F1 2021 Season

Bottas on Pole.
Lewis looks really fast, the race is looking like it could be excellent.
Lewis wont have it all his own way , the merc in dirty air is not always that good.
Max will not be happy, he would have wanted to be in front on Bottas.
 
Mercs clearly faster and other than maybe Leclerc, Hamilton should be easily able to get through. Norris was a second slower! Perez as usual nowhere.
 
Mercs again the fastest cars on the track by far. Leclerc did well. He's got the upgraded engine doesn't he? Surprised McLaren were so poor. Not surprised Perez was poor as he always is.
 
I can see why, new engine , this track is good for passing, I still see Lewis getting on the podium, so maybe damage limitation.

I understand that. However, the way I see it is this - he has been dominant here enough to have a great chance of winning. The points gap between 1st and 2nd is 7 points, whereas the gap in points decreases between positions if you go further down.

I understand he has a great pace and it’s a good track to overtake but realistically he probably wouldn’t catch Bottas or Verstappen. Let’s assume Max wins for the sake of the argument and Lewis makes it back to second. He loses 7 points. Conversely Lewis doesn’t take the penalty and finishes first - he gains 7 points.

However if they took it on a track where he is already worse than Max because it favours RB, even if he finishes 6th, he would lose 10 points compared to second. Basically, to lose out the 7 points he is always scheduled to lose, he is better off doing so on a track he is worse at.

Let’s say Lewis takes the penalty here, comes second. Then the next track favours red bull, so he comes second anyway. That ends up as -14.

Let’s say he doesn’t take it here and wins. He goes into the next race which favours red bull at +7. He then takes the penalty at that track. To get to the same net position. (-14), and assuming Max wins, he would need to place only 8th to equal a net position of -14.
 
I understand that. However, the way I see it is this - he has been dominant here enough to have a great chance of winning. The points gap between 1st and 2nd is 7 points, whereas the gap in points decreases between positions if you go further down.

I understand he has a great pace and it’s a good track to overtake but realistically he probably wouldn’t catch Bottas or Verstappen. Let’s assume Max wins for the sake of the argument and Lewis makes it back to second. He loses 7 points. Conversely Lewis doesn’t take the penalty and finishes first - he gains 7 points.

However if they took it on a track where he is already worse than Max because it favours RB, even if he finishes 6th, he would lose 10 points compared to second. Basically, to lose out the 7 points he is always scheduled to lose, he is better off doing so on a track he is worse at.

Let’s say Lewis takes the penalty here, comes second. Then the next track favours red bull, so he comes second anyway. That ends up as -14.

Let’s say he doesn’t take it here and wins. He goes into the next race which favours red bull at +7. He then takes the penalty at that track. To get to the same net position. (-14), and assuming Max wins, he would need to place only 8th to equal a net position of -14.
Botas to ram max in the 1st turn... Lewis to come home on the podium with a new engine
 
Turkish GP Qualifying Result
Turkish GP Qualifying Timesheet
DriverTeamTime
1) Lewis HamiltonMercedes1:22.868 (has 10-place grid penalty)
2) Valtteri BottasMercedes+0.130
3) Max VerstappenRed Bull+0.328
4) Charles LeclercFerrari+0.397
5) Pierre GaslyAlphaTauri+0.458
6) Fernando AlonsoAlpine+0.609
7) Sergio PerezRed Bull+0.838
8) Lando NorrisMcLaren+1.086
9) Lance StrollAston Martin+1.437
10) Yuki TsunodaAlphaTauri+1.500
Out in Q2
11) Sebastian VettelAston Martin1:24.795
12) Esteban OconAlpine1:24.842
13) George RussellWilliams1:25.007
14) Mick SchumacherHaas1:25.200
15) Carlos SainzFerrariNo time set (engine penalty)
Out in Q1
16) Daniel RicciardoMcLaren1:25.881
17) Nicholas LatifiWilliams1:26.086
18) Antonio GiovinazziAlfa Romeo1:26.430
19) Kimi RaikkonenAlfa Romeo1:27.525
20) Nikita MazepinHaas1:28.449
 
Does anyone think Valteri backed out of the last lap? Max had already finished and was 3rd, so Valteri was on pole, beating Lewis would have done nothing but push Lewis back 1 place.
 
Think Lewis should be able to the podium. 3rd or even 2nd depending on where bottas is.

I expect max to breeze past bottas on first lap.
 
Turkish GP
Looks like they’re starting on Inters today
 
Looks like they’re starting on Inters today
Not sure if that's good news for lewis or not. Cause in the dry the Mercs are rapid, but mixed conditions and no DRS may mean he gets stuck behind someone like Alonso.
 
This should be an epic rain, light rain and track should be able to take slicks pretty soon.
Bottas and Max into turn 1! Lewis fighting to get from 11th, he might take risks.
The winner could well be the first to take the risk and go on slicks.
Not ruling put Norris or Sergio.
 
Lewis should be taking Tsunodo , maybe just biding his time, does not want to make a mistake in the wet, Lewis a few season ago would have been attacking him and getting the overtake done.
The longer he stay behind him , the harder his race will get.