Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion





Ukranian forces apparently beating up Indian students and refusing them to escape to Poland. Many spent days without food to get to the border.
 
He wasn't in the situation of refusing an order to be fair, just rightly guessed the equipment was wrong. Who knows even he may have launched under order.

I'd expect a situation where its die hard loyalists or people with families held hostages who would be the ones pressing the button.

There's not a single bit of me that would ever launch a nuke so it's hard to imagine.
Good point about Petrov. Let’s hope someone will destroy pertinent equipment then!
 
Allow a retort.
1) What does Putin mean by missiles? Nuclear missiles like his comparison to Cuba? First of all, NATO does not currently and did not, to my understanding, have nuclear weapons deployed in any of the Baltic states or Eastern Europe. And certainly the deployment and conditions of those weapon deployments would still be open to negotiations and additional treaties. He didn’t need to invade Ukraine to start negotiations , NATO and the US were clear we were open to security talks with them to avert an invasion. Look at his written demands - full withdrawal of NATO forces and treaties to pre 1997 and a guarantee Ukraine would never join NATO.
2) On Ukraine - Ukraine did not, does not, and for the foreseeable future will not be eligible for NATO. For starters, the don’t meet many requirements - but as long as Ukraine still recognizes Donbas, Luhansk and Crimea as territorial disputes because if they joined NATO they could immediately invoke article 5 to take them back. That’s world war 3.
3) Pre 1997 borders. You saw his pudgy little hands twitch and throw down the paper in that video - but let’s be clear. He’s right, there are some sources that contend that verbally there were NATO wouldn’t extend east - but it’s contentious and disputed. But let’s get really accurate, when it comes to buying a house or a car, nobody relies on verbal conversations. The fact that Yeltsin never got it in writing is an indictment of Yeltsin, not NATO. This is like someone saying, “Hey, my uncle was drunk 20 years ago and wasn’t paying attention when he signed those papers to buy this crap used car, you told him it was great car verbally, so I’m coming up there with a gun to demand justice.” Being pissed off that you didn’t get in writing 30 years ago wouldn’t get any of us anywhere.
4) There’s a distinct reason that Poland, Hungary, Romania and the Baltics (and Ukraine) want to be a part of NATO. When Putin compares that to Canada and Mexico - there’s a distinct difference - The US didn’t occupy them and crackdown on independence movements like the USSR (aka Moscow) did in Hungary, Lithuania, Poland and the Czech Republic in the 50s,60s, 70s, 80s and 90. Cuba is certainly a different case - but again go to point #1 we haven’t deployed nuclear weapons there the way the USSR did. Let Putin ask himself instead, why are Mexico, Canada and Ireland not standing in line and falling all over themselves to join a military alliance with Russia? Why are all the former Soviet republics desperate to join NATO?
5) NATO expansion happened in 1997, and he’s only now pissed off enough to start a war? What happened recently? Had NATO done anything? The answer is an emphatic NO. NATO was as fractured as it’s ever been after Iraq and Afghanistan and f*cking Trump. There was absolutely no chance NATO was going to admit Ukraine anytime soon. So what changed? Not a provocation from NATO or the West - but rather an opportunity for Putin to strike while NATO is frazzled and not unified. He wasn’t threatened or feel an intense pressure, he’s taking advantage of our most vulnerable point in 60 years, after f*cking Trump’s nonsense after Putin messed around in internal US politics.
6) Oh, what a victim. These petty politicians with their grievances and victim mentality. Russia always tried to work with the West. Bullshit. The West certainly could’ve done better supporting the economies of the post-Soviet nations, but Russia’s descent into a kleptocracy/mafia state is the model Russia adopted - and the model that they actively spread, and still try to proactively spread, to their satellite states - is NOT the fault of the West. It’s the fault of Russia, and their fault for actively promoting this as their nation-building policy. Look at Belarus, Moldova, etc. These are Putin’s “success stories”. This is what he wants for Ukraine, the Baltics, Hungary, Romania, Czech Republic, etc. Take a look at what he’s selling … failed kleptocracy/mafia states with an autocratic leader and oligarchs in control of everything, or else. People can, and should, have critiques of the US, the EU and the west but whose used car would you buy? Ours or theirs?

To be clear, I am not at all saying Russia is in their rights to invade Ukraine at this time. There should have been more efforts at a diplomatic solution given Ukraine's admission into NATO was not imminent. I just feel Russia point if view is completely ignored even though it's legitimate. If the tables were turned we would try our best to keep ukraine out of allied control. Hence my devils advocacy.

I'll comment on some of your points.
I don't think it really matters if currently there nuclear warheads in Eastern Europe. They exist in founding member states. There are other types of missles and NATO could deploy nuclear ones as well without notice should they decide to.
Agreed about the eligibility, and with those sort of territorial disputes the are unlikely to gain membership anytime soon.
What do you mean 1997. The lastest member was admitted in 2020.
 
As Russian troops draw closer to the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv’s mayor has confirmed that nine civilians in the city have been killed so far, including one child, in an interview with the Associated Press.
Vitali Klitschko ordered a curfew began about sundown on Saturday and is to extend until at least 8am Monday. His order pointedly stated that any unauthorised person outside during this time could be considered a saboteur.
“We are hunting these people, and it will be much easier if nobody is on the street,” Klitschko explained, saying that six Russian saboteurs were killed Saturday night.
Russian troops’ advance on the city has been slower than many military experts had expected but the overall Russian military advantage is well-known to all.
“I just talked to the president (Zelenskiy). Everybody is not feeling so well,” Klitschko said, adding that city government employees were in shock but not depressed. “We show our character, our knowledge, our values.”
 
To be clear, I am not at all saying Russia is in their rights to invade Ukraine at this time. There should have been more efforts at a diplomatic solution given Ukraine's admission into NATO was not imminent. I just feel Russia point if view is completely ignored even though it's legitimate. If the tables were turned we would try our best to keep ukraine out of allied control. Hence my devils advocacy.

I'll comment on some of your points.
I don't think it really matters if currently there nuclear warheads in Eastern Europe. They exist in founding member states. There are other types of missles and NATO could deploy nuclear ones as well without notice should they decide to.
Agreed about the eligibility, and with those sort of territorial disputes the are unlikely to gain membership anytime soon.
What do you mean 1997. The lastest member was admitted in 2020.

1997 is the start of the Eastern expansion of NATO
 
A very interesting point. When I try and think how this ends as peacefully as possible, there really isn’t a scenario with wide spread public rejection of what Putin is doing by Russian citizens. I mean, Putin doesn’t care anyway - but if he manages to generate a scenario where Russians buy into what he’s doing and create that seige mentality, that would be a bad omen. I wonder how much things like the west arming Ukraine can be used as propaganda by Putin to change the perceptions of Russian citizens.
It is a potential propaganda tool for him, indeed. Hopefully the Russian population sees through it.
 
Sadly, one of the mods who should be doing exactly this is fuelling such debate.
Largely because uncontroversial comments are treated as heresy and you see a group happy to move with it. This is how war tends to go though, so I should know better. I'm done with this thread anyway. I want it to stay on topic and I cannot engage here within the narrow limit defined by so many who have been trained to think "whataboutism" is a legitimate means of argument in a geopolitical debate (absurd). As I'll derail, I'm just going to remove myself.
 
Within an hour? That's almost unbelievable. Do we know jow many or has that been deliberately not stated?
If Ukrainian pilots will be flying them, it has to be models they are used to - afaik only Poland and Romania still use those (MiG-29). If Poland had some battle ready next to the border it is absolutely possible.
 
The UK can barely arm it’s own army. Whatever arrives in Ukraine from here, if anything, either won’t be working, won’t be in the hands of those trained to use it or some other complete clusterfcuk, falling perfectly in line with every other move a British government has ever done…I really wouldn’t worry about us having any involvement in the death of a single Russian! Unless we send them the 700m worth of useless PPE we have thanks again to a British government.
 
Some people are trying to get information about the russian invasion here, please stop getting of topic. I'm pretty sure you guys can create a "is the west as bad as russia" topic somewhere but this is going sideways after 325 fairly good pages.
Because the reactions to the Russian invasion has been completely hypocritic, with many posters here and others on the internet acting as if such a monstrosity has never happened before. When the West has regularly dismantled countries and levelled them in some cases, creating bigger monsters in the process.
 
Largely because uncontroversial comments are treated as heresy and you see a group happy to move with it. This is how war tends to go though, so I should know better. I'm done with this thread anyway. I want it to stay on topic and I cannot engage here within the narrow limit defined by so many who have been trained to think "whataboutism" is a legitimate means of argument in a geopolitical debate (absurd). As I'll derail, I'm just going to remove myself.
You have been from day 1 of this thread posting whataboutism and justifying Russian's invasion.
 
To be clear, I am not at all saying Russia is in their rights to invade Ukraine at this time. There should have been more efforts at a diplomatic solution given Ukraine's admission into NATO was not imminent. I just feel Russia point if view is completely ignored even though it's legitimate. If the tables were turned we would try our best to keep ukraine out of allied control. Hence my devils advocacy.

I'll comment on some of your points.
I don't think it really matters if currently there nuclear warheads in Eastern Europe. They exist in founding member states. There are other types of missles and NATO could deploy nuclear ones as well without notice should they decide to.
Agreed about the eligibility, and with those sort of territorial disputes the are unlikely to gain membership anytime soon.
What do you mean 1997. The lastest member was admitted in 2020.
Your pretence that people don’t understand why Russia would be concerned with Ukraine joining NATO is false because plenty have said that they do. However, it’s justifiably been ignored because whatever Putin’s concerns, Ukraine as a sovereign state can make its own choices and whilst understandable Putin would do whatever he could to change their mind, the acceptable line of “whatever” ends long before invading them. All in all the path chosen by Putin are sufficiently disproportionate to his concerns that his concerns, legitimate or not, are now irrelevant. Should the EU invade the UK because the UK decided to leave the EU to get us to stay?
 
The UK can barely arm it’s own army. Whatever arrives in Ukraine from here, if anything, either won’t be working, won’t be in the hands of those trained to use it or some other complete clusterfcuk, falling perfectly in line with every other move a British government has ever done…I really wouldn’t worry about us having any involvement in the death of a single Russian! Unless we send them the 700m worth of useless PPE we have thanks again to a British government.
A lot of Russian equipment and presumably human lives have already been taken by the anti-tank weapons provided by the UK..
 
Quick question for any economists ?

If hypothetically Russia, China and Saudi Arabia decide to stop using the dollar, what would that do to the global economy ?
 
Because the reactions to the Russian invasion has been completely hypocritic, with many posters here and others on the internet acting as if such a monstrosity has never happened before. When the West has regularly dismantled countries and levelled them in some cases, creating bigger monsters in the process.

Great, create a "are the sanctions against Russia hypocritical" then. This topic has 3300 messages in 4 days, there's so many things going on that i'm pretty sure it's not the place to mix it with other debates even if I agree the west also has its hands dirty.
 
I thought the Buran and space program were Russian. Anyway, its too confusing..!
The Buran program happened while the Soviet Union existed and Ukraine and Russia were part of that. Several important industries in regard to spaceflight and aviation were (and are) located in today Ukraine, including Antonov. But also the booster rockets for example were built in Ukraine (and the Zenit space launch vehicle is considered to be an Ukrainian rocket, which evolved from the Buran program)
 
Nothing on this scale. We didn't have the EU placing an embargo on the US (even non-NATO states). So when the media runs with the same old nonsense they always run with:



It's perfectly OK to get just a little bit skeptical. She was literally involved in a warcrime by her own definition. If that's too "whataboutery" then just look at Yemen. The West is responsible for thousands of dead people there (happening now) and where is this condemnation? It's hard to conclude that this is not a fairly racist narrative where Ukraine is exceptional because they are European and everyone else is expendable.


People went to Spain to fight for the people (socialist international). It will be a great PR victory for neocons if they can spin this as remotely similar (except for Ukrainians and other Eastern Europeans who feel strongly or perhaps your general mercenary).

True.

It's fair to say that there was pretty much blanket condemnation over the Iraq invasion outside of the US and Blair government, and trying to draw a comparison between that reaction and the reaction to the Ukraine invasion requires a little more nuance than message board flippancy. It's also fair to stop to take a more objective look at the establishment narratives that have been forming over the last week, and the political self interest of many pundits and news networks. Whilst still wishing the best for the Ukrainian people and supporting the defence of their home.

Also the "whatabout that whataboutary" is definitely a thing now, whereby any legitimate criticism that isn't placing Putin at the epicentre of everything forever bad, is being angrily shutdown without any consideration for the central point.

We have Trump supporters, notorious racists and war criminals being thumbed up as respected analysts because they're on the Putin is a **** train.

War reduced to a match day thread.
 
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Nobody promised Gorbachev that NATO won't expand to the east. Gorbachev himself has said this. It's a straw Putin has been using for his own excuse since 2007 (that is years after the Baltics joined NATO).

Even if Gorbachev was promised this, then you'd think that things changed after Soviet tanks were deployed to the Baltics to crush their (re)independence movements in 1991, resulting in several deaths.

The Baltics didn't join the USSR by free will and the they didn't leave because Russia wanted to let them leave. The Baltics DID join the EU and NATO because of the nature Russia occupied them and tried to stop them from leaving. Because we've been bollocked and threatened by Russia because they also used the rhetoric of "protecting" local Russians who stayed here after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

For post-Soviet eastern Europe, fear of Russian agression is nothing new.
 
Because the reactions to the Russian invasion has been completely hypocritic, with many posters here and others on the internet acting as if such a monstrosity has never happened before. When the West has regularly dismantled countries and levelled them in some cases, creating bigger monsters in the process.

On behalf of all Norwegians in here, I apologize for Lindisfarne, and the Viking raids in the Kiev region back in the day. Am I allowed to discuss whats going on now?
 
Quick question for any economists ?

If hypothetically Russia, China and Saudi Arabia decide to stop using the dollar, what would that do to the global economy ?
Russia does not matter too much, their economy is essentially a gas station. Saudi Arabia would be huge cause they are the largest oil station in the world.

China would destroy the global economical system.
 
Largely because uncontroversial comments are treated as heresy and you see a group happy to move with it. This is how war tends to go though, so I should know better. I'm done with this thread anyway. I want it to stay on topic and I cannot engage here within the narrow limit defined by so many who have been trained to think "whataboutism" is a legitimate means of argument in a geopolitical debate (absurd). As I'll derail, I'm just going to remove myself.
The thing is, if I’m honest, from the few discussions you’ve been involved with, you clearly are not going to change your views. Even if some of them are clearly refuted. And not saying the “opposite” side aren’t in the same boat, but it’s a straw man argument to turn around to those people and basically say they are biased or misinformed. It’s hypocritical even. But the main point is it has nothing to do with this thread. Which is about Ukraine and Russian irrespective of whatever else is happening in the world.
 
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True.

It's fair to say that there was pretty much blanket condemnation over the Iraq invasion outside of the US and Blair government, and trying to draw a comparison between that reaction and the reaction to the Ukraine invasion requires a little more nuance than message board flippancy. It's also fair to stop to take a more objective look at the establishment narratives that have been forming over the last week, and the political self interest of many pundits and news networks. Whilst still wishing the best for the Ukrainian people and supporting the defence of their home.

Also the "whatabout that whataboutary" is definitely a thing now, whereby any legitimate criticism that isn't placing Putin at the epicentre of everything forever bad, is being angrily shutdown without any consideration for the central point.

We have Trump supporters, notorious racists and war criminals being thumbed up as respected analysts because they're on the Putin is a **** train.

War reduced to a match day thread.
Good post
 
If all us westerners admit we are horrible hypocrites who should have our handbags shit in and our faces pounded with a sack of dicks can you guys please move your off topic shit to a feck the West thread? As mentioned above by someone else I and others are using this thread to keep on top of things. This is an amazing multinational community of posters that is providing insight and info that’s is impossible to get anywhere else. Let’s keep that going. Also, we know we suck.
 
Great, create a "are the sanctions against Russia hypocritical" then. This topic has 3300 messages in 4 days, there's so many things going on that i'm pretty sure it's not the place to mix it with other debates even if I agree the west also has its hands dirty.
I kind of agree about that. But as you said if there are 3300 posts, some are bound to be off topic.
 
If all us westerners admit we are horrible hypocrites who should have our handbags shit in and our faces pounded with a sack of dicks can you guys please move your off topic shit to a feck the West thread? As mentioned above by someone else I and others are using this thread to keep on top of things. This is an amazing multinational community of posters that is providing insight and info that’s is impossible to get anywhere else. Let’s keep that going. Also, we know we suck.
Good post