Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Wagner guys not very happy. One wonders exactly what the hell is going on behind the scenes.


It's not a Wagner guy. It's one of the vory, at least it seems that way from his introduction.

For them any collaboration with the enforcement groups or the government is frowned upon to say the least — just as it is a taboo to provide sexual services to other inmates (which puts you in the detestable category that you can't get away from, regardless of the circumstances that forced you to do it). So it's not a surprise that they'll be against Prigozhin and what he's doing now — individually & as a head of the Wagner group.
 
Russia now resorting to outright cheap terrorism now. Fecking disgusting.

An Ukrainian worker at the Madrid embassy has been injured by the blast from that bomb letter.
 

I think many people said that the city is not exactly important even if it gets captured because the Russian troops are wasting their combat capabilities there for insignificant gains for them.

In that sense, though, the way I see it is that it is useless for the Russians to get it, but it is useful for the UKR forces to hold it for as long as they can or even not lose it at all if this battle is giving the UKR forces a huge advantage.

There is a reason why the UKR forces are defending there with huge losses on their side; losing that city would make the war a bit unpredictable in that region and beyond because the UKR forces know exactly how to defend there and who knows where the Russians troops will go after that. Will the UKR be able to defend like this in other towns? And, also to retake every Russian-captured village or town, the UKR forces had to fight (almost always) massive battles across the entire front line. I think it would be vital for the UKR forces to not lose any more ground, especially at this stage of the war, considering how everything should be favoring (or supposed to) the UKR forces. Well, if we think or want that the war should be ended soon with UKR having advantage.
 
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Increasing murmurs of Russian withdrawal in this area. This is where AFU has been building forces for a while and the on the route most people think the next main push will be, toward Melitopol.



 
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Increasing murmurs of Russian withdrawal in this area. This is where AFU has been building forces for a while and the on the route most people think the next main push will be, toward Melitopol.




Polohy on the right side of the last image has been getting mentioned; was supposed to have been hit hard over the past couple weeks.

 
Increasing murmurs of Russian withdrawal in this area. This is where AFU has been building forces for a while and the on the route most people think the next main push will be, toward Melitopol.




I do wonder though if the UKR forces have combat capability right now with the current weather condition to open another major offensive deep into the east.
 
I have posted this question many times: why NATO does not provide Ukraine with modern airplanes (F-16) and modern tanks?

I read some explanations that involve "escalation", "fear", "nuclear holocaust", etc... but I wasn't convinced.

For the first time I read an answer that makes sense to me: It is too difficult to set up proper maintenance for these complex systems during a war. The M777 is a much less complicated weapon, and still many of them are out of order in Ukraine and they have to be sent back to Poland or Germany to be fixed. F-16s are much more complicated and need even more maintenance. The hard part is not to train the pilots. The hard part is to create the maintenance infrastructure and train the engineers.

I have no idea if the author is correct, but I have finally found an explanation that makes sense to me!

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/20...Ukraine-hasn-t-gotten-the-most-modern-weapons

Ukraine update: There's a good reason Ukraine hasn't gotten the most modern weapons
 
Russian opposition in exile:

Russian opposition and liberals are all about ending corruption , so that their tanks and equipment can become better at killing. As I told you many pages ago, their society is fundamentally broken on every level. Until total capitulation including giving up the nukes there can not be any talks about going back to “normality” by west.
 
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F-16s are much more complicated and need even more maintenance. The hard part is not to train the pilots. The hard part is to create the maintenance infrastructure and train the engineers.

I don't get it. We're talking about a design that is almost half of a century old as the F-16 saw its first flight in 1974 and then entered service in 1978. How can it be more complicated to train engineers and give them what they need for maintenance of F-16s compared to MiG-29s?
 
I don't get it. We're talking about a design that is almost half of a century old as the F-16 saw its first flight in 1974 and then entered service in 1978. How can it be more complicated to train engineers and give them what they need for maintenance of F-16s compared to MiG-29s?
Also, if the training of these engineers would have started a long time ago now this stupid excuse would hold any longer but this is being delayed due to some weak hands in WH costing many Ukrainian lives for no good reason.
 

This appears to be Kusemivka, one of the last strongholds before Kreminna. AFU troops have reportedly been seen as close as 2km near Kreminna so while progress has been slow in that area, it has also been steady. As it's now freezing troops should become more mobile again and we might see some faster advances in the next weeks again (also I too believe that they will put more focus on the Melitopol direction, but we will see..)
 
I do wonder though if the UKR forces have combat capability right now with the current weather condition to open another major offensive deep into the east.

Conditions do seem pretty awful right now, I'm sure it's a bit of a waiting game even if they are ready. Temps right now are the worse, 4 degrees during day so overnight frost melts and everything stays damp, muddy & miserable. If they get some solid sub-zero day temps, that may bring some opportunity.
 
Russian opposition in exile:

Russian opposition and liberals are all about ending corruption , so that their tanks and equipment can become better at killing. As I told you many pages ago, their society is fundamentally broken on every level. Until total capitulation including giving up the nukes there can not be any talks about going back to “normality” by west.

I don’t generally agree with you on the matter but fecking hell… I had really hoped for a mistranslation or something similar.

Edit: I do know a few of TV Rain guys personally, including their editor-in-chief and I know that the generalization that you've made at the beginning is far from being the truth but this segment is bad enough to more than excuse it. I think it does show the bigger issue that you can point out in the Russian media in exile is that they're still focused on Russia a bit too much as in comparison to what's happening to Ukraine... from one point it's understandable but it does sometimes lead to inexcusable mishaps (can't find a better word but this one seems too light) like this one.
 
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I don’t generally agree with you on the matter but fecking hell… I had really hoped for a mistranslation or something similar.

Edit: I do know a few of TV Rain guys personally, including their editor-in-chief and I know that the generalization that you've made at the beginning is far from being the truth but this segment is bad enough to more than excuse it. I think it does show the bigger issue that you can point out in the Russian media in exile is that they're still focused on Russia a bit too much as in comparison to what's happening to Ukraine... from one point it's understandable but it does sometimes lead to inexcusable mishaps (can't find a better word but this one seems too light) like this one.
I stopped watching TV rain some time ago but for me as you say the biggest issue is that all these “opposition” channels tend to as you say focus on issues from regular Russian perspective instead of drilling the real messages home even if those completely contradict their propaganda influenced view of reality and will push the viewers away.