I think everybody agrees - let's get on with it.
It's not quite that simple.
As I understand it, the formula, from Israel's perspective, assuming a continued Likud government in charge with broad support for peace from basically everyone but the far right, would look like this:
Pre-Condition:
- Gaza is no longer governed by Hamas. Gaza and the West Bank are completely demilitarized, with an international force overseeing it. Israel gives significant economic aid (
The Mofaz Plan, which has become popular recently in Israel
). Hamas is dismantled as a part of this demilitarization.
Once demilitarization occurs,
negotiations begin and
Israel is not attacked by rockets, suicide bombers or whatever else. They establish the following:
- Palestine becomes a full state. Israel recognizes it fully and the Palestinians recognize Israel fully as a Jewish state, surrendering Right to Return claims as a state.
- Palestinians with a "Right to Return" claim receive reparations from Israel. I would think a 3rd party country or countries would have to be in charge of this.
- Gaza and the West Bank are linked via a narrow swath of land.
- The 4 major settlements near Jerusalem become part of Israel and in exchange, Israel gives up a similar, fairly small territory to Palestine. Some majority-Arab towns are allowed a plebiscite to vote to stay in Israel or become part of Palestine.
- Jerusalem remains mostly Israeli, but the temple mount becomes an Internationally run area and large parts of East Jerusalem become part of Palestine. Legally speaking, in Israel, giving up part of Jerusalem would require a referendum, but this can be amended by the Knesset. Also, any peace deal would realistically need enough support in Israel that the referendum would not be an issue.
Why this won't happen:
-At best, it's hard to see the support for a peace plan not being something like 70-50 in terms of seats in the Knesset (60 from the centre-left (currently getting battered in the polls, but that should go back to normal post-violence), and 10 from the centrist wing of Likud. So, the support would be tight enough that the more contentious issues like East Jerusalem and Settlement issues might fracture what would be, at best, a makeshift coalition.
-Netanyahu is unlikely to turn against the right and move towards the middle for peace, although the same was said of Sharon and he did do that with Gaza.
-But as Gaza shows, even if most Palestinians just want peace, once the groups who want "resistance" like Hamas and Islamic Jihad (and some evidence suggests that Hamas is being outflanked by even more pro-violence groups in Gaza) start throwing rockets or commit other acts of violence against Israelis (settlers or not), Israel will retrench (in Gaza, this led to the blockade after Hamas took control post-civil ) and the negotiations will be derailed.