Doesn’t that open up the door for Russian or Chinese insurance companies to step in? So basically opens up an industry that has traditionally been dominated by western companies.it'll either be uninsured or with insurance from someone else.
Doesn’t that open up the door for Russian or Chinese insurance companies to step in? So basically opens up an industry that has traditionally been dominated by western companies.
The post you quoted said: If Germany, in December 2021 or earlier,
Ukraine would not be able to defend Kiev, if it wasn't for US help.
Despite the prominence of anti-tank guided weapons in the public narrative, Ukraine blunted Russia’s attempt to seize Kyiv using massed fires from two artillery brigades. The difference in numbers between Russian and Ukrainian artillery was not as significant at the beginning of the conflict, with just over a 2:1 advantage: 2,433 barrel artillery systems against 1,176; and 3,547 multiple-launch rocket systems against 1,680. Ukraine maintained artillery parity for the first month and a half and then began to run low on munitions so that, by June, the AFRF had a 10:1 advantage in volume of fire. Evidently, no country in NATO, other than the US, has sufficient initial weapons stocks for warfighting or the industrial capacity to sustain largescale operations.
Yes, but you then went on to say that Putin knew they would do nothing. Your post ends with pointing out that he miscalculated the US, so I have to assume you're talking about US aid (and the others "doing nothing") after the invasion.
No, that's not what I was saying.
Ukraine had recieved some AN/TPQ-36 counter battery radars from the US but besides those, western weapons played a very small role in the early stages of the war, it was mainly 152mm and 122mm tube artillery and 122mm rocket artillery that was used to repel the Russian attacks during the first weeks of the war.
https://rusi.org/explore-our-resear...g-russias-invasion-ukraine-february-july-2022
You forgot the javelins.
It is organization. It is logistics. It is intelligence. It is real-time information. It helps a lot if you know what is coming against you and where exactly they are located and what their capabilities are.
And Russia sent their elite First Guards Tank Army against Kiev. And they failed.
How?
Ukrainian KIA...
Mark Milley, the US's top general, stated a few weeks ago that more than 100,000 Russian soldiers were killed or injured, and probably the same with URK forces as well.
I doubt that many Ukrainians have died. For one, they're not using the WW2 tactic of throwing their bodies into the meat grinder as the Russians are. They are fighting more of a strategic insurgency that minimizes loss of their own troops as well as civilians.
I have no doubt about that. However, the popular 1 to 6 or 1 to 7 ratio does not seem to be accurate.I doubt that many Ukrainians have died. For one, they're not using the WW2 tactic of throwing their bodies into the meat grinder as the Russians are. They are fighting more of a strategic insurgency that minimizes loss of their own troops as well as civilians.
But he included both the dead and the injured. I believe UKR numbers are much higher than what we believe. I'd be surprised if the figure isn't close to 80k.It's definitely not 10,000 though. At one point in the summer Zelensky himself said they were losing about 200 men a day. If you guessed they'd averaged 100 a day over the 9 months to date then you'd get to about 27,000 which doesn't sound implausible.
I know very well that Ukraine started to reform their army in 2014 to a more westernized doctrine and they had help from western countries to do so but to say that the only reason they where able to defend Kyiv was because of US help is in my eyes an insult on Ukraine, when the fact is it was done almost exclusively with domestic equipment, manpower and ammunition. It was not until late spring/early summer when heavy weapons and ammunition started to arrive in Ukraine and make up for all the domestic equipment that had run out of ammunition that western weapons started to make a real difference.
I also believe that Putin is quite smart. So, why did he fail? How could Putin miscalculate so badly? I believe that Putin miscalculated only one thing: Biden.
I think Putin knew that the Germans would not be a factor, they would not help Ukraine. And he knew that the Germans can vastly influence the rest of the EU, so the EU would not be a factor either. Fears of "escalation", of energy dependance, of World War 3, of economy ... the 27 countries of the EU would talk and talk and talk, and do nothing. Then Britain has its problems with Brexit, and it is too weak to do anything anyway.
Putin knew that the only one who can do anything to help Ukraine is America. But America has its own problems, it is divided, Biden is old, he gave up in Afghanistan, actually Biden did not just give up but messed up badly in Afghanistan, Biden is weak, he will have no desire to get involved into another military conflict.
In summary, I believe that the German "neutrality" was the most important factor in Putin's decision to go to war. And the second most important factor was the debacle in Afghanistan. If any of these two factors were not present, we'd not have this war. And Putin's major miscalculation was that he did not expect Biden to actually support Ukraine that much.
Russian state TV at it again.
Yes, but the conservatives did help Ukraine. Huge difference between Boris and Scholz. USA had to push Germany a lot before Scholz did anything.
But he included both the dead and the injured. I believe UKR numbers are much higher than what we believe. I'd be surprised if the figure isn't close to 80k.
Weren’t the javelins very important at the beginning of the war? Remember hearing this (and Lavrov bitching about the US giving them to Ukraine, even before the war started).Ukraine had recieved some AN/TPQ-36 counter battery radars from the US but besides those, western weapons played a very small role in the early stages of the war, it was mainly 152mm and 122mm tube artillery and 122mm rocket artillery that was used to repel the Russian attacks during the first weeks of the war.
https://rusi.org/explore-our-resear...g-russias-invasion-ukraine-february-july-2022
Ukrainian KIA...
Weren’t the javelins very important at the beginning of the war? Remember hearing this (and Lavrov bitching about the US giving them to Ukraine, even before the war started).
Tucker's influence is known in Ukraine. Ukrainian official addressing Tucker.
Slightly uneasy watching this video if it is showing russian soldiers being burned alive in the truck...
Is it driven or just going in a straight line. Or rather following the terrain without steering input , and some throttle. Like from a dead foot.It is, as is the truck itself being driven (apparently) after the hit instead of its occupant getting out of the burning vehicle.
Is it driven or just going in a straight line. Or rather following the terrain without steering input , and some throttle. Like from a dead foot.
How am I obsessed with the UKR dead? I am talking about why some people like General Milley making noises about negotiations because he seemed to think that the UKR doesn't have the combat capability to push the Russians all the way. At least not in the near future.I wasn't talking to you. I find your obsession with the Ukrainian dead odd.
Is it driven or just going in a straight line. Or rather following the terrain without steering input , and some throttle. Like from a dead foot.
Don’t have a dog in this spat but wouldn’t it be disproportionate simply because Russia are being pushed back out of Ukraine?The fact they need 300k fresh recruits not proof enough?How am I obsessed with the UKR dead? I am talking about why some people like General Mille making noises about negotiations because he seemed to think that the UKR doesn't have the combat capability to push the Russians all the way.
If anything I find it odd that people believe Russians are getting killed or wounded in disproportionate amount compared to the UKR.
