I think the last couple of weeks have seen the beginnings of shifts that will combine to mean we'll probably go into next season with a new manager. I won't go the full tectonic plates thing, but these are deep-seated movements, that feel likely to gain momentum. And it's not hard see the effect.
Firstly, we have a growing likelihood that Ratcliffe will have control over the footballing operation. Maybe not for some time, probably not until the new year and probably really only starting to take shape ahead of 2024-25. As plenty of people have already recognised, he's likely to be a guy in a hurry, with a track record of INEOS wanting to do things their way and a clamour for making an early, visible, difference.
Secondly, it just doesn't look good for ETH. The injury situation is horrendous, I think he deserves longer, and that he'll get it, but I increasingly think we have no chance of a UCL place, will struggle for top 6-7, and could even struggle to scrape top 10. More than anything, we look a terribly coached team. And it's not just what I've seen in almost all our games so far this season. It's when you see what Howe (who I don't rate that highly) and Emery are doing, that I start to lose faith.
I'd say most people would have Newcastle and Villa, well behind where we were when they brought in new managers. They've spent less (though I've not checked for certain) but bought better; have implemented coherent playing styles; look well coached; and are making progress at a faster rate.
That's not me crying out for an Eddie or an Unai. It's saying there are benchmarks on expectations and progress. ETH is looking like he's failing on these and a re-booted playing side operation won't tolerate that.
Without a sustained improvement in the next 3-4 months, he won't be here next summer.