Awkward for Russia indeed. I'm probably in the wrong here, because I seem to be the only one holding this opinion, and I don't mean just on here, but honestly I'm just laughing now at all the doom and gloom portrayed over Russia's 'gains in the east'. It's fecking comical. That article you linked above was too much, I think the author made it a bit too obvious with that one. I'm convinced Ukraine has been trying to recreate the battle of Bakhmut ever since "losing" it was so massively beneficial for them back then.
In the last two weeks Russia gained around 150km² in Ukraine. Ukraine gained around 1,000 km² in Russia. (Being generous to Russia here).
But that doesn't tell the whole story, Russia increasing its occupied holdings in eastern Ukraine by 0.17% (yes I did the math) does what exactly for Russia? It's just rubble, tiny specs on the map not worth anything, the only thing I can think is that Russian commanders can pretend they are winning victories, for their own benefit and for the propaganda, but actually nothing in the scope of winning this war, zero factor. What does it do for Ukraine? Sucks for the people that call Pokrovsk or wherever home, its another tragic human story, however in the big picture of winning this war, this territory is zero factor.
On the other side, Ukraine gaining a foothold in Russia for the first time has already fundamentally changed this war. There is no "wait and see", enough time has passed now to show Russia can't do a whole lot about it. Conscript sons of Muscovites are being killed and captured as air defence explosions wake them in their sleep. They are at war all of a sudden and conscripts being sent to fight is a touchy subject. This is very dangerous for Putin. On top of that, the impact of transferring the war onto Russian soil rather than Ukrainian can't be underestimated.
But that doesn't tell the whole story, what actually matters is the men and material. Now we don't know the actual stats here, but the consensus nowadays seems to be that Ukraine's published numbers of Russian casualties are likely not far off the mark, as agreed by the UK, US, France etc. Consistently over 1k casualties per day for Russia, still we can't really judge without knowing Ukraine's and without knowing what the beneficial ratio actually is but just from considering all the footage published by both sides, and I spend some time in Russian cess-pits, Ukraine is winning the k/d even on the offense in Kursk.
Maybe that's why the entire world's media and individual commentator's only judge this war on km², because its the only stat we actually know for sure. Simple stats for our simple minds. If Ukraine really is inflicting that level of casualties though, they will be doing whatever possible to keep that going I'm looking at the map right now just hoping Russia keeps on pushing hard in eastern Ukraine, I only see that benefitting Ukraine, both from dead Russians and their much faster rate of expansion in Kursk + whatever other plans they have in the works.
Please someone tell me what I'm missing. Russia is getting buttfecked right now and all this reserved faux objectivity is annoying