DutchSerb
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- Joined
- May 9, 2019
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- FC Groningen
I appreciate the discussion. I like looking at stats because they do tell a story. A player that Scores 10 goals from 10xg has similar finishing to a player that scores 20 goals from 20xg. We can know that the 20g player may get more opportunities but both players finish at roughly the same level. I agree with your point on the system holds him back, but even if he gets more opportunities he would score more goals since he is a good finisher as we would expect.
My preference around Hojlund revolves around a few stats (taken from FB ref). He is 99 percentile in Progressive Passes received, which shows he can hold up the ball well. 93 percentile in touches in the Attacking penalty area. But the other 2 that excites me is that he is 75 percentile in Progressive Carries and 83 percentile in successful take-on. With the dynamic attacking shape, he has the ability to move to channels receive the ball turn, and take a man on, allowing Rashford to cut underneath or create space for late runs from Mount and Fernandes. Same with Antony on the other side. I just think his dynamic presence is a better fit than Vlahovic who (based on the stats) is more of a true center-of-the-box target forward than an excellent finisher.
Sounds good, thanks for the write-up! Yeah stats definitely don't lie, it's just that in todays age there is so much emphasis on it that sometimes we do forget other factors in play. You make me excited, it might be a bit of a stretch but sounds like Haaland type profile, right? Fbref sounds interesting, I'll look into it. Have you looked how Hojlund and Muani stack up against eachother as well? Feel like they're also wildly different players going off just eye test, but I may be wrong.