Horse racing tips

I'd ignore Workforce's run last year. He'll get the ground good to soft and is much better over 12 furlongs than 10. Rewilding was flattered by that closeness to So You Think, and St Nick looks like one who will disappoint at the very top level.
 
Nathaniel way overpriced for me. I just can't forgive Workforce his performance at Ascot last year and he's no value whatsoever at 13/8. Rewilding is reportedly a very hard horse to get fit and takes a while to get over his races as we saw last year in the Leger despite having a 3 1/2 week break and after such a hard race in the Prince of Wales thats a concern.
Can't back St Nick with young Joseph on board, in a race of this calibre you have to use the best jock available which Coolmore haven't. He may well still win but won't be carrying my money and the coranation form seems slightly suspect anyway.
Which leaves Nathaniel, an improving 3yo, easy winnerof a G2 over c&d last time who will try make it a test and if the rain comes even better. In receipt of a huge 12lbs also he could definitely cause a slight shock I feel.
 
I backed Nathaniel last time out against his own age group but won't be tomorrow. I don't think the 3yos are as good as their elders this year.
 
peterstorey said:
I'd ignore Workforce's run last year. He'll get the ground good to soft and is much better over 12 furlongs than 10. Rewilding was flattered by that closeness to So You Think, and St Nick looks like one who will disappoint at the very top level.
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Can't ignore a run like that given the price he is. I also believe So You Think is very overrated and the Sandown run by both just wasn't that good. Rewilding is a top draw animal - could be this year's Harbinger.
 
Twice Over is worth one in the 3.05 at York. He's a class above the opposition here.

Striking Spirit at 11/1 in the 3.50 at Ascot. This horse went in the notebook after a good run from a bad draw at the Royal Meeting and is good each way material today (some firms are paying five places in a 24 runner event)
 
Nearco said:
Twice Over is worth one in the 3.05 at York. He's a class above the opposition here.

Striking Spirit at 11/1 in the 3.50 at Ascot. This horse went in the notebook after a good run from a bad draw at the Royal Meeting and is good each way material today (some firms are paying five places in a 24 runner event)
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Cheers. I had a few long-forgotten quid sitting in my account and this came home for me.
 
Moore should have kept him straight. You'd never see a Piggott or Eddery let a horse run right across the course like that.
 
Frankel v Canford Cliffs. I think it's closer than the betting suggests though I reckon Frankel's pace through the mile will run the finish out of Canford.
 
Brown Panther in the 3.05 at Newbury. This is the horse that Michael Owen won with at Royal Ascot. He's actually a bigger price for this than the horse he beat into second that day. That's because he was disappointing in the German Derby last time out - but that race was run on very deep ground. Ignore it. 5/1 is a very fair price.
 
Nearco said:
Brown Panther in the 3.05 at Newbury. This is the horse that Michael Owen won with at Royal Ascot. He's actually a bigger price for this than the horse he beat into second that day. That's because he was disappointing in the German Derby last time out - but that race was run on very deep ground. Ignore it. 5/1 is a very fair price.
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Ive put £5 to win and £6 E/W. fingers crossed.
 
Gone in on Dubawi Gold in the 3.40. He was second in our Guineas, was given an appalling ride in the Irish version, and was asked to chase Frankel from too far out in his last race. He's had a break and has the best form in the race. In pretty much a two horse contest 7/2 is too big.
 
Nearco said:
Brown Panther in the 3.05 at Newbury. This is the horse that Michael Owen won with at Royal Ascot. He's actually a bigger price for this than the horse he beat into second that day. That's because he was disappointing in the German Derby last time out - but that race was run on very deep ground. Ignore it. 5/1 is a very fair price.
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It came 2nd :annoyed:
 
Bit bruised after yesterday, but on Monday there is a big race in France and the red hot Roger Charlton saddles Cityscape. This animal ran in his first Group 1 race at Royal Ascot and was an excellent third, not that far behind Goldikova - the odds on Favourite for tomorrow's contest. He likes a bit of cut, which he should get tomorrow, and is a must bet at 16/1. He should be half that. Each Way.
 
Ebor meeting starts tomorrow at York. It's my favourite meeting on the flat.

I like Namibian in the 3.05. He's a tough horse trained by Mark Johnston - one of the best in the business. I think the long straight will suit him tomorrow and he's value to turn Seville over.
 
Fancy him myself, long straight at York should play to his strengths as well. Only worry is the hard race he had at Ascot but he seems to take his racing pretty well. Tiger Reigns ew in the 4.50 I fancy as well, overpriced at 25's.
 
Nearco said:
Ebor meeting starts tomorrow at York. It's my favourite meeting on the flat.

I like Namibian in the 3.05. He's a tough horse trained by Mark Johnston - one of the best in the business. I think the long straight will suit him tomorrow and he's value to turn Seville over.
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It used to be my favourite too, good class racing, fair track and the form has settled down so you can rely on it. Back in the day we used to go for the whole meeting. The Ebor must be my worst race in the calendar though, I don't think I've ever backed the winner whereas the Melrose 1m 6f handicap for 3yos I used to farm. I'll have a good look in the morning.

EDIT: This one goes in the 'too hard' basket. 5f handicap lottery, Ritual has claims if you ignore last run. Agree that Seville is vulnerable, but I'm far from sure who'll beat him. One thing to note is that the going stick was 6.0 which sounds like soft rather than the good to soft description.
 
peterstorey said:
The Ebor must be my worst race in the calendar though, I don't think I've ever backed the winner
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It's a hard one alright. I pick one every year and Quick Ransom is my only winner. I'm a bit of a Mark Johnston man and I've taken 14s about Fox Hunt.

With the Ballydoyle horses getting blown out of the water today I reckon Wonder of Wonders might drift to a backable price in the Yorkshire Oaks. I think she was poorly ridden at Epsom and maybe not at home on the soft ground at the Curragh. I want at least 7s before getting involved though.
 
The best tip I got was from a professional gambler who lived near us and made a great living from betting on horse racing.

"Don't gamble on the ponies son. You will lose."
 
I can't make sense of the going stick readings from York with the descriptions of the going as good to soft.

Clerk of the course: Good to Soft, Good in Places. Going Stick: 6.2 on Thursday 18 August at 7.30am.
Going Stick readings for home straight: far side - 5.9; Centre - 5.8; Standside - 5.7.

That looks like soft to me particularly at the business end.


"The trial has given us about 2,700 readings, around 1,500 of those from Flat tracks and 1,200 from National Hunt," Fraser Garrity, the BHA's Head of Racecourse, said yesterday. "We now have good correlations in terms of averages across these reports, with 5.5 being the mean for heavy, for example, 6.4 for soft, 7 for good to soft, 8.1 for good, 9.1 for good to firm and 11 for firm.
 
Anybody got anything today, got a few quid in my Will Hill account, I've got Na Zdorovie in the 3.00 at Chester, shit price but cant lose.

Just backed Kissing Clara in he 1.50 at Newton Abbot £10 win at 7/2.
 
No luck there, last of my money on Regal Parade and King Torus in the 2.00 at York.
 
I'll be at Haydock on Saturday for their best Flat card of the year and I think Dream Ahead is worth a bet in the big sprint. He has the best form on offer and is the price he is (9/2) after disappointing last time out in France. I'm prepared to give him another chance over his best trip.
 
Very tight on the book between Dream Ahead and Bated Breath on their running at Newmarket (BB gave 6lb for a half length beating, with WFA at 5lb that would give DA a half pound advantage). They run at level WFA today and I think the 5lb pull in July is generous so I'd just favour BB.
 
peterstorey said:
Very tight on the book between Dream Ahead and Bated Breath on their running at Newmarket (BB gave 6lb for a half length beating, with WFA at 5lb that would give DA a half pound advantage). They run at level WFA today and I think the 5lb pull in July is generous so I'd just favour BB.
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What a fantastic race it turned out to be, I had some on Hoof It each way so that enquiry had me excited for a while! Also did quite well on the astoundingly impressive Zero Money.
 
I was spitting feathers on the course. Dream Ahead was miles the best horse in that race but Buick went too early.
 
I thought Bated Breath had got up, worst case dead heat after the delay. Form book right to the half-pound.
 
Big weekend coming up as we have the St Leger tomorrow and a bunch of Arc trials in Paris on Sunday.

At Doncaster I have 9/2 about Blue Bunting. This filly has won two classics, looks like she'll relish the step up in trip and is ridden by Dettori - who rides Doncaster as well as anyone. She's been a bit underrated all year and I think she'll give the favourite a lot to do.

I actually think a case can b made for backing both the front two in the market here now that Sea Moon is 2/1. The also rans should all be double figure prices.
 
Blue Bunting represents classic form, Masked Marvel worth an eachway interest.
 
Good chance, he had so much in hand last week at Haydock. It's not my sort of race the Portland but he's a tempting price. He's gone up quite a lot in the handicap though so I'd be looking at an each way if I were you.

I prefer Eton Forever in the 3.45 though. It's not as hard a race to solve.
 
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