the matter.

The revelation, following a joint investigation by the Guardian and Washington Post, offers new insight into the way Israel’s relationship with Russia has at times undermined Ukraine’s offensive capabilities – and contradicted US priorities.

The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has been critical of Israel’s stance since Russia launched its full and bloody invasion of Ukraine on 24 February, saying in a recent address before members of Israel’s Knesset that Israel would have to “give answers” on why it had not given weapons to Ukraine or applied sanctions on Russians
 
Israel blocked Ukraine from buying Pegasus spyware, fearing Russia’s anger

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/23/israel-ukraine-pegasus-spyware-russia

Israel blocked Ukraine from buying NSO Group’s Pegasus spyware for fear that Russian officials would be angered by the sale of the sophisticated hacking tool to a regional foe, according to people familiar with the matter.

The revelation, following a joint investigation by the Guardian and Washington Post, offers new insight into the way Israel’s relationship with Russia has at times undermined Ukraine’s offensive capabilities – and contradicted US priorities.

The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has been critical of Israel’s stance since Russia launched its full and bloody invasion of Ukraine on 24 February, saying in a recent address before members of Israel’s Knesset that Israel would have to “give answers” on why it had not given weapons to Ukraine or applied sanctions on Russians

Apartheid state. Need to be boycotted, divested, and sanctioned for this. (Come at me)
 
I did think a couple of weeks ago that Israel's response was muted, and I wondered whether they were worried about the potential trouble Russia could cause in Syria. That may explain this?

I think its a poor attempt at Bennett attempting to play the fence. He knows the US won't not support Israel, and is attempting to leverage that by staying on Russia's good side as well, thereby positioning Israel as having support from both. Its a poor strategy that will backfire in the end if Putin gets deposed, leaving Bennett looking like a two faced schmuck who gambled and lost in his first high stakes international politics adventure.
 
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I did think a couple of weeks ago that Israel's response was muted, and I wondered whether they were worried about the potential trouble Russia could cause in Syria. That may explain this?

Both Israel and Turkey are attempting to maintain the decent relations they’ve established with Russia since Russia made itself the main power broker in Syria (for some reason Israel’s stance is receiving a lot more publicity than NATO-member Turkey’s). America will complain that these two allies are not fulfilling their part of the bargain, they will respond that by abandoning Syria to Russia, America has left them little choice.
 
Russia To Require Gas Payments In Rubles

Russian President Vladimir Putin said Wednesday he would not accept payments for natural gas shipments in dollars or euros — instead, "unfriendly countries" would have to pay in Russian rubles, TASS reported.

https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-to-require-gas-payments-in-rubles/


Not gonna lie I admire the way that no matter how much pressure people put on him, he still comes up with a crafty way to strike back.

IMO he won't back down on Ukraine and a peace deal would mean acquitting him of the war crimes in Ukraine so that's a no no.

Which means it's only a matter of time until he presses the nuclear weapons button, there's no winners in this war.
 
The BBC reports:

"A Russian lieutenant colonel has been captured by Ukrainian forces, a Western official has confirmed.

Ukraine has conducted "limited counter attacks", they said, which had led to the destruction of Russian equipment and capture of some Russian personnel.

"In the area in which he was captured, there was a significant amount of electronic warfare equipment. It's unclear whether he was personally connected with that, but it's something we're looking into currently," the western official said.

Overall, six Russian generals are now thought to have been killed, the most senior is a lieutenant general who was commander of the 8th Combined Arms Army. All six will have been replaced, they say.

The official said it was 'remarkable' that Hostomel airport was still being fought over when it was a Day One objective for Russian forces."
 
Are dimwits in Germany still going through with nuclear phase-out? They should be now throwing a kitchen sink to try and put back as many plants into operation as possible, it would drastically reduce the need for gas&coal.
 
Not gonna lie I admire the way that no matter how much pressure people put on him, he still comes up with a crafty way to strike back.

IMO he won't back down on Ukraine and a peace deal would mean acquitting him of the war crimes in Ukraine so that's a no no.

Which means it's only a matter of time until he presses the nuclear weapons button, there's no winners in this war.

A peace deal does not have to mean acquitting him of war crimes. In any case, Ukraine is not in a position to offer that.

IMO, whilst there can be a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia, Putin is now beyond the pale for NATO and Europe - they want him gone from power. Unless that happens I don't see any sanctions being lifted.
 
The BBC reports:

"French car manufacturer Renault has announced that it is suspending work at its Moscow factory once more.

Earlier today, Ukraine's president called on Renault and other French companies to quit Russia as he addressed the French parliament via videolink.

"They must stop financing the murders of women and children," he told French MPs.

Renault had restarted operations in Moscow this week, after pausing work following the invasion of Ukraine.

In a statement released on Wednesday evening it stressed that it was already complying with international sanctions on Russia."
 
Are dimwits in Germany still going through with nuclear phase-out? They should be now throwing a kitchen sink to try and put back as many plants into operation as possible, it would drastically reduce the need for gas&coal.
Do you know who is the most important producer of Uranium? It's Russia.
 
Do you know who is the most important producer of Uranium? It's Russia.

Where do you get these figures? As of 2020 they were way down the list.
https://world-nuclear.org/informati...-uranium/world-uranium-mining-production.aspx
Country2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Kazakhstan19,45121,31722,45123,12723,60724,68923,32121,70522,80819,477
Australia5983699163505001565463155882651766136203
Namibia3258449543233255299336544224552554765413
Canada914589999331913413,32514,03913,116700169383885
Uzbekistan (est.)2500240024002400238533253400345035003500
Niger4351466745184057411634793449291129832991
Russia2993287231352990305530042917290429112846
China (est.)885150015001500161616161692188518851885
Ukraine8909609229261200808707790800744
India (est.)400385385385385385421423308400
South Africa (est.)582465531573393490308346346250
 
I thought Shoygu is a bit of a nobody, as far as Defense Ministers go. In the sense that he was a leader of national emergency response before, but never a general in the military.
 
Where do you get these figures? As of 2020 they were way down the list.
https://world-nuclear.org/informati...-uranium/world-uranium-mining-production.aspx
Country2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Kazakhstan19,45121,31722,45123,12723,60724,68923,32121,70522,80819,477
Australia5983699163505001565463155882651766136203
Namibia3258449543233255299336544224552554765413
Canada914589999331913413,32514,03913,116700169383885
Uzbekistan (est.)2500240024002400238533253400345035003500
Niger4351466745184057411634793449291129832991
Russia2993287231352990305530042917290429112846
China (est.)885150015001500161616161692188518851885
Ukraine8909609229261200808707790800744
India (est.)400385385385385385421423308400
South Africa (est.)582465531573393490308346346250
Indeed I confused it with Kazakhstan, my mistake. Nonetheless as long as we rely on a country under Russia's influence we would have a problem.


This tweet is two weeks old…

Thought of that, too. I guess the rift between Shoygu and Putin is real, the question only seems to be how it plays out in the end.
 
Not gonna lie I admire the way that no matter how much pressure people put on him, he still comes up with a crafty way to strike back.

IMO he won't back down on Ukraine and a peace deal would mean acquitting him of the war crimes in Ukraine so that's a no no.

Which means it's only a matter of time until he presses the nuclear weapons button, there's no winners in this war.
Ridiculous. There is literally 0.01% chance of that happening.