Powderfinger
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- Joined
- Oct 27, 2015
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- Arsenal
Massive gamble. If he regains his form of a few years ago and stays healthy, he could drive you to a league title in a way no other available player could. The Bale of a few years ago, playing every week, would be the best player in the EPL.
But the contract plus injury history plus age adds up to almost unimaginable downside if he keeps landing in the training room or his play steeply declines as he loses his quickness. This isn't like Di Maria, where he could have an unsuccessful spell and you sell him off to PSG the next year. Literally no other club in the world (where he would want to go at least, so not China) would take Bale and his 600K per week contract until 2022 if he comes to United and it doesn't work out. Even for a club with United's resources, carrying a crocked Bale on roughly 31M per year will be an albatross around your neck, as that is almost 1/7 of your total wage bill. And with that kind of contract and the marketing hype that will attend his arrival, he will also cause selection and team construction headaches for future managers because he will become essentially undroppable, even if his play greatly declines due to injury.
I can't remember another signing (or potential signing) where the gap between the realistic best case scenario and the realistic worst case scenario was so wide.
But the contract plus injury history plus age adds up to almost unimaginable downside if he keeps landing in the training room or his play steeply declines as he loses his quickness. This isn't like Di Maria, where he could have an unsuccessful spell and you sell him off to PSG the next year. Literally no other club in the world (where he would want to go at least, so not China) would take Bale and his 600K per week contract until 2022 if he comes to United and it doesn't work out. Even for a club with United's resources, carrying a crocked Bale on roughly 31M per year will be an albatross around your neck, as that is almost 1/7 of your total wage bill. And with that kind of contract and the marketing hype that will attend his arrival, he will also cause selection and team construction headaches for future managers because he will become essentially undroppable, even if his play greatly declines due to injury.
I can't remember another signing (or potential signing) where the gap between the realistic best case scenario and the realistic worst case scenario was so wide.