Israel - Palestine Discussion | Post Respectfully | Discuss more, tweet less

No. Or rather, I don't feel Israel or its citizens feel they can protect their citizens without this aggressive campaign. I also think there's a revenge aspect there, as well as poorly thought through targeting and strategy. To be clear I don't agree with the scope. But I don't think you could do it without any civilian casualties.
Isn't this current course of action putting Israeli citizens in even more danger? There will be retaliation as a result of what has been happening and maybe that could have been avoided if the response was more strategic instead of barbaric?
 
Hezbollah are the most powerful non state army in the world. They held their own against IDF in previous engagements.

Noob question, is hezbollah commanded by lebanon or iran? Who has the ultimate control over them and who they strike?

Lebanon the country is not part of the equation.
Nasrallah acts either as he sees fit or in complete accordance with Iran.
It's hard to tell exactly just how great the symbiosis between Iran and its proxies (Hezb. and Hamas) actually is.

But Iran definitely trains Hezb. fighters, finances them, etc...

I tend to believe that Nasrallah won't do shit without being given the nod from Iran.
 
Isn't this current course of action putting Israeli citizens in even more danger? There will be retaliation as a result of what has been happening and maybe that could have been avoided if the response was more strategic instead of barbaric?

No, they probably plan to ethnically cleanse Gaza of enough Palestinians to make mowing the lawn more manageable. There won't be retaliation, because eventually what's left of Hamas will learn, that the harder you hit Israel, the harder Israel will hit back. The plan seems to be to strike a death blow to any remaining Palestinian hopes of statehood, dignity, or retaliation. Once you reach critical mass and are powerful enough, you can do what you like.

And they would argue that this is strategic and the most expedient way to cleanse Gaza of terrorists, and if it was barbaric you'd see far more deaths. Israelis are only in danger if the enemy has the capability to strike back. Their argument is that they are removing that capability in the most expedient way.
 
Hezbollah are the most powerful non state army in the world. They held their own against IDF in previous engagements.

Noob question, is hezbollah commanded by lebanon or iran? Who has the ultimate control over them and who they strike?


In what possible scenario is it Lebanon?

Edit - sorry that was rude. Lebanon has very little control over anything unfortunately.
 
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Maybe it’s all semantics but I just don’t connect with the idea what Israel is doing is as bad as shooting up a music festival of peace loving people, or beheading babies.

but then in modern times it does seem to me that the Islamist groups are competing for how depraved they can be. Maybe the only comparison would be the drug cartels.

I think it's the sheer amount of (by definition, innocent) children killed by Israeli action far far outweighs the amount killed by Palestine. And has done for decades. So I think many view the Israeli actions as far worse. We just see a lot less of the dead Palestinian kids.
 
Ok if its too densly populated to do that. Then just take out the leadership of hamas abroad. When one gets replaced take out the next one and the one after that. Scare the crap out of anyone who wants to become a 'leader' in hamas. The message will be clear, doesnt matter if your in Qatar, bangkok, brasil. Wherever you are we will find you and take you out.

Im curious as to what sort of political manouvering is keeping Mossad on a short leach.

Assassinating a person under protection of a country in that country is not going to go down well. They didn't choose to hide in Qatar for fun, its a big ally of the US.
 
Isn't this current course of action putting Israeli citizens in even more danger? There will be retaliation as a result of what has been happening and maybe that could have been avoided if the response was more strategic instead of barbaric?


A strategic response is out of the window.
Besides the need/want for revenge,

The thinking would be that there is no way to wipe Hamas off the face of the earth if you use a strategic response. Why do you need to wipe Hamas off the face of earth, and not make do with something less dramatic?

opinions will divide on this one, but the prevalent Israeli standpoint that I most often hear is that,

If you only go so far, if you let Hamas be after the war ends and let them recover [no matter if it takes Hamas 2, 5 or 10 years to get back to the strength, both politically and militantly, it has now],

this will mean that no single Israeli will agree to get back to living in those places near Gaza, and also places a bit north than that, that are still considered to be southern-Israel.
People won't trust the Army, won't trust the most sophisticated fence imaginable to defend them from being murdered in their beds or getting kidnapped again in the future.

It'll also mean that no Israelis will agree to live in the places right next to the border with Lebanon, fearing the same and much much worse, because Hezbollah is much more potent than Hamas (and seeing as Hamas shocked Israel with its capabilities, the thinking would be that Hezbollah are also much more dangerous than what one allows themselves to think).


So, seeing as the destruction of Hamas is the only option according to the viewpoint I described above, how do you go about that?
Air strikes, as destructive and deadly as they are, won't make Hamas gone for good. Civilians will die in abundance, and infrastructures will crash, but nothing more than that. What we've seen up to now in Gaza doesn't change much from Hamas's perspective.
They are not destabilized by dead children and flattened neighborhoods.

You want to topple them, you do what the US did with Saddam Hussein. You go in there, you kill all their top figures...
And then you're fecked beyond belief because you have to handle the mess that'll ensue.
 
No, they probably plan to ethnically cleanse Gaza of enough Palestinians to make mowing the lawn more manageable. There won't be retaliation, because eventually what's left of Hamas will learn, that the harder you hit Israel, the harder Israel will hit back. The plan seems to be to strike a death blow to any remaining Palestinian hopes of statehood, dignity, or retaliation. Once you reach critical mass and are powerful enough, you can do what you like.

And they would argue that this is strategic and the most expedient way to cleanse Gaza of terrorists, and if it was barbaric you'd see far more deaths. Israelis are only in danger if the enemy has the capability to strike back. Their argument is that they are removing that capability in the most expedient way.


Oh come on man. What have you possibly seen in thousands of years of violence in Israel/Palestine that leads you to believe that if one side hits hard enough the other side will give up? The absolute opposite of that is proved, year upon year.
 
Oh come on man. What have you possibly seen in thousands of years of violence in Israel/Palestine that leads you to believe that if one side hits hard enough the other side will give up? The absolute opposite of that is proved, year upon year.

I said "they would argue" and "their argument"
 
Lebanon the country is not part of the equation.
Nasrallah acts either as he sees fit or in complete accordance with Iran.
It's hard to tell exactly just how great the symbiosis between Iran and its proxies (Hezb. and Hamas) actually is.

But Iran definitely trains Hezb. fighters, finances them, etc...

I tend to believe that Nasrallah won't do shit without being given the nod from Iran.
thanks for explaining
 
No, they probably plan to ethnically cleanse Gaza of enough Palestinians to make mowing the lawn more manageable. There won't be retaliation, because eventually what's left of Hamas will learn, that the harder you hit Israel, the harder Israel will hit back.

I said "they would argue" and "their argument"

I've quoted the start to your message, which was what i was responding to.

You only use the word argue/argument in the paragraph after the para in which this appears, referring to what seems to be other points of view. It wasn't quite clear how much weight that second paragraph was carrying!
 
Highly unlikely that's an airstrike or artillery strike. Looks dodgy as feck. More unverified information from "journalists"

Possible false flag killing 70 of their own :(
Can expect nothing less from terrorists!
 
Genuinely no idea what you’re on about but have to tag my man @Kaos for his response to the idea Nasser was a Western/Israeli/CIA stooge. Whatever alternative history you’re into there is very amusing.
I've read some crazy takes in this thread but this is something else. Either my guy was a 4d chess genius (he was an avid chess player after all) or I've completely misunderstood the premise behind pan-Arabism.
 
Possible false flag killing 70 of their own :(
Can expect nothing less from terrorists!

You wouldn't put it past Hamas. I also wouldn't rule out an actual IDF strike - deliberate or not.

I've no doubt that both Hamas and Israel use blatant lies and misrepresentation to gain public support and sow doubts with the enemy. Both the 70 evacuees killed and 13 hostages killed were numbers coming directly from Hamas, as I understand it - needs to be taken with a huge grain of salt. A bit like the baby beheading story suddenly "couldn't be confirmed".
 
This is just nonsense.

It's been a charge levelled at multiple Egyptian leaders over the last 70 years, to be fair. Although I think Nasser is the only one who didn't receive that treatment, largely because he so obviously wasn't.
 
You don't think that Isreal can protect it's citizens from hamas without killing civilians?

Obviously what we tried to do in order to protect our ciitizens did not work. The reality is that in order to do so we need to eradicate the threat of Hamas. And since Hamas hardly keeps its people seperate from the civilians of Gaza, it'll be pretty hard to do so without harming civilians.
 
I've quoted the start to your message, which was what i was responding to.

You only use the word argue/argument in the paragraph after the para in which this appears, referring to what seems to be other points of view. It wasn't quite clear how much weight that second paragraph was carrying!

Ah. Yes, IF they ethnically cleanse gaza and rout the terrorists, that's pretty much game over in my opinion. Refugees scattered around the world, no way back.

Possible false flag killing 70 of their own :(
Can expect nothing less from terrorists!

Doesn't have to be a false flag. Can just be staged video or AI even. Just probably isn't real.
 
I googled him because the video looked surreal. Apparently that's a 95 (!!!) years' old person who joined the Israeli reserves.
He has a history of supporting the right-leaning side of the map in Palestina even before the Jewish state was founded.

What they're going to do with someone that old I don't know. Maybe he's there to lecture... heh.

I don't know the guy, but christ, he's hardly a decision maker or anything.
 


They are in Jordan, a stones throw away. Not sure how easy it'd be for the IAF to hook them up to their systems, but they are the right type. Might be giving the bombs and keeping the planes for now in reserve.

Carried GBU-38s and sidewinders for the nerds amongst us (the bombs of the types the IAF are dropping on Gaza)
 
I don't know the guy, but christ, he's hardly a decision maker or anything.

I'm almost sure that I saw him in the past in a documentary about settlers and kibbutz.
 
I don't know the guy, but christ, he's hardly a decision maker or anything.

Yea it's just a great talking point for the fermenting mouth frothers. He's a 95yo probably half senile old man who never made it past Corporal. Hardly a decision maker. Soldiers probably just nod mindlessly.
 
Maybe it's a bit like Shutter Island, so they made him think he's enlisted to the IDF, but in reality, they are taking him back to the nursery home.
 
It's been a charge levelled at multiple Egyptian leaders over the last 70 years, to be fair. Although I think Nasser is the only one who didn't receive that treatment, largely because he so obviously wasn't.

Yeah he’s got a case for being the only major Arab leader of the twentieth century largely untainted by the charge of collaboration with the Western powers, aside from perhaps the Algerian and South Yemeni revolutionaries.
 
Why do people think that Palestinian murder and terrorism towards Jews in the region started with Israel? It seems to be the accepted view from the Palestinian camp and stated as fact, and I've not even seen @2cents push back on it much.
 
Doesn't have to be a false flag. Can just be staged video or AI even. Just probably isn't real.

That's great insight, thanks! Pallywood and the captured media :(
...

Maybe. But again, his opinion doesn't hold any special value.

It's a stupid online thing - his photo with a gun came on twitter very soon after the Hamas attack, the caption was something like "this veteran is volunteering again to defend the country at 90 years old" then others did the digging and found he was in Lehi, possibly at a massacre himself, and was stopped from speaking to the IDF some years ago because he kept publicly praising the massacre and killing kids etc.
The only reason he's known at all now is because that first photo went viral, as you said, he doesn't seem to be important in reality.
 
Why do people think that Palestinian murder and terrorism towards Jews in the region started with Israel? It seems to be the accepted view from the Palestinian camp and stated as fact, and I've not even seen @2cents push back on it much.
Question I have is...would Hamas stop launching rockets regardless of Israels policies?
 
Question I have is...would Hamas stop launching rockets regardless of Israels policies?

Don’t they have the destruction of Israel as an explicitly stated goal? Israel could stop all their atrocities and pull back their settlements, and Hamas in its current state would still have them in their crosshairs.

Edit: Seems like this was their original charter, which has been softened somewhat.
 
Don’t they have the destruction of Israel as an explicitly stated goal? Israel could stop all their atrocities and pull back their settlements, and Hamas in its current state would still have them in their crosshairs.

Edit: Seems like this was their original charter, which has been softened somewhat.
The more pertinent question would be would israel end their state terrorism and apartheid. The fact that they don't even draw the line at bombing hospitals suggests not.
 
Why do people think that Palestinian murder and terrorism towards Jews in the region started with Israel? It seems to be the accepted view from the Palestinian camp and stated as fact, and I've not even seen @2cents push back on it much.

I haven’t really picked up on this as a contentious question in this thread?

(edit): I’m watching the rugby, will get back to you on the Bahrain question later (but don’t really have much to say on it)
 
The more pertinent question would be would israel end their state terrorism and apartheid. The fact that they don't even draw the line at bombing hospitals suggests not.

Wasnt your solution to arm Hamas with nukes?
 
I haven’t really picked up on this as a contentious question in this thread?

It doesn't seem to be contentious, but universally accepted. I feel that most people here think that Palestinian terrorism towards Jews in Palestine started with the creation of Israel, as a resistance movement. Which is incorrect to my knowledge.

If people are using this as a basis for their arguments ie. This is a consequence of colonialism and Israel, those arguments are somewhat moot.
 
I thought we were discussing the origin of the Hamas attacks, whether Iran sponsored them directly and are directing them, and the likelyhood of a planned escalation in a multi-pronged attack by Hezbollah entering the conflict. US intelligence itself believes that Iran are surprised by the attack, and there would be no military justification for holding back Hezbollah. You'd need to have a reason why Hezbollah waiting to attack [for Israels troops to be committed in Gaza] would be rational.

They've waited for them to setup supply chains, for the US to have a CSG and CAG groups in the region, and for the Iron dome to be fully replenished and preloaded with extra ammo. It's only 200km from Gaza to lebanon; you're talking a maximum of 6-8 hours to move heavy armour and artillery, whilst the IAF and Delilah/PH would have instant range, as well as their own naval assets. Hezbollahs biggest asset is their huge array of rockets. Based on what I've read, listened to, and briefed I don't think it's rational. And I do think that analysts are equipped to answer those sort of questions. (I respect your position to think differently; some still do, though not the US government)

ps. I also think some US direct action is possible if they can coordinate with Israel under article 50. I'm not sure its worth its own post at this point, but they seem postured to do so, or at least have the capability.

Raoul was responding to a question I posed of whether people thought Hamas had something else planned. Because if they don't, it is hard for me to understand the reasoning behind their original attack.

I have heard the theory that it is coordinated by Iran and Hezbollah may get involved. But, I haven't seen anything that makes me believe this theory, though of course Hezbollah may join the fighting if their people get angry enough about what is now occurring in Gaza.

But, if Hamas made the decision to initiate this on their own, surely they must have had something else in mind beyond the initial attack.