Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

so nothing conclusive on Isak ffs. Might as well sell him since next week he has City, but it feels like he'll haul this weekend
 
ROFLUTION said:
All great points and enough to stay away if you don't have him already, but he definitely passes the eye test for me. Best player in the Brighton side along with Mitoma.

It's still a 5.7 player on pens, who's playing well except he might not get to many chances. I think it all has to be held up in contrast to his very cheap price. Can't ask for much more for a 5.7 player. Brighton are looking better this season too. Already taken points off Arsenal and United. His xGI against those two was quite good actually.
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Oh, he's a good player, but that doesn't make him a good forward pick in FPL. A midfielder who get's less points for his returns isn't very attractive. You have many players in the same bracket who plays #9 and starts every week. The numbers against us and Arsenal were heavily inflated by two open goal tapins caused by horrible mistakes from oppo defense. His numbers outside those two chances this season is: 0,02 xG/90 and 0,18xA/90, which is outside top 100 in the league. Even incuding them makes his numbers underwhelming 0,49 xGinvolvements/90 which is the 39th best in the league.

Here's some numbers for other forwards so far this season (players with 150 minutes +):

8M +
Haaland (15,2M) - 1,24 xGi/90 (5,00 shots/90)
Watkins (8,9M) - 1,53 xGi/90 (3,11 shots/90)
Isak (8,4M) - 0,51 xGi/90 (2,55 shots/90)
Havertz (8,1M) - 0,74 xGi/90 (2,50 shots/90)

7M+
N Jackson (7,6M) - 0,83 xGi/90 (2,53 shots/90)
Solanke (7,5M) - 0,34 xGi/90 (2,50 shots/90)
Mateta (7,4M) - 0,62 xGi/90 (1,79 shots/90)
Zirkzee (7,0M) - 0,90 xGi/90 (2,51 shots/90)
Darwin + Gakpo not enough minutes

6M+
Cunha (6,5M) - 0,81 xGi/90 (4,05 shots/90)
Wissa (6,1M) - 1,02 xGi/90 (Injured)
Wood (6,1M) - 0,77 xGi/90 (2,69 shots/90)
Muniz (6,0M) - 0,41 xGi/90 (3,81 shots/90)
Honorable mentions:
Duran (6,1M) - 1,03 xGi/90 (not starting)

5M+
Evanilson (5,9M) - 0,90 xGi/90 (3,00 shots/90) (missed pen, probably not on pens anymore)
DCL (5,9M) - 0,50 xGi/90 (1,62 shots/90)
Welbeck (5,7M) - 0,48 xGi/90 (2,59 shots/90)
Pedro (5,7M) - 0,49 xGi/90 (1,69 shots/90)
Vardy (5,7M) - 0,40 xGi/90 (0,81 shots/90)
Delap (5,5M) - 0,32 xGi/90 (1,46 shots/90)
JSL (5,5M) - 0,59 xGi/90 (1,28 shots/90)

If you don't have money ITB - Keep is an option, but DCL who har better fixtures or JSL (still 5-6 tough fixtures ahead of him)/Evanilson (Unal might become an option if he takes Evanilson place) could be places to look for more points.

My point is that Pedro's numbers probably will decrease with his current role in the team and Brightons fixtures after Forrest is the toughest possible.
With the new bonus systems it seems goals arew rewarded much higher than assists and other actions, so goalscorers will get more bonus points this season. That means that from GW6 and on I'll do what I can to play a 3-4-3 with 3 x 8M+ attackers leading the line, unless some cheaper option unravels...
 
With Bailey dropping and Watkins rising in price tonight I feel my hand is forced to make transfers this week and play WC next week.

Isak and Bailey out Watkins and Mitoma in - Wild card next week.

Flekken (Valdi)
Gvardiol - Porro - Robinson (Faes - Ajer)
Salah (C) - Eze - Mitoma - Rogers - Semenyo
Haaland - Watkins (Muniz)

0,1M ITB

WC next week will then look something like this:

Flekken (Fabi)
Gvardiol - Gabriel - Moreno (Ajer - Faes) (Ajer/Moreno rotates nicely)
Saka - Eze - Mbeumo - Semenyo (Rogers)
Haaland (C) - Isak - Havertz

Thoughts?
 
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