I agree Raoul, and I've been saying the same since the start, although I didn't think it was a remotely plausible scenario at first. I still don't think we're going to miss out on it, but I am getting a little bit worried.
The problem is that some people have decided that our squad, you know, the one that got 89 points and won it by 11, isn't actually that good. Some of those (but not most) almost act as if getting top 4 would be an achievement this season. It's rubbish. No one can deny that our squad has problems, most notably in midfield, but it's by no means a poor squad. You simply don't go from 89 points to "average".
I think we're going to finish fourth, but anything lower than that and I think Moyes simply has to go.