Horse racing tips

I remember him from back in the day when he trained sprinters for David Robinson, a TV repairman who set up DER and made millions from renting TVs. RIP.
 
The Cambridgeshire is my favourite flat handicap of the season and I have two for it - Cry Fury and Man of Action. The former is trained by Roger Charlton and reminds me of Pipedreamer - a horse that pissed the race two or three years ago. Man of Action raped me a couple of weeks ago when he beat one of mine into second in a Donny handicap. I'll forgive him if he wins tomorrow. He's only four pounds higher for that comfortable win and I think he'll be well backed. 12/1 is a fair price.

Sahpresa has won the Sun Chariot twice, is the only filly in this with Group 1 form and is available at 9/4. Too big.
 
It's all about the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe this Sunday in Paris. It's the biggest race on the Flat Racing calender and the best prices at this moment are:

Sarafina - 7/2
So You Think - 5/1
Workforce - 6/1
Galikova - 15/2
Nathaniel - 10/1
Reliable Man - 14/1
Meandre - 16/1
Snow Fairy - 16/1
Hiruno D'Amour - 20/1
Nakayama Festa - 25/1


I've been a Sarafina man all year long and have a three figure bet on her at around 11/2. She's by far the likeliest winner but I'm not sure I'd tip her at 7/2 - mainly because she can find trouble in a race and the jockey doesn't convince me 100%.
The Aussie horse So You Think is probably the most overhyped animal in training after Frankel and is terrible value. He's never actually ran over a mile and half before and his style of running (get to the lead and hang on) is not suited to the French style of Horse Racing. Last year's winner Workforce is a danger if back to his best but he hasn't impressed this year and is best left alone.

At the current odds the two horses that most appeal are Galikova and Meandre. Both 3yo's (who might just receive more weight than they should this time of year) the former looks a proper 12f filly with a relentless galloping style - I like her a lot. The latter disappointed last time out but has nice form over the course and distance and is trained by Andre Fabre. 16s is too big.
 
So You Think.

Was the Melbourne Cup favourite last year, trained by Bart Cummings. Needless to say, it fell flat on its face, destroying Bart's chances of a 13th cup in the process.
 
Nearco said:
It's all about the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe this Sunday in Paris. It's the biggest race on the Flat Racing calender and the best prices at this moment are:

Sarafina - 7/2
So You Think - 5/1
Workforce - 6/1
Galikova - 15/2
Nathaniel - 10/1
Reliable Man - 14/1
Meandre - 16/1
Snow Fairy - 16/1
Hiruno D'Amour - 20/1
Nakayama Festa - 25/1


I've been a Sarafina man all year long and have a three figure bet on her at around 11/2. She's by far the likeliest winner but I'm not sure I'd tip her at 7/2 - mainly because she can find trouble in a race and the jockey doesn't convince me 100%.
The Aussie horse So You Think is probably the most overhyped animal in training after Frankel and is terrible value. He's never actually ran over a mile and half before and his style of running (get to the lead and hang on) is not suited to the French style of Horse Racing. Last year's winner Workforce is a danger if back to his best but he hasn't impressed this year and is best left alone.

At the current odds the two horses that most appeal are Galikova and Meandre. Both 3yo's (who might just receive more weight than they should this time of year) the former looks a proper 12f filly with a relentless galloping style - I like her a lot. The latter disappointed last time out but has nice form over the course and distance and is trained by Andre Fabre. 16s is too big.
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Frankel overhyped?!
 
Yeah, he's every bit as good as they say. Maybe not the best comparison.
 
He's potentially a very good horse. I've backed him for the Gold Cup at 16s already.

He should win and his odds have fallen because Diamond Harry was pulled out through lameness earlier on today.
 
Weird Al ran really well first time out last year in a small field before bombing out in a big handicap so in theory you could have made a case for him today. The trainer is top draw also.


As for Rupert - he looked absolutely enormous and plainly wasn't as fully tuned up for today as the winner. That said they pulled miles clear of the rest of them and I would advise anyone who backed him today to get involved when he runs at Cheltenham again. That is the course that suits him best and I'm convinced he's a Gold Cup winner this year or next.
 
Grand National winner was back in 3rd helped myself to some 25s last week hopefully he'll be put away now. Unfortunately lost Bideford Legend at Ascot very sad for connections, lovely animal.
 
With the Breeders Cup on Saturday and the Paddy Power meeting a week later I always think it's pertinent to leave the race alone.
 
Nearco said:
With the Breeders Cup on Saturday and the Paddy Power meeting a week later I always think it's pertinent to leave the race alone.
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Agreed although couldn't resist a very small wager on Fox Hunt. Any fancies for the Haldon tomorrow Nearco? Cracking race, nice to see Zaarito back I've a soft spot for him.
 
Melbourne Cup Trifecta with these 6 Horses

3 Dunaden $8.50
23 Niwot $10.00
1 Americain $4.80
2 Jukebox Jury $13.00
14 Illo $19.00
10 Mourayan $16.00
 
A few each way bets for Melbourne Cup for me.

The Verminator @ 100/1
Saptapadi @ 66/1
Lost in the Moment @ 25/1

Small odds just for the interest. Not the type of race to put big money on.
 
lem8sh said:
Any fancies for the Haldon tomorrow Nearco? Cracking race, nice to see Zaarito back I've a soft spot for him.
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It's a no bet race for me. A lot of Nicholls horses have needed the run so that puts me of Ghizao who I think is underrated. Captain Chris could be a monster this year though.
 
Opening a discussion on Saturday's Breeder's Cup, there are at least 5 European entries in the Turf which appear to be closely matched, at least at first glance. Should be a tasty race.
 
Barbara Charles said:
Opening a discussion on Saturday's Breeder's Cup, there are at least 5 European entries in the Turf which appear to be closely matched, at least at first glance.
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St Nicholas Abbey. Totally wrong race for this horse. Tight track will not suit as it takes ages for him to wind up his effort.

Await the Dawn. Maybe the most overrated horse in Europe. No form.

Sarafina. Love this filly and for me she wins if she handles the ground.

Midday. Main danger to Sarafina. Very consistant mare and worth a place bet.

Sea Moon. Poorly ridden last time out but could be a danger. Like SNA not sure he'll like the track.


In the Classic I've been against So You Think all year but think he's a bet for this. He's the sort of tough, battle hardened animal who lacks a turn of foot to be truly top class on turf but might thrive on the dirt as it's more of a grinder's surface.- reminds me of Giants Causeway, who was second in two Classics.
 
Placed my first bet today. In the Turf, a flutter on Midday at 4-1. I usually do not bet on trainers but this one is a sentimental one: Sir Henry Cecil. Must get more serious on the other races.
 
Only 1 bet for me tonight, laid Announce for a place for small money in the Fillies & Mares Turf she might find the ground a tad too slow for her liking. Finding it really hard to take an interest in the meeting this year for some reason.
 
lem8sh said:
Only 1 bet for me tonight, laid Announce for a place for small money in the Fillies & Mares Turf she might find the ground a tad too slow for her liking. Finding it really hard to take an interest in the meeting this year for some reason.
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I log on to the pc to see she's a non runner now, oh well.
 
Barbara Charles said:
Placed my first bet today. In the Turf, a flutter on Midday at 4-1.
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I've gone with her on reflection also. Sarafina a bit short considering she's never travelled this far before.

In the Turf Mile I like Byword. He's trained by a Breeders Cup genius, is fresh after a light campaign and has run Goldikova close before. Form of his last race has been franked as well.

In the Classic I'll be looking for around 7/1 on So You Think. Word is that the American challenge has been stronger in the past and I think he can grind this one out.




Back over here I think The Nightingale is worth a bet in the big Chase at Down Royal. I think the two second season novices will need the run more than my selection who has been trained for this race (won at the meeting last year) and Sizing Europe doesn't like the track and probably doesn't stay.
 
I have Finale in the Juvenile Turf, Force Freeze in the Sprint (same jockey); skipping the Turf Sprint; The Factor in the Dirt Mile; skipping the Grade 1 Juvenile; Courageous Cat in the Mile, although your Byword did impress me; and, fanfare, So You Think in the Classic as you have, Nearco. Thanks for your erudite input.
 
We have the first proper National Hunt meeting of the year starting at Cheltenham tomorrow.

In the Novice Chase at 4.05 Cue Card looks a good bet at 2/1. Only one bookie has priced this race thus far so I'm hanging fire but for me this horse is gonna be a star over fences and should be 6/4 at best. Grand Crus, who found only Big Bucks too good for him over hurdles last year, is favourite but I don't think he has anywhere near the same scope for fencing as the selection has.


EDIT: Actually 2s is too good to pass up.
 
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