sun_tzu
The Art of Bore
What's happening in Russia today... are banks closed or is there queues as people look to withdraw savings
Protests? (Anti putin or anti West for the sanctions )
Or life as normal
How long is that table
You're rightThat makes no sense. You can only lie intentionally - otherwise it's just called 'being wrong/mistaken'.
To all the economically informed, what's 70% inflation exactly? I believe next year everything costs 70% more, right? But how does that translate to day-to-day consequences?
Ah thanks budI think it depends of how they measure it. You can have a 70% increase yearly or monthly. But we have extreme occasions where there were actually daily 70% increases in prices (again it depends on what they count in their basket:normally food, fuel, various commodities). That happened alot in the Balkan in the 90s (esp in Yugoslavia and Albania) also in Germany in the 20s
But it's also a typical thing in war torn countries (Greece-Hungary in ww2). And also we then talk about hyperinflation.
In short, I can't answer because I didn't find any articles specifying if it's daily, monthly or yearly. But if you find an article and doesn't say hyperinflation, I think we can assume it's yearly or monthly at least. So if it is monthly and the bread costs 100 rub, roughly means that by then end of the month it will cost 170. So each day the price goes almost up 2 rub or something like this.
Have Kadyrov and his dogs been wiped out yet?
70 charred on the spot, was the wording, I thinkA russian column was wiped out ago two days ago, believed to be consisting of chechen fighters. A prominent chechen general was killed there too.
Have Kadyrov and his dogs been wiped out yet?
Some of his men, yes.
Kadyrov himself isn't getting involved, sadly.
Banks aren't closed. A lot of people are cashing out though. Some day-to-day services that people come to rely upon aren't working anymore (for example, you can't pay with ApplePay/GooglePay for a subway ticket as the system is managed by VTB that got hit really bad by the Western sanctions).What's happening in Russia today... are banks closed or is there queues as people look to withdraw savings
Protests? (Anti putin or anti West for the sanctions )
Or life as normal
Don't hold your breathNegotiations about to start. Hopefully they can find a solution...
A question from my end undoubtedly discussed in prior pages but I am trying to keep up.
If we assume the worst and Putin goes trigger happy on nuclear attacks, is there a chain of command or committee of sorts to put him in check? Seems really far fetched to have such key man risk operating in the world. I am sure the majority of Russians don't quite agree with his approach too. Or at least I would like to think this.
Imagine Putin goes on TV, gets teary-eyed, apologizes and steps down.Don't hold your breath
To all the economically informed, what's 70% inflation exactly? I believe next year everything costs 70% more, right? But how does that translate to day-to-day consequences?
I mean i knew he wouldn't actually fight himself, not many "leaders" are cut from the same cloth Zelensky seems to be cut from.
Don’t go on random numbers. Inflation isn’t 0pct yesterday and 70pct today. Unless every single item in Russia got suddenly marked up by 70pct over night. That doesn’t happen.To all the economically informed, what's 70% inflation exactly? I believe next year everything costs 70% more, right? But how does that translate to day-to-day consequences?
As much as your post. And continued support of your post.What does this achieve. No value whatsoever.
We really, really, don't know.
Ukraine and their PR stuff has been spot on so far, but how much of it is true is a very different matter. By all means, could be true.
It's year on year and published monthly. 70% will be an estimate and I don't see any major sources publishing it yet. It looks like a guy on Twitter has calculated it himself.
In other words nothing changes this morning but as it filters down the supply chain things will begin to cost more. It will cost more to buy raw materials as the money you are using is worth less and the interest rates a business has to pay to borrow money goes up.
Thanks!Don’t go on random numbers. Inflation isn’t 0pct yesterday and 70pct today. Unless every single item in Russia got suddenly marked up by 70pct over night. That doesn’t happen.
for instance, their gas prices will be the same as yesterday. Their food stock, if domestically supplied won’t change for months until wage inflation starts happening.
their inflation can only be directly impactedby the Ruble depreciation to the extent there are imports. On the flip side, exports where allowed will earn that much more.
moreover, the entire thing will be muddied by the Govt intentionally trying to kill imports and other demand that may leave them better off in the near term but worse off in the long run.
dont go by flippant one liners. There’s a lot that goes into this but be rest assured that a good way to figure if economic sanctions are working is to see if large companies there/ local govt are unable to match interestpayments.
I don't even think he was lying. When he values stability he couldn't have liked the often broken, fragile peace in eastern Ukraine. His invasion intented to get rid of the anti-Russian government and therefore bring peace, stability and predictability to Ukraine (read: just obey Putin)But, did he know he was lying? To what end? Or did the psychopath just wake up one morning and thought - it's time for armageddon?
I can't see this happening - they are all under his spell. He needs to be taken out, but that will not happen from within I am quite sure.If his lieutenants arrest him, they could negotiate a removal of all new sanctions in exchange for Putin and a withdraw from Ukraine and the border. That's a win for everyone but Putin.
There's a lot of criticism that you can aim at Kadyrov but I don't think that he lacks individual bravery. Which isn't a good thing — bravery with anger, stupidity and corruption is a very bad combination. He did fought against Russia in the First Chechen War, for example.I mean i knew he wouldn't actually fight himself, not many "leaders" are cut from the same cloth Zelensky seems to be cut from.
Was speaking to my partner about this yesterday. Having a leader that stays in your country to defend it when they could have been taken to safety…must be truest inspiring and a huge morale boost to its occupants. We also came to the conclusion that our MPs/Boris would have left high n dry by now.The fact he is just staying in the city is enough for me, take Macron, Boris or Biden for example they'd be in the cayman islands by now.
A question from my end undoubtedly discussed in prior pages but I am trying to keep up.
If we assume the worst and Putin goes trigger happy on nuclear attacks, is there a chain of command or committee of sorts to put him in check? Seems really far fetched to have such key man risk operating in the world. I am sure the majority of Russians don't quite agree with his approach too. Or at least I would like to think this.
I don't think anybody really knows the checks in place at government level, but we know from past close calls there are checks at the military level. Putin could possibly authorise an attack on his own but somebody else has to actually push the button, and somebody else has to tell them to do it.
Was speaking to my partner about this yesterday. Having a leader that stays in your country to defend it when they could have been taken to safety…must be truest inspiring and a huge morale boost to its occupants. We also came to the conclusion that our MPs/Boris would have left high n dry by now.
The problem of somebody else is that there are likely hundreds of people who can launch nuclear weapons. Even if most of them refuse the order, it suffices one of them throwing a bomb, for a massive US retaliation which will mean a massive Russian counter-retaliation.I don't think anybody really knows the checks in place at government level, but we know from past close calls there are checks at the military level. Putin could possibly authorise an attack on his own but somebody else has to actually push the button, and somebody else has to tell them to do it.
Plenty don't actually - I am reminded of a truly awful end to a demo in Nigeria not so long ago:Jeez, even 3rd world countries with as corrupt and shitty governments allow protesting at the very least.
Stay safe, man.
It doesn't matter what the majority of Russians think. Not one jot.A question from my end undoubtedly discussed in prior pages but I am trying to keep up.
If we assume the worst and Putin goes trigger happy on nuclear attacks, is there a chain of command or committee of sorts to put him in check? Seems really far fetched to have such key man risk operating in the world. I am sure the majority of Russians don't quite agree with his approach too. Or at least I would like to think this.
The problem of somebody else is that there are likely hundreds of people who can launch nuclear weapons. Even if most of them refuse the order, it suffices one of them throwing a bomb, for a massive US retaliation which will mean a massive Russian counter-retaliation.
I am talking for a bomb hitting the West, not a tactical one in Ukrainian army, or one in Arctic to scare the West.
Considering that for most part Russia is not targeting civilians, and they still haven’t started using thermobaric bombs, I still think that we are a few steps away from the worst.
Yeah. I think we need to stop thinking about hypotheticals like Putin caring about his family dying, or Russian people dying or anything other than himself. Also a very slim chance that any of his command men are the type of people to defy his orders. If he really resorts to nukes, the only hope is that there is someone powerful enough in his inner circle to overthrow him. And that we do not know.It doesn't matter what the majority of Russians think. Not one jot.
Whatever happens from now on, it will be very, very tough for Russian economy. I doubt that the talks will lead to something meaningful. Ukraine will not recognize Crimea as a part of Russia, nor will they consider the separatist areas as independent. Putin will not bow down either. He can probably wihdraw the troops, but sanctions will be there to stay. It really is amazing to see, how fast the West crippled Russia's economy. Their military support has also been priceless. Zelenskyy staying in the country is a heroic action. Hats off to everyone opposing the invasion of Ukraine.