The reality though is that Chelsea are not in good form, in a bit of a crisis. Can't see them putting on a run of wins.
Wasn't for the RAWK thread so I brought it here.
I'd be very surprised if United were to miss out now, and very much expect it to be between Liverpool, Spurs and Chelsea. Spurs have just lost Kane for an indeterminate amount of time after he got injured today, which could dent their hopes, Chelsea have been in a bit of a slump, but a win over Spurs in their next league game could be the kickstart they need, and it'll be interesting to see how Liverpool bounce back from yesterday, as they're typically a mixed bag after losing.
Currently their record under Klopp after a defeat that ended any sort of unbeaten run that included at least 1 win looks like this:
Lost to Swansea, followed that by losing to West Brom in the FA Cup.
Lost to Tottenham, followed that by beating Huddersfield.
Lost to City, followed that by drawing with Burnley, then losing to Leicester in the League Cup.
Lost to Palace, followed that by beating Watford.
Lost to Leicester, followed that by beating Arsenal.
Lost to Southampton in the League cup, followed that by drawing with United.
Lost to Swansea, followed that by losing to Southampton in the League Cup, losing to Wolves in the FA Cup, drawing with Chelsea, then losing to Hull.
Lost to Bournemouth, followed that by drawing with West Ham.
Lost to Burnley, followed by that beating Burton Albion in the League Cup.
Lost to Sevilla in the Europa League. No game followed that season, but the loss did follow draws against Chelsea and West Brom.
Lost to Villarreal in the Europa League, followed that by losing to Swansea.
Lost to Southampton, followed that by drawing with Tottenham.
Lost to City in the League Cup, followed that by beating City.
Lost to Stoke in the League Cup, followed that by drawing with West Ham in the FA Cup, losing to Leicester, drawing with Sunderland, then losing to West Ham in the FA Cup.
Lost to United, followed that by beating Exeter in the FA Cup.
Lost to West Ham, followed that by beating Stoke in the League Cup.
Lost to Newcastle, followed that by drawing with Sion in the Europa League, drawing with West Brom, then losing to Watford.
Lost to Palace, followed that by beating City.
Since taking charge, Klopp's Liverpool have had an unbeaten run containing at least 1 win ended 18 times (la). One of those was the last game of the season, so in the interest of fairness, we'll exclude that one because there were no games immediately following it. Of the 17 remaining run ending defeats, they've bounced back with a win just 8 times, and those 8 wins include 3 cup wins, against Exeter City, Burton Albion and Stoke City respectively. On 4 occasions, a run ending defeat has led to drawing or losing two or more of the following games.
Watford at home seems an easy 3 points on paper, but Klopp's Liverpool have been a mixed bag when it comes to bouncing back from defeat, so I wouldn't be counting my chickens just yet if I were a Liverpool supporter. Following that they've got Palace away, and Palace have been something of a bogey team for Liverpool over the last few years, then the Merseyside derby at Everton. Failure to bounce back with a win against Watford could well turn into a run of four games without a win if they're not careful.