Giggsyking
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- Aug 24, 2013
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I voted Sack, but hearing the alternatives Sir Alex Southgate I am going to change to keep.
Well if we're talking about the context of our squad performance, it's quite easy to point to we're creating chances that we're not finishing? The fact we're outperforming our xGA (which pretty much all teams are in the league) means my point about our defence being good holds up too? Not scoring your chances affects the whole team and scoring half of the chances you create shows an obvious issue in the squad - one that a lot of people highlighted in the summer. We are conceding too many chances, but 4.59 xAG of those came from the Spurs game, so that also needs context.Absolutely nothing against you being a believers, but this whole bullsh*t about our xG is just funny really.
our xG is 10.81, putting us 9th (Tott, Arsen, Liv leading by a margin of 5+) our xGA is 13.10 ( ! ) which puts us top 4th worst team after Leicester Ipswitch and Soton and our xPts are 8.63 which implies we are currently slightly underperforming this by one whole position in the league.
People keep saying our xG our xG seem to forget hour xGA which is one of the worst in the league.
We're shite, i dont understand why people cant see it, and i find it more offensive that there are individuals that are willing to defend this atrocity because Zirkzee managed to string 2 passess together in 4 games. We're closer to being a relegation team for 2 years, and we are still delusional.
Yes we could have scored 5 more but there are very few instances of teams that match or surpass their xG (Chelsea being one, on average every team gets 1-3 goals less than their xG in PL), and we could have conceited 5 more, which btw is the highest in the league (by far)
In summary, if we gonna quote stats, we need to be scrutinising the whole dataset and not the stat that makes us look good. I'm sure E10H talks about xG but it's convenient to ignore the goals against. or the 7 points tally. or the xPTS
That's fine but remember that Ole had to put up with Maguire, Lindelof, AWB, McTominay, Fred, aging Matic and half arsed Pogba as the half of the team. He did have stronger forwards but that football was not really worse than what we've seen under Ten Hag, who has much better resources at his disposal.
I think it's fair for many people to have accepted that he should get another chance given he'd won trophies, the second by beating the best team in the league in the final, and he'd shown an ability to have the team play a different way in that game.Everyone saying this is unacceptable, last straw and he needs to go etc - this was said halfway through last season. It was so diabolical beyond the injury excuse. Yet many then incredulously clamoured for him to stay based on the final match of last season. It’s the same systemic problems regardless of the players he has
It's what needs to happen, and you need a manager that inspires and motivates that work ethic.I like him a lot but I wonder about how easy it is to put that style into a top club where the egos are difficult to mould. If you think of some of the really excellent coaches of the last 5 years who kept really poor teams up by being elite pressing and aggressive teams - Iraola, Hasenhuttl, Bielsa I’d argue did wonders with an initially average team - I’m not sure many of the top players we have possess the mentality to go into such a system where off the ball work is so taxing.
Basically we've played 2 good teams this season and we got dismantled by both. AT HOME.I'm amazed we've still got the odd guy on here still peddling the absolute shite about how "we've been good this season apart from against Spurs".
Fulham, mediocre performance 50/50 game that we edged.
Brighton first 45 minutes we looked more composed and organised than normal but we created feck all, 2nd half was the usual ETH shambolic chaos
Liverpool - disaster from start to finish, our usual hammering
Palace- a good 45 minutes, opposition makes tactical changes and then 2nd half is shite where we create almost nothing and Palace miss big chances
Twente - Awful performance, barely created a chance
Spurs - one of the all time worst performances.
After we went 1-0 up at Southampton, a team that will almost certainly finish bottom, we played well and we battered a 3rd tier side in the league cup. That's it.
Add Bayern Munich with Kompany to that list. I think even Maresca at Chelsea is another one.
Yeah I'm an analyst by trade and I'm not sure how they can predict a series of games like that. I understand using previous years data, as you would normally. But just seems like trying to do that in sport, especially football, doesn't really work.
If you add this context, you also have to accept a significant chunk of that xGA comes in a single game when we were down to 10 though.Absolutely nothing against you being a believers, but this whole bullsh*t about our xG is just funny really and needs to stop
our xG is 10.81, putting us 9th (Tott, Arsen, Liv leading by a margin of 5+) our xGA is 13.10 ( ! ) which puts us top 4th worst team after Leicester Ipswitch and Soton and our xPts are 8.63 which implies we are currently slightly underperforming this by one whole position in the league.
People keep saying our xG our xG seem to forget hour xGA which is one of the worst in the league.
We're shite, i dont understand why people cant see it, and i find it more offensive that there are individuals that are willing to defend this atrocity because Zirkzee managed to string 2 passess together in 4 games. We're closer to being a relegation team for 2 years, and we are still delusional.
Yes we could have scored 5 more but there are very few instances of teams that match or surpass their xG (Chelsea being one, on average every team gets 1-3 goals less than their xG in PL), and we could have conceited 5 more, which btw is the highest in the league (by far)
In summary, if we gonna quote stats, we need to be scrutinising the whole dataset and not the stat that makes us look good. I'm sure E10H talks about xG but it's convenient to ignore the goals against. or the 7 points tally. or the xPTS
I'm amazed we've still got the odd guy on here still peddling the absolute shite about how "we've been good this season apart from against Spurs".
Fulham, mediocre performance 50/50 game that we edged.
Brighton first 45 minutes we looked more composed and organised than normal but we created feck all, 2nd half was the usual ETH shambolic chaos
Liverpool - disaster from start to finish, our usual hammering
Palace- a good 45 minutes, opposition makes tactical changes and then 2nd half is shite where we create almost nothing and Palace miss big chances
Twente - Awful performance, barely created a chance
Spurs - one of the all time worst performances.
After we went 1-0 up at Southampton, a team that will almost certainly finish bottom, we played well and we battered a 3rd tier side in the league cup. That's it.
It is unbelievable that he still has supporters who "believe" in him. We have less points than arguably the only club in the league that has been run even worse than us in the last decade. 15 games is not a small sample size FFS, it is 40% of a full season!Points in their last 15 Premier League games:
Everton: 21
Man Utd: 19
You already expected 0-3 home losses to Spurs and Liverpool where the scores could've been even worse if one of them didn't start geting cocky in front of our goal and the other didn't have Timo Werner?I'm not denying the Spurs and Liverpool games were terrible and I think there are varying reasons as to why they were such bad performances, but a large part for me is midfield. That's the area we didn't prioritise this summer, so it's not really a surprise.
I'm assuming they're just extrapolating from expected Points at this stage?
Utter nonsense. Every manager that's been here has commented on the state of the club. It's been mentioned already on this thread but the likes of Klopp stayed clear of us because they could see what a shitshow the club was.
No, I expected our midfield to have to have the same problems it did last season and against the better teams in the league it would be a big problem.You already expected 0-3 home losses to Spurs and Liverpool where the scores could've been even worse if one of them didn't start geting cocky in front of our goal and the other didn't have Timo Werner?
Who?I dont agree with this at all, there are definitely managers that would have succeeded here
Craig Burley is spot on here
Bournemouth play quite a direct style which could work well with the players we have. But with managers like Iraola, Hasenhuttl and Bielsa, they play with such an intense press that it requires complete buy in from the players for it to be effective. Unfortunately I'm not sure the players would completely buy in to that and probably wouldn't work.I like him a lot but I wonder about how easy it is to put that style into a top club where the egos are difficult to mould. If you think of some of the really excellent coaches of the last 5 years who kept really poor teams up by being elite pressing and aggressive teams - Iraola, Hasenhuttl, Bielsa I’d argue did wonders with an initially average team - I’m not sure many of the top players we have possess the mentality to go into such a system where off the ball work is so taxing.
I think it's fair to say that when he took over, but one of Iraola's biggest strengths so far at Bournemouth is how much he's improved players individually. Semenyo's performances for nearly a year now have been absolutely brilliant and he's getting better and better so I can't accept that he's anywhere near a Championship level player. I rate him really highly and I reckon by the end of the season there's gonna be links to bigger clubs.I mean, Cook, Christie, Semenyo, Tavernier and Smith. They are very much championship level to me. Iraola would be my choice for a manager in the league, for what it's worth. Something about that region creates quality managers!
It really is a brilliant imageThat analogy made me laugh out loud![]()
Well if we're talking about the context of our squad performance, it's quite easy to point to we're creating chances that we're not finishing? The fact we're outperforming our xGA (which pretty much all teams are in the league) means my point about our defence being good holds up too? Not scoring your chances affects the whole team and scoring half of the chances you create shows an obvious issue in the squad - one that a lot of people highlighted in the summer. We are conceding too many chances, but 4.59 xAG of those came from the Spurs game, so that also needs context.
I'm not denying we're underperforming, but there are obvious areas where we are that should be adressed. Our attack is shite at converting and our midfield wasn't prioritised in the summer and we're suffering for it. Our defence, where we invested the most, has improved.
Sorry, but the only other team under performing their xG as bad as us is Southampton, that says a lot about our attackers. Teams hover around their xG, not convert 50% of it. Your 1-3 less than their xG is in the context of a whole season.
FYI I'm using https://understat.com/league/EPL/2024 for the stats.
I'm not saying it's all rosy and only finishing chances is our issue, but it's clearly a massive problem. We all know midfield is what it is and we have to hope Ugarte can improve it, because we have no other options apart from kids. I don't like how many chances we're conceding, but if you watch our games, you can clearly see our defenders and keepers are the only ones playing well.
Who?
Every manager we have appointed post Fergie was either not good enough or past their sell by date.
ten Hag signed Casemiro, Mount, and Ugarte. We also have Mainoo (one of England's biggest talents) and Bruno Fernandes. If there's anyone to blame for a completely dysfunctional midfield, it's ten Hag.No, I expected our midfield to have to have the same problems it did last season and against the better teams in the league it would be a big problem.
Considering this is a glaring weakness that every blind man and his blind dog can see, what has ETH tried to do to ensure that against the better teams in the league (so, about 7 of them) 'big problem' is not the same as 'cricket score'?No, I expected our midfield to have to have the same problems it did last season and against the better teams in the league it would be a big problem.
Nah. Every manager has used excuses.
So everything isn't 100% perfect. That's how it is for everyone. They've still had far more resources than the vast majority of managers.
SAF has done all the hard work for these guys.
What more can they need to at least produce a team that can compete?
Klopp himself didn't think it would be possible to succeed here. I wanted us to go for Conte instead of ten Hag but it would've probably been an even bigger disaster than Jose. There's a common theme with all the examples you've given and that's how the club has been run.Every manager we have appointed post Fergie was either not good enough or past their sell by date and all except Moyes have been heavilly backed in the transfer windows but has wasted the money on the wrong players like LVG wasting 65m on ADM who we didnt need, Mourinho wasting 80m on Lukaku when there were surely better options available for less money, and Ole spending 80m on Maguire when again there were probably other options available for less.
There are managers like Klopp and Ancellotti that would have succeeded if given the backing some of our post Fergie managers have had and even managers like Conte and Sarri who both took on the mess at Chelsea and won the title in their first season.
You're joking, aren't you? The majority of folk on here wanted ten Hag to keep the job after the FA Cup final (the poll whether to keep or sack completely reversed. It was mental). There was a huge swell of broad support from the fan base (Paddock in particular have been embarrassingly defensive of ten Hag until recently - specifically Joe). Utterly bizarre situation and we've fecked ourselves not just for this season, but in terms of drastically reducing our options moving forward.Well so far it's 2 own goals to the new "Structure".
I honestly can't believe we've moved on from the Glazers bankers and got even worse ditherers with so called "football" men.
It's just like after the fa cup when every man and his dog knew what should have happened but we got silence for a month while they were doing the completely unnecessary "review". They're probably doing another.![]()
The common theme is all of the managers we have hired haven't been up to the job. What have any of them done since getting sacked here? The square root of feck all.Klopp himself didn't think it would be possible to succeed here. I wanted us to go for Conte instead of ten Hag but it would've probably been an even bigger disaster than Jose. There's a common theme with all the examples you've given and that's how the club has been run.
I'm amazed we've still got the odd guy on here still peddling the absolute shite about how "we've been good this season apart from against Spurs".
Fulham, mediocre performance 50/50 game that we edged.
Brighton first 45 minutes we looked more composed and organised than normal but we created feck all, 2nd half was the usual ETH shambolic chaos
Liverpool - disaster from start to finish, our usual hammering
Palace- a good 45 minutes, opposition makes tactical changes and then 2nd half is shite where we create almost nothing and Palace miss big chances
Twente - Awful performance, barely created a chance
Spurs - one of the all time worst performances.
After we went 1-0 up at Southampton, a team that will almost certainly finish bottom, we played well and we battered a 3rd tier side in the league cup. That's it.p
Perfect summary, describes every game this season without any of the ifs and buts that ultimately don't matter (for every 'if' or 'should have' we might claim, the opposition could say the same).I'm amazed we've still got the odd guy on here still peddling the absolute shite about how "we've been good this season apart from against Spurs".
Fulham, mediocre performance 50/50 game that we edged.
Brighton first 45 minutes we looked more composed and organised than normal but we created feck all, 2nd half was the usual ETH shambolic chaos
Liverpool - disaster from start to finish, our usual hammering
Palace- a good 45 minutes, opposition makes tactical changes and then 2nd half is shite where we create almost nothing and Palace miss big chances
Twente - Awful performance, barely created a chance
Spurs - one of the all time worst performances.
After we went 1-0 up at Southampton, a team that will almost certainly finish bottom, we played well and we battered a 3rd tier side in the league cup. That's it.
Bang on. The "first half against Palace" thing still annoys me when people say it shows that we can play great under Ten Hag, and it's a glimmer of hope. We didn't even fecking score.I'm amazed we've still got the odd guy on here still peddling the absolute shite about how "we've been good this season apart from against Spurs".
Fulham, mediocre performance 50/50 game that we edged.
Brighton first 45 minutes we looked more composed and organised than normal but we created feck all, 2nd half was the usual ETH shambolic chaos
Liverpool - disaster from start to finish, our usual hammering
Palace- a good 45 minutes, opposition makes tactical changes and then 2nd half is shite where we create almost nothing and Palace miss big chances
Twente - Awful performance, barely created a chance
Spurs - one of the all time worst performances.
After we went 1-0 up at Southampton, a team that will almost certainly finish bottom, we played well and we battered a 3rd tier side in the league cup. That's it.
For sure, it's a fair challenge. I think there are flashes of what I expected to see, but it is not often enough. I'm not wedded to Ten hag, I would take a young and up can coming manager in Iraola and I was on the Tuchel train in the summer. If Southgate comes in, I will start playing more golf,Perhaps the stats need addressing in a longer window - I'm not 'lash-ing' outbut the football is atrocious and personally I'm not keen to see him around for another week. Would happily take anything other than Southgate- hell ask ChatGPT to replace him for a game and let it give the instructions.
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Sure, we all know how Casermiro is, Mount can't stay fit and Ugarte has hardly been with us yet - I think he will be good for us, but that was his first league start for us and it showed. I'd say it showed against Barnsley too. Our best midfielder in Mainoo is pretty damn slow over big distances, which is not ideal. I think we've just got a group of midfielders that don't compliment each other at all. I would have liked us to get in Ugarte earlier or bolster the midfield further with Rabiot, but that's not been the priority for the club.ten Hag signed Casemiro, Mount, and Ugarte. We also have Mainoo (one of England's biggest talents) and Bruno Fernandes. If there's anyone to blame for a completely dysfunctional midfield, it's ten Hag.
Well he didn't have an option for Liverpool as we hadn't bought Ugarte in time and then he tried Ugarte against Spurs, who was well off the pace. Even if he sacrificed Bruno to sure up the midfield, does a Casemiro, Ugarte, Mainoo work? Do we still have the same issues up top? We will probably find out what happens now Bruno is banned what could be the alternative, so let's see what happens there.Considering this is a glaring weakness that every blind man and his blind dog can see, what has ETH tried to do to ensure that against the better teams in the league (so, about 7 of them) 'big problem' is not the same as 'cricket score'?
Yeah that’s my point - is Amad/Hojlund/Rashford/Nacho/Zirkzee built for that? I think many would try their best but I only think the latter two could likely do it well enough. Hojlund grafts hard but he’s too big/heavy in my mind to be nimble enough to play the central role and cover the distance required.Bournemouth play quite a direct style which could work well with the players we have. But with managers like Iraola, Hasenhuttl and Bielsa, they play with such an intense press that it requires complete buy in from the players for it to be effective. Unfortunately I'm not sure the players would completely buy in to that and probably wouldn't work.